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1011 Bert Cir
A Composite 85.04
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +6.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$72,999

1011 Bert Cir · Penn, PA 15675
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,013 sqft · SingleFamily · 70 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition $72/sqft · 25% below area Est $97k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

More space. More comfort. This brand-new 1,001 square foot, 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the room you need without the price tag you'd expect. Perfect for couples, small families, or anyone ready to start owning. The Highland delivers a thoughtful single-level layout with generous living space, two full bathrooms, and bedrooms designed for real life. The open kitchen flows into the living area, making everyday living feel easy and connected. Kitchen features include stainless steel appliances (18 cu. ft. refrigerator, 30" electric range, vented hood), a counter-height island, LED lighting, and durable laminate countertops with modern cabinetry. Built to last with R-33 roof insulation, R-13 wall insulation, 8' flat ceilings with stipple finish, vinyl lap siding with 25-year architectural shingles, Low-E insulated vinyl windows with grids, 200 Amp electrical panel, 40-gallon electric water heater, and a full 1-year warranty. Penn Heights is a quiet, welcoming community in Pennsylvania - where small-town charm meets everyday convenience. Residents enjoy easy access to local shopping, dining, parks, and major routes, while still coming home to a peaceful, private setting.

Key facts

  • Modern cabinetry
  • Single-level layout
  • Open kitchen

Tags

SINGLE-LEVEL LAYOUTOPEN KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESCOUNTER-HEIGHT ISLANDDURABLE LAMINATE COUNTERTOPSMODERN CABINETRY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $73k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $419 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $73k).
  • Recommended offer: $69k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,637 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Penn-Trafford SD (suburban): math 60% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #27 of 539 in PA (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 415 units permitted in Westmoreland County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $85 of equity ($504 loan paydown + $-419 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
  • Westmoreland County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $68,619 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.60%
Cap rate
13.18%
Cash-on-cash
24.59%
DSCR
2.09
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$96,859
List price
$72,999
Delta
-24.63%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
113 S 13th St 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 900 (-11%) 7mo $85,000 $94 32
113 1/2 13th St 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 870 (-14%) 1mo $66,800 $77 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.57% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.5%
Equity multiple
2.11×
Total profit
$22,617
Equity at exit
$19,127
10-year hold
IRR
28.3%
Equity multiple
4.01×
Total profit
$61,556
Equity at exit
$21,399

Cash invested: $20,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15675

Home prices YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
12
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,169 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$383
Tax est. 1.5%
$91 /mo · $1,095/yr
Insurance
$30
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$245
Net cashflow
$419

Break-even live

Break-even rent $639
Max offer price $72,999
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,250
Closing costs
$2,190
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
211 S 7th St Unit A Jeannette, PA 3.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 1d 1 1.11mi
305 Chestnut St Jeannette, PA 2.0 1.0 1250 $1,265 $1.01 10d 1 1.30mi
36 Gaskill Ave Unit 2 Jeannette, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $950 $0.86 1d 1 1.44mi
508 Lowry Ave Jeannette, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 43d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $72,999 Active 70 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $72,999 Active 69 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $72,999 Active 68 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $72,999 Active 67 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $72,999 Active 65 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $72,999 Active 61 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $72,999 Active 60 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $72,999 Active 59 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $72,999 Active 56 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $72,999 Active 55 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $72,999 Active 54 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $72,999 Active 53 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $72,999 Active 52 DOM
  14. 2026-04-09
    listed $72,999 Active 1192-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1192 chars)

    More space. More comfort. This brand-new 1,001 square foot, 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the room you need without the price tag you'd expect. Perfect for couples, small families, or anyone ready to start owning. The Highland delivers a thoughtful single-level layout with generous living space, two full bathrooms, and bedrooms designed for real life. The open kitchen flows into the living area, making everyday living feel easy and connected. Kitchen features include stainless steel appliances (18 cu. ft. refrigerator, 30" electric range, vented hood), a counter-height island, LED lighting, and durable laminate countertops with modern cabinetry. Built to last with R-33 roof insulation, R-13 wall insulation, 8' flat ceilings with stipple finish, vinyl lap siding with 25-year architectural shingles, Low-E insulated vinyl windows with grids, 200 Amp electrical panel, 40-gallon electric water heater, and a full 1-year warranty. Penn Heights is a quiet, welcoming community in Pennsylvania - where small-town charm meets everyday convenience. Residents enjoy easy access to local shopping, dining, parks, and major routes, while still coming home to a peaceful, private setting.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,026
− Mortgage interest
−$4,089
− Property taxes
−$1,095
− Insurance
−$365
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,122
− Management
−$1,122
− Depreciation
−$2,124
Taxable income
$4,109
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$986
After-tax cash flow
$4,041/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This brand-new, single-level home offers a thoughtful layout with generous living space and modern amenities, making it an excellent investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Improves convenience and adds modern appeal, attracting more buyers and renters.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances enhance functionality and appeal, making the home more desirable for both buyers and renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Improves convenience and adds modern appeal, attracting more buyers and renters.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances enhance functionality and appeal, making the home more desirable for both buyers and renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Penn-Trafford SD
NCES district ID
4218660
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
78% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$68,988
Composite
60.28/100
National rank
#855
State rank
#27 of 539 in PA

Livability — Penn

Score
56/100
State rank
#1637
US rank
#22584

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,259

Population outlook (Westmoreland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
342,555 people
By 2030
331,717 · -3.2%
By 2040
304,976 · -11.0%
By 2050
277,444 · -19.0%
By 2075
224,607 · -34.4%
By 2100
171,084 · -50.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Italian 4% Subsaharan African 3%
Foreign-born
3%
Languages at home
93% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Westmoreland

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.4% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-11.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+31.3 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+16.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.57%
Current HPI
299.5257
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $72,999 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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