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1902 Bainbridge St
B Composite 71.15
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

1902 Bainbridge St · Richmond, VA 23224
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,313 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 274 Days on market
Built 1910 2,221 sqft lot $95/sqft · 53% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Two story 1313 sq. ft. total renovation project. Growing Manchester area with newly renovated homes and new construction. Minutes from Downtown Richmond.

Key facts

  • New construction
  • 2,221 sq ft lot
  • Built 1910

Tags

TOTAL RENOVATION PROJECTNEWLY RENOVATED HOMESNEW CONSTRUCTIONMINUTES FROM DOWNTOWN RICHMOND

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $728 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 3.3% in Richmond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#33 in VA, #793 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-.
  • Richmond City Public School District (urban): math 32% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #123 of 131 in VA (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 173 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,540 units permitted in Richmond city in 2024 (2,077 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,918/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 3584% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Richmond County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 274 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $90k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 274 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.53%
Cap rate
13.29%
Cash-on-cash
24.97%
DSCR
2.11
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$265,675
List price
$125,000
Delta
-52.95%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1322 Porter St 0.30mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,308 (-0%) 5mo $230,000 $176 75
1702 Everett St 0.35mi 2/1.5 1,216 (-7%) 8mo $275,000 $226 65
1602 Decatur St 0.23mi 2/2.0 1,491 (+14%) 2mo $324,500 $218 63
1912 Chicago Ave 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,280 (-2%) 2mo $150,000 $117 60
100 W 29th St 0.64mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,296 (-1%) 2mo $330,000 $255 59
1800 Maury St 0.40mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,487 (+13%) 1mo $285,000 $192 49
1110 Perry St 0.43mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,503 (+14%) 2mo $360,000 $240 47
1606 Chicago Ave 0.58mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,446 (+10%) 4mo $298,500 $206 46
2019 Dinwiddie Ave 0.61mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,490 (+14%) 1mo $340,000 $228 39
2004 Edwards Ave 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,136 (-14%) 1mo $225,000 $198 37
400 W 29th St 0.68mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,134 (-14%) 2mo $345,000 $304 37
2857 Decatur St 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,148 (-13%) 1mo $250,000 $218 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.55% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
1.83×
Total profit
$29,156
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
29.3%
Equity multiple
3.80×
Total profit
$97,914
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23224

Rents YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
173
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,918 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$79 /mo · $948/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$403
Net cashflow
$728

Break-even live

Break-even rent $996
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $799 -5% $764 +0% $728 +5% $693 +10% $658
Rent -10% $577 -5% $653 +0% $728 +5% $804 +10% $880
Rate -1.0pp $791 -0.5pp $760 base $728 +0.5pp $696 +1.0pp $663

