213 Exeter Ct · Northlake, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.0/30.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.3/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Looking for a home with some land for the family this is it. settle in small neighborhood this home has a lot to offer. The floor plan is seamless. Big Kitchen for the family Large living area with 3 beds and 2 full bathrooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $419 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 2.9% in Northlake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#36 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Anderson 04 (rural): math 56% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #4 of 80 in SC (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 678 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,255 units permitted in Anderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Anderson County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $32k; list at $135k implies a 322% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.30%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $134,400
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213 Exeter Ct | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $100 | 99 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.55% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $10,605
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.83×
- Total profit
- $69,227
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29621
- Rents YoY
- 6.5%
- Active inventory
- 678
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,580 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $785/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$332
- Net cashflow
- $419
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4941 Liberty Hwy Unit b 1 Anderson, SC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 19d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-20status Pending
-
2026-04-17$135,000 Active
-
2005-06-10soldstatus $32,000
-
2002-03-12soldstatus $22,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $785 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $785 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,963
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$785
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,517
- − Management
- −$1,517
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $2,980
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$715
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,311/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Anderson 04
- NCES district ID
- 4500870
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,338
- Composite
- 49.25/100
- National rank
- #2030
- State rank
- #4 of 80 in SC
Livability — Northlake
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #36
- US rank
- #5001
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Anderson County · 99,076 people
- Metro
- Greenville-Anderson, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,482
- Household income
- $74,256
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1268.0
Population outlook (Anderson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 210,546 people
- By 2030
- 217,791 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 230,643 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 240,220 · +14.1%
- By 2075
- 259,518 · +23.3%
- By 2100
- 258,696 · +22.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 15% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Slovak 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Anderson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.7% · R 73.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.1pp toward R · 2008: -33.3pp · 2024: -47.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+42.0 2016: R+43.7 2012: R+36.4 2008: R+33.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -173.39%
- Current HPI
- 233.3422
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.55%
- Metro
- Greenville-Anderson, SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+513.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Pending — WUMLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $135,000 WUMLS
- 2005-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
- 2002-03-12 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.8%/yrLatest (2025): $785 · +9.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…