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2200 37th St #79
D Composite 42.5
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$25,000

2200 37th St #79 · Evans, CO 80620
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 784 sqft · Manufactured public records · 107 Days on market
Built 1972

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming and well cared for Mobile Home in Terrace Park. This home features clean carpeting throughout the home and vinyl flooring in the kitchen. All kitchen appliances are included! This Charming home is located on a great lot that features a 1 car carport and backs into an open space. With 2 bedrooms and 1 bathrooms and 784 sq. ft. This home really has it ALL! GREAT PRICE, GREATLOCATION! Broker Remarks: 1. Buyers must meet age requirements (50 or older) and pass a minor background check

Key facts

  • Built 1972
  • Listed 106 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Builder: HILM (model: mobile home); No property improvements reported
  • HOA & community: No association fees or transfer fees

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport
  • Utilities: City water with meter installed; No water rights; Public sewer; Atmos gas service; Terrace Park trash service
  • Home design: Manufactured in park; Mobile home
  • Construction: Frame construction; Rubber flat roof
  • Exterior features: Storage structure on property; Located on a cul-de-sac; Level lot with sidewalks; Asphalt road frontage on a city street; Minimal flood risk (C rating)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Electric range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Washer; Dryer
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $25k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $971 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
  • Recommended offer: $23k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 52.9% vs local median 3.8% in Evans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#104 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, health & safety F.
  • Greeleyschool District No. 6 In The County Of Weld And Sta (urban): math 15% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #71 of 86 in CO (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Centennial Elementary School (math 15% / reading 22%, grade F, #724 of 966 statewide, top 77%, 457 students, 86% FRL); Prairie Heights Middle School (math 16% / reading 32%, grade F, #178 of 270 statewide, top 67%, 571 students, 78% FRL); Greeley West High School (math 20% / reading 39%, grade F, #244 of 381 statewide, top 66%, 1,885 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 54% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.8%/yr); 120 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,170 units permitted in Weld County in 2024 (278 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Weld County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($23k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $18k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $22,750 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.66%
Cap rate
52.88%
Cash-on-cash
166.40%
DSCR
8.40
GRM
1.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
8.66×
Total profit
$53,628
Equity at exit
$3,728
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
16.76×
Total profit
$110,295
Equity at exit
$2,162

Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 80620

Home prices YoY
-20.9%
Rents YoY
-1.8%
Active inventory
120
Price-to-rent
1.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,416 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax from tax record
$6 /mo · $73/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$297
Net cashflow
$971

Break-even live

Break-even rent $187
Max offer price $25,000
Occupancy floor 26%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $985 -5% $978 +0% $971 +5% $964 +10% $957
Rent -10% $859 -5% $915 +0% $971 +5% $1,027 +10% $1,082
Rate -1.0pp $983 -0.5pp $977 base $971 +0.5pp $964 +1.0pp $958

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,250
Closing costs
$750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1751 Rowan Ln Evans, CO 2.0 1.5 841 $1,750 $2.08 15d 1 0.19mi
2846 Arbor Dr #2898 Evans, CO 2.0 1.5–2.0 1327 $1,738 $1.31 15d 3 0.72mi
2506 32nd St Evans, CO 2.0–3.0 2.0 1155 $1,700 $1.47 25d 1 0.84mi
2162 30th St Greeley, CO 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 688 $999 $1.45 15d 16 0.91mi
1722 30th St Greeley, CO 1.0–2.0 1.0 709 $1,005 $1.42 3d 13 0.94mi
3202 11th Ave Evans, CO 2.0–3.0 2.0–3.0 1015 $1,565 $1.54 3d 12 1.01mi
1750 Greeley Mall Greeley, CO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 805 $1,319 $1.64 15d 4 1.03mi
1905 28th St Greeley, CO 2.0 1.5 900 $1,330 $1.48 15d 2 1.20mi
1713 28th St Greeley, CO 2.0 1.0 800 $1,295 $1.62 15d 1 1.22mi
3023 Denver St Unit 5 Evans, CO 1.0 1.0 667 $995 $1.49 15d 1 1.24mi
3023 Denver St Unit 6 Evans, CO 2.0 1.0 789 $1,095 $1.39 15d 1 1.24mi
2949 State Farm Rd Evans, CO 1.0 1.0 656 $995 $1.52 25d 1 1.42mi
2949 State Farm Rd Unit 7 Evans, CO 1.0 1.0 656 $965 $1.47 25d 1 1.42mi
2507 W 27th St Apt C Greeley, CO 2.0 1.5 1064 $1,225 $1.15 25d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $25,000 Active 107 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $25,000 Active 106 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $25,000 Active 105 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $25,000 Active 104 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $25,000 Active 102 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $25,000 Active 99 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $25,000 Active 98 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $25,000 Active 97 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $25,000 Active 96 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $25,000 Active 92 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $25,000 Active 91 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $25,000 Active 90 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $25,000 Active 89 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $25,000 Active 88 DOM
  15. 2026-03-03
    listed $25,000 Active
  16. 2026-01-31
    historical
  17. 2025-08-21
    listed $35,000 Active
  18. 2016-05-27
    soldstatus $18,000 Sold 494-char remark
    Show marketing remark (494 chars)