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1912 Porter St Richmond, VA 3.0 1.5 1415 $1,950 $1.38 24d 1 0.07mi
1529 Porter St Unit A Richmond, VA 3.0 2.5 1711 $2,400 $1.40 24d 1 0.18mi
201 Cowardin Ave Unit B Richmond, VA 2.0 2.5 1436 $2,200 $1.53 44d 1 0.19mi
1422 Bainbridge St Richmond, VA 2.0 2.0 1121 $2,399 $2.14 3d 1 0.25mi
1411 Porter St Unit B Richmond, VA 3.0 3.0 1500 $2,145 $1.43 5d 1 0.29mi
1719 Everett St Richmond, VA 3.0 2.5 1748 $2,255 $1.29 44d 1 0.30mi
1429 McDonough St Richmond, VA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 826 $1,894 $2.29 3d 15 0.34mi
2522 Porter St Richmond, VA 3.0 2.5 1390 $1,800 $1.29 44d 1 0.37mi
2010 Maury St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 883 $1,675 $1.90 5d 1 0.39mi
1212 Porter St Unit B Richmond, VA 3.0 2.5 1837 $2,300 $1.25 44d 1 0.40mi
1212 Porter St Apt A Richmond, VA 2.0 2.0 980 $1,995 $2.04 5d 1 0.40mi
1207 Bainbridge St Richmond, VA 2.0 2.0 937 $2,250 $2.40 12d 1 0.40mi
1211 Porter St Richmond, VA 3.0 3.0 1571 $2,495 $1.59 20d 1 0.40mi
1203 Bainbridge St Apt A Richmond, VA 2.0 2.0 927 $1,495 $1.61 44d 1 0.42mi
10 W 27th St Unit P P Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 975 $1,300 $1.33 44d 1 0.49mi
2708 Semmes Ave Unit A Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,275 $1.21 44d 1 0.58mi
907 Bainbridge St Unit A Richmond, VA 2.0 2.0 927 $1,995 $2.15 44d 1 0.58mi
1913 Dinwiddie Ave Unit 1546196P Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 1044 $2,519 $2.41 15d 1 0.59mi
815 Porter St Richmond, VA 1.0 1.0 1010 $1,300 $1.29 5d 1 0.62mi
901 McDonough St Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 886 $2,037 $2.30 4d 14 0.63mi
815 Perry St Richmond, VA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1004 $1,450 $1.44 2d 10 0.63mi
800 Richmond Hwy Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 778 $2,044 $2.63 44d 1 0.65mi
800 Semmes Ave Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 760 $2,575 $3.39 4d 23 0.66mi
1808 Edwards Ave Richmond, VA 3.0 2.0 1040 $1,750 $1.68 24d 1 0.68mi
700 Stockton St Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0 1035 $1,805 $1.74 2d 31 0.72mi
15 W 7th St Richmond, VA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 881 $2,178 $2.47 3d 6 0.72mi
616 Hull St Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 756 $1,495 $1.98 5d 5 0.72mi
84 W 6th St Richmond, VA 3.0 2.0 1493 $2,715 $1.82 4d 1 0.75mi
700 Everett St Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 809 $1,849 $2.28 5d 14 0.78mi
500 Stockton St Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 748 $1,346 $1.80 4d 16 0.83mi
411 Bainbridge St Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 788 $1,843 $2.34 3d 18 0.85mi
21 E 4th St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0–2.0 700 $2,028 $2.90 3d 12 0.87mi
403 Stockton St Richmond, VA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 882 $1,685 $1.91 4d 22 0.87mi
500 Maury St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0–2.0 665 $2,295 $3.45 4d 17 0.89mi
1100 Richmond Hwy Richmond, VA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1062 $1,880 $1.77 2d 16 0.90mi
360 Stockton St Richmond, VA 1.0 1.0–2.0 812 $1,525 $1.88 44d 3 0.92mi
307 Stockton St Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 853 $1,722 $2.02 2d 27 0.93mi
201 Hull St Apt 41 Richmond, VA 2.0 1.5 962 $1,750 $1.82 17d 1 0.96mi
103 E 2nd St Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0–2.0 820 $2,340 $2.85 3d 18 0.99mi
2200 Ingram Ave Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0–2.0 711 $1,668 $2.35 5d 1 0.99mi

Listing history 40 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 274 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 273 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 272 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 271 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 269 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $125,000 Active 266 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 265 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 264 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 263 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 259 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 258 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 257 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 256 DOM
  14. 2026-05-08
    price $125,000 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Two story 1313 sq. ft. total renovation project. Growing Manchester area with newly renovated homes and new construction. Minutes from Downtown Richmond.

  15. 2025-09-15
    listed $129,000 Active 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Two story 1313 sq. ft. total renovation project. Growing Manchester area with newly renovated homes and new construction. Minutes from Downtown Richmond.

