12575 72nd Trl · Live Oak, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- ARV discount +3.0/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Handyman Special! This 1.84-acre property offers endless potential and is conveniently located just minutes from downtown Live Oak. The property features an older single-wide mobile home, along with an existing well and septic system. Renovate the current home to suit your needs or remove it and build new—this acreage provides a great opportunity for investment or a fresh start. A small portion of the back corner of the property is located in a flood zone; however, the home site itself is not in a flood zone. Don’t miss the chance to make this property your own!
Key facts
- 1.84 acre lot
- Built 1973
- Listed 13 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential mobile home; Zoning: RES; Lot size source indicates 1.84 acres (approx. 7446 m²)
- Financial info: No additional financial details provided
- HOA & community: No HOA; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: No parking details provided
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Water: Well (see remarks); Sewer: Septic tank; Other utilities
- Home design: Mobile home (single wide); One level; Faces southwest
- Construction: Metal siding; Other roof type; Building area about 576 square feet
- Exterior features: Dirt road access; Approximately 1.84 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator included
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Other heating; Other cooling
- Interior features: No notable interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Laundry: Other configuration
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $246 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($789 rent vs $55k).
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 2.7% in Live Oak — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#448 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Suwannee (town): math 45% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #52 of 73 in FL (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 285 active listings in the ZIP; 138 units permitted in Suwannee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.17%
- DSCR
- 1.85
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $50,000
- List price
- $55,000
- Delta
- 10.00%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12575 72nd Trl | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 576 (0%) | 0mo | $50,000 | $87 | 96 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $6,769
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 20.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.70×
- Total profit
- $26,116
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32060
- Home prices YoY
- -26.5%
- Active inventory
- 285
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $789 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$66 /mo · $795/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$166
- Net cashflow
- $246
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-19status Pending 1144-char remark
-
2026-05-14price $55,000 1144-char remark
-
2026-05-05$65,000 Active 1144-char remark
-
2026-03-12soldstatus $45,000
-
2026-03-02historical Active Under Contract 580-char remark
Show marketing remark (580 chars)
Handyman Special! This 1.84-acre property offers endless potential and is conveniently located just minutes from downtown Live Oak. The property features an older single-wide mobile home, along with an existing well and septic system. Renovate the current home to suit your needs or remove it and build new—this acreage provides a great opportunity for investment or a fresh start. A small portion of the back corner of the property is located in a flood zone; however, the home site itself is not in a flood zone. Don’t miss the chance to make this property your own!
-
2026-03-01soldstatus $45,000 Closed 580-char remark
Show marketing remark (580 chars)
Handyman Special! This 1.84-acre property offers endless potential and is conveniently located just minutes from downtown Live Oak. The property features an older single-wide mobile home, along with an existing well and septic system. Renovate the current home to suit your needs or remove it and build new—this acreage provides a great opportunity for investment or a fresh start. A small portion of the back corner of the property is located in a flood zone; however, the home site itself is not in a flood zone. Don’t miss the chance to make this property your own!
-
2026-02-12$68,000 Active 580-char remark
Show marketing remark (580 chars)
Handyman Special! This 1.84-acre property offers endless potential and is conveniently located just minutes from downtown Live Oak. The property features an older single-wide mobile home, along with an existing well and septic system. Renovate the current home to suit your needs or remove it and build new—this acreage provides a great opportunity for investment or a fresh start. A small portion of the back corner of the property is located in a flood zone; however, the home site itself is not in a flood zone. Don’t miss the chance to make this property your own!
-
1993-11-01soldstatus $7,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $795 · $66/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $795 · $66/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,473
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$795
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$758
- − Management
- −$758
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $2,207
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$530
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,423/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Suwannee
- NCES district ID
- 1201830
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,785
- Composite
- 37.07/100
- National rank
- #4503
- State rank
- #52 of 73 in FL
Livability — Live Oak
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #448
- US rank
- #8100
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,085
Population outlook (Suwannee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,226 people
- By 2030
- 45,833 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 46,631 · +3.1%
- By 2050
- 46,544 · +2.9%
- By 2075
- 43,635 · -3.5%
- By 2100
- 34,318 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Suwannee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.0) · D 19.3% · R 80.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.8pp toward R · 2008: -43.1pp · 2024: -61.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.0 2020: R+56.6 2016: R+55.3 2012: R+45.0 2008: R+43.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -60.37%
- Current HPI
- 167.3265
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+614.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Sold (MLS) $50,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-19 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $55,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-05 Listed $65,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-12 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2026-03-02 Contingent — NFMLS
- 2026-03-01 Sold (MLS) $45,000 NFMLS
- 2026-02-12 Listed $68,000 NFMLS
- 1993-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.1%/yrLatest (2025): $795 · +123.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…