    Charming and well cared for Mobile Home in Terrace Park. This home features clean carpeting throughout the home and vinyl flooring in the kitchen. All kitchen appliances are included! This Charming home is located on a great lot that features a 1 car carport and backs into an open space. With 2 bedrooms and 1 bathrooms and 784 sq. ft. This home really has it ALL! GREAT PRICE, GREATLOCATION! Broker Remarks: 1. Buyers must meet age requirements (50 or older) and pass a minor background check

  19. 2016-05-24
    historical 494-char remark
    Show marketing remark (494 chars)

    Charming and well cared for Mobile Home in Terrace Park. This home features clean carpeting throughout the home and vinyl flooring in the kitchen. All kitchen appliances are included! This Charming home is located on a great lot that features a 1 car carport and backs into an open space. With 2 bedrooms and 1 bathrooms and 784 sq. ft. This home really has it ALL! GREAT PRICE, GREATLOCATION! Broker Remarks: 1. Buyers must meet age requirements (50 or older) and pass a minor background check

  20. 2016-05-18
    listed $22,000 Active 494-char remark
    Show marketing remark (494 chars)

    Charming and well cared for Mobile Home in Terrace Park. This home features clean carpeting throughout the home and vinyl flooring in the kitchen. All kitchen appliances are included! This Charming home is located on a great lot that features a 1 car carport and backs into an open space. With 2 bedrooms and 1 bathrooms and 784 sq. ft. This home really has it ALL! GREAT PRICE, GREATLOCATION! Broker Remarks: 1. Buyers must meet age requirements (50 or older) and pass a minor background check

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$73 · $6/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$138 · $11/mo
Expected delta
+$64/yr (+$5/mo · 87.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,987
− Mortgage interest
−$1,400
− Property taxes
−$73
− Insurance
−$125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,359
− Management
−$1,359
− Depreciation
−$727
Taxable income
$11,943
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,866
After-tax cash flow
$8,782/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greeleyschool District No. 6 In The County Of Weld And Sta
NCES district ID
0804410
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$46,417
Composite
19.99/100
National rank
#8667
State rank
#71 of 86 in CO

Livability — Evans

Score
69/100
State rank
#104
US rank
#9005

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living C Crime C- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Evans, CO
County
Weld County · 332,652 people
City population
20,798
Metro
Greeley, CO
Population (ZIP)
20,798
Household income
$73,590
Rent vs Own
32.5% rent · 67.5% own
Severe rent burden
420.0

Population outlook (Weld County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
351,957 people
By 2030
385,304 · +9.5%
By 2040
451,818 · +28.4%
By 2050
514,478 · +46.2%
By 2075
648,733 · +84.3%
By 2100
720,400 · +104.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 48% White 45% Two or more races 17% Black 2% Native American 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 41%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
67% English-only · Spanish 31% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Weld

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.0) · D 38.2% · R 59.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-12.2pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -21.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.0 2020: R+18.0 2016: R+22.4 2012: R+13.2 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -87.36%
Current HPI
330.6379
Rent YoY
▼ -1.78%
Metro
Greeley, CO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+13.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $25,000 IRES
  • 2026-01-31 Listing Removed IRES
  • 2025-08-21 Listed $35,000 IRES
  • 2016-05-27 Sold (MLS) $18,000 IRES
  • 2016-05-24 Listing Removed IRES
  • 2016-05-18 Listed $22,000 IRES

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2021): $73 · +17.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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