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900 N Dotsy Ave
C- Composite 50.95
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.8/30.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

900 N Dotsy Ave · Odessa, TX 79763
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 106 Days on market
Built 1947 0.26 ac lot $132/sqft · 35% above area Est $107k · 35% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Two homes on one lot. Front home is 2 bedrooms/1bathroom. Back house is a one bedroom/one bathroom. Both homes are on the same meters and landlord pays all utilities. Front house is currently leased at 1400 and back house is leased at 900 per month. Per seller-gas, water, and sewer lines all recently updated. Recent paint inside and outside on front home

Key facts

  • Two homes on one lot
  • 0.26 acre lot
  • Garage

Tags

TWO HOMES ON ONE LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $309 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#132 in TX, #3,928 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D+, amenities D, schools F.
  • Ector County ISD (urban): math 22% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #707 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,004 units permitted in Ector County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ector County population projected at +78% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $131,950 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
8.85%
Cash-on-cash
9.12%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$107,313
List price
$145,000
Delta
35.12%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1100 N Washington Ave 0.26mi 2/3.0 1,233 (+12%) 19mo $165,000 $134 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.5%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-3,763
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
7.3%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$22,336
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79763

Active inventory
122
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,756 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$258 /mo · $3,093/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$369
Net cashflow
$309

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,365
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1322 N Lincoln Ave Odessa, TX 3.0 1.0 1218 $2,200 $1.81 43d 1 0.52mi
1322 N Lincoln Ave Odessa, TX 3.0 1.0 1218 $2,100 $1.72 20d 1 0.52mi
715 N Kelly Ave Odessa, TX 2.0 1.0 1170 $2,000 $1.71 20d 1 0.54mi
1604 N Sam Houston Ave Odessa, TX 2.0 1.0 1142 $2,000 $1.75 43d 1 0.64mi
200 Santa Rita Dr Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1438 $2,400 $1.67 43d 1 0.68mi
1315 N Jackson Ave Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1216 $1,500 $1.23 13d 1 0.71mi
1501 N Texas Ave Unit A Odessa, TX 2.0 1.0 925 $1,450 $1.57 13d 1 0.72mi
401 Lasseter Ave Odessa, TX 1.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 20d 1 0.75mi
1101 W 19th St Unit 1 Odessa, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $1,000 $1.43 43d 1 0.86mi
1015 Milburn Ave Unit A2CBUILDING A Odessa, TX 3.0 1.0 895 $1,450 $1.62 20d 1 0.99mi
1015 Milburn Ave Unit A1DBuilding A Odessa, TX 3.0 1.0 895 $1,500 $1.68 13d 1 0.99mi
1220 Adams Ave Unit 3 Odessa, TX 3.0 1.0 895 $1,450 $1.62 43d 1 1.00mi
1215 Milburn Ave Unit J1TBUILDING J Odessa, TX 3.0 1.0 895 $1,500 $1.68 43d 1 1.01mi
1215 Milburn Ave Unit J2VBUILDING J Odessa, TX 3.0 1.0 895 $1,450 $1.62 43d 1 1.02mi
1219 Milburn Ave Unit K2YBUILDING K Odessa, TX 3.0 1.0 895 $1,500 $1.68 43d 1 1.02mi
1318 Harless Ave Odessa, TX 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,600 $1.33 20d 1 1.28mi
1322 Harless Ave Unit 1 Odessa, TX 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,700 $1.42 43d 1 1.29mi
2439 W 15th St Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1175 $1,500 $1.28 13d 1 1.31mi
2 Star Cir Odessa, TX 3.0 2.0 1377 $2,200 $1.60 13d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    days on market $145,000 Active 106 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 105 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 104 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $145,000 Active 103 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $155,000 Active 98 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $155,000 Active 97 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $155,000 Active 96 DOM
  8. 2026-05-30
    days on market $155,000 Active 95 DOM
  9. 2026-02-24
    listed $155,000 Active 356-char remark
    Show marketing remark (356 chars)

