714 S Oak St · Fergus Falls, MN
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$54,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Check out this cute 4 bedroom home featuring a large kitchen, open dining and living area, two main floor bedrooms, main floor laundry, and a large yard. This property also includes newer kitchen appliances, wood floors, and a spacious foyer. .. all it needs now is YOU!
Key facts
- Wood floors
- Main floor laundry
- Large yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Additional parcels included
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or attached garage with 1 garage space
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
- Home design: Residential property; Entry level: main and upper half-levels
- Construction: Foundation: Other
- Exterior features: Metal exterior
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Partial basement; One and one-half levels
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $54k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $426 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $54k).
- Cap rate 15.7% vs local median 3.3% in Fergus Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#31 in MN, #969 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, commute F.
- Fergus Falls Public School District (town): math 59% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #46 of 301 in MN (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 118 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 140 units permitted in Otter Tail County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $377 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1897 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1897 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.97% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.51%
- DSCR
- 2.49
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.20×
- Total profit
- $18,353
- Equity at exit
- $8,126
- IRR
- 36.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.35×
- Total profit
- $51,109
- Equity at exit
- $4,712
Cash invested: $15,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56537
- Home prices YoY
- -28.5%
- Active inventory
- 118
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,075 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$286
- Tax from tax record
- −$114 /mo · $1,374/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$226
- Net cashflow
- $426
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $457 | -5% $442 | +0% $426 | +5% $411 | +10% $395 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $341 | -5% $384 | +0% $426 | +5% $469 | +10% $511 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $454 | -0.5pp $440 | base $426 | +0.5pp $412 | +1.0pp $398 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,625
- Closing costs
- $1,635
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 816 W Laurel St Fergus Falls, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 765 | $900 | $1.18 | 22d | 4 | 0.84mi |
| 1004 Union Ave Unit 11 Fergus Falls, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $995 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 623 W Fir Ave Fergus Falls, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 922 | $1,160 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-05-16$54,500 Active
-
2025-10-13historical
-
2025-09-12price $54,900
-
2025-08-28price $64,900
-
2025-08-15price $74,900
-
2025-08-07$79,900 Active
-
2025-08-04historical
-
2025-07-18price $89,900
-
2025-07-15$99,900 Active
-
2016-09-01soldstatus $59,900
-
2016-09-01soldstatus $63,000
-
2016-08-30soldstatus $63,000
-
2015-11-17$66,500
-
2010-02-01soldstatus $59,900
-
2010-02-01soldstatus $59,900
-
2010-01-08$59,900
-
2009-12-30soldstatus $40,000
-
2009-12-30soldstatus $40,000
-
2009-08-17$64,900
-
2009-08-04soldstatus $50,000
-
2009-08-03soldstatus $50,000
-
2009-06-01$55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,374 · $114/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,374 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,898
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,053
- − Property taxes
- −$1,374
- − Insurance
- −$272
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,032
- − Management
- −$1,032
- − Depreciation
- −$1,585
- Taxable income
- $4,550
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,092
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,021/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fergus Falls Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2711880
- Math proficiency
- 59% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,044
- Composite
- 50.89/100
- National rank
- #1790
- State rank
- #46 of 301 in MN
Livability — Fergus Falls
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #969
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fergus Falls, MN
- County
- Otter Tail County · 19,856 people
- City population
- 19,856
- Metro
- Fergus Falls, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,856
- Household income
- $65,473
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 420.0
Population outlook (Otter Tail County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 58,183 people
- By 2030
- 58,267 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 57,999 · -0.3%
- By 2050
- 57,183 · -1.7%
- By 2075
- 57,638 · -0.9%
- By 2100
- 54,697 · -6.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 29% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Otter Tail
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.2) · D 32.1% · R 66.3% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.3pp toward R · 2008: -12.9pp · 2024: -34.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.2 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+35.9 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+12.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.58%
- Current HPI
- 204.9606
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Fergus Falls, MN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
-0.9% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Listed $54,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-13 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-12 Price Changed $54,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-28 Price Changed $64,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-15 Price Changed $74,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-07 Listed $79,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-04 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-18 Price Changed $89,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-15 Listed $99,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
- 2016-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records
- 2016-08-30 Sold (MLS) $63,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-11-17 Listed $66,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records
- 2010-02-01 Sold (MLS) $59,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-01-08 Listed $59,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 2009-12-30 Sold (MLS) $40,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-08-17 Listed $64,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2009-08-03 Sold (MLS) $50,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-06-01 Listed $55,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,374 · -13.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…