  16. 2025-07-31
    historical
  17. 2024-10-24
    listed $130,000 Active
  18. 2024-08-16
    historical
  19. 2024-06-04
    price $135,500
  20. 2024-05-09
    price $139,500
  21. 2024-04-10
    price $143,000
  22. 2024-03-08
    status Active
  23. 2024-02-29
    status Pending
  24. 2024-02-27
    price $145,950
  25. 2023-12-20
    price $148,500
  26. 2023-10-16
    listed $151,500 Active
  27. 2023-10-15
    historical
  28. 2023-09-19
    price $157,500
  29. 2023-08-09
    price $169,950
  30. 2023-06-29
    listed $180,000 Active
  31. 2020-07-22
    soldstatus $90,000 Closed
  32. 2020-06-30
    status Pending
  33. 2020-06-26
    price $94,990
  34. 2020-06-06
    listed $114,990 Active
  35. 2017-08-01
    soldstatus $13,500
  36. 2017-04-15
    historical
  37. 2017-03-28
    price $39,500
  38. 2017-03-16
    listed $44,500 Active
  39. 1995-09-29
    soldstatus $8,000
  40. 1985-10-17
    soldstatus $11,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$948 · $79/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,025 · $85/mo
Expected delta
+$77/yr (+$6/mo · 8.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,013
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$948
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,841
− Management
−$1,841
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$7,119
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,709
After-tax cash flow
$7,032/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Richmond City Public School District
NCES district ID
5103240
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$40,276
Composite
33.09/100
National rank
#5564
State rank
#123 of 131 in VA

Livability — Richmond

Score
84/100
State rank
#33
US rank
#793

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B- Crime D- Employment C Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Richmond, VA
County
Richmond City · 178,280 people
City population
287,109
Metro
Richmond, VA
Population (ZIP)
40,575
Household income
$50,475
Rent vs Own
63.6% rent · 36.4% own
Severe rent burden
3584.0

Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
262,263 people
By 2030
284,503 · +8.5%
By 2040
327,353 · +24.8%
By 2050
367,946 · +40.3%
By 2075
449,560 · +71.4%
By 2100
500,301 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% Hispanic / Latino 22% White 15% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 19% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Richmond

2024 margin
Solid D (+66.3) · D 82.0% · R 15.8% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
+7.2pp toward D · 2008: 59.1pp · 2024: 66.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+66.3 2020: D+68.0 2016: D+63.8 2012: D+55.7 2008: D+59.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -283.99%
Current HPI
336.9345
Rent YoY
▲ 4.55%
Metro
Richmond, VA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1036.4% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $125,000 CVRMLS
  • 2025-09-15 Listed $129,000 CVRMLS
  • 2025-07-31 Listing Removed CVRMLS
  • 2024-10-24 Listed $130,000 CVRMLS
  • 2024-08-16 Listing Removed CVRMLS
  • 2024-06-04 Price Changed $135,500 CVRMLS
  • 2024-05-09 Price Changed $139,500 CVRMLS
  • 2024-04-10 Price Changed $143,000 CVRMLS
  • 2024-03-08 Relisted CVRMLS
  • 2024-02-29 Pending CVRMLS
  • 2024-02-27 Price Changed $145,950 CVRMLS
  • 2023-12-20 Price Changed $148,500 CVRMLS
  • 2023-10-16 Listed $151,500 CVRMLS
  • 2023-10-15 Listing Removed CVRMLS
  • 2023-09-19 Price Changed $157,500 CVRMLS
  • 2023-08-09 Price Changed $169,950 CVRMLS
  • 2023-06-29 Listed $180,000 CVRMLS
  • 2020-07-22 Sold (MLS) $90,000 CVRMLS
  • 2020-06-30 Pending CVRMLS
  • 2020-06-26 Price Changed $94,990 CVRMLS
  • 2020-06-06 Listed $114,990 CVRMLS
  • 2017-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $13,500 Public Records
  • 2017-04-15 Listing Removed CVRMLS
  • 2017-03-28 Price Changed $39,500 CVRMLS
  • 2017-03-16 Listed $44,500 CVRMLS
  • 1995-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records
  • 1985-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2022): $948 · +41.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…