    Two homes on one lot. Front home is 2 bedrooms/1bathroom. Back house is a one bedroom/one bathroom. Both homes are on the same meters and landlord pays all utilities. Front house is currently leased at 1400 and back house is leased at 900 per month. Per seller-gas, water, and sewer lines all recently updated. Recent paint inside and outside on front home

  10. 2026-02-20
    historical $1,425
  11. 2026-02-18
    listed $1,425
  12. 2015-12-02
    soldstatus
  13. 2015-11-30
    soldstatus 388-char remark
    Show marketing remark (388 chars)

    TWO HOME ON A LOT. FRONT HOUSE IS A 2 BEDROOM-1 BATH AND HAS NEW CARPET IN BEDROOMS AND LIVING ROOM. AND RECENT LINOLEUM IN KITCHEN AND BATHROOM HAS REFRIGERATED AIR AND CENTROL HEAT. NEW FRONT DOOR AND FRESH PAINT. SHOWS WELL. BACK HOUSE IS A 1BEDROOM AND 1 BATH AND LIVING ROOM SMALL KITCHEN WITH REFRIGERATOR AND STOVE AND RENT FOR $ 750 PER MONTHS AND LANDLORD PAYS FOR ALL UTILITIES.

  14. 2015-09-25
    listed $110,000 388-char remark
    Show marketing remark (388 chars)

    TWO HOME ON A LOT. FRONT HOUSE IS A 2 BEDROOM-1 BATH AND HAS NEW CARPET IN BEDROOMS AND LIVING ROOM. AND RECENT LINOLEUM IN KITCHEN AND BATHROOM HAS REFRIGERATED AIR AND CENTROL HEAT. NEW FRONT DOOR AND FRESH PAINT. SHOWS WELL. BACK HOUSE IS A 1BEDROOM AND 1 BATH AND LIVING ROOM SMALL KITCHEN WITH REFRIGERATOR AND STOVE AND RENT FOR $ 750 PER MONTHS AND LANDLORD PAYS FOR ALL UTILITIES.

  15. 1991-08-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,093 · $258/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,093 · $258/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,071
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$3,093
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,686
− Management
−$1,686
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$1,542
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$370
After-tax cash flow
$3,334/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ector County ISD
NCES district ID
4818000
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$52,740
Composite
21.89/100
National rank
#8233
State rank
#707 of 826 in TX

Livability — Odessa

Score
75/100
State rank
#132
US rank
#3928

Category grades

Amenities D Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Odessa, TX
County
Ector County · 131,169 people
City population
131,169
Metro
Odessa, TX
Population (ZIP)
35,174
Household income
$56,877
Rent vs Own
29.6% rent · 70.4% own
Severe rent burden
842.0

Population outlook (Ector County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
212,765 people
By 2030
241,962 · +13.7%
By 2040
306,582 · +44.1%
By 2050
379,755 · +78.5%
By 2075
568,991 · +167.4%
By 2100
709,829 · +233.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (76%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 76% Two or more races 24% White 19% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 72%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada
Languages at home
39% English-only · Spanish 60%

Political lean MEDSL · Ector

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.9) · D 23.2% · R 76.1%
2008→2024 swing
-4.9pp toward R · 2008: -48.0pp · 2024: -52.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.9 2020: R+47.8 2016: R+40.6 2012: R+48.9 2008: R+48.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -213.81%
Current HPI
254.9773
Rent YoY
Metro
Odessa, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+40.9% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-24 Listed $155,000 ODMLS
  • 2026-02-20 Rental Removed $1,425 ODMLS
  • 2026-02-18 Listed for Rent $1,425 ODMLS
  • 2015-12-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2015-11-30 Sold (MLS) ODMLS
  • 2015-09-25 Listed $110,000 ODMLS
  • 1991-08-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+7.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,093 · +15.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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