1011 Bert Cir · Penn, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- Schools +7.5/10.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$79,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
More space. More comfort. This brand-new 1,013 square foot, 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the room you need without the price tag you'd expect. Perfect for couples, small families, or anyone ready to start owning. The Highland delivers a thoughtful single-level layout with generous living space, two full bathrooms, and bedrooms designed for real life. The open kitchen flows into the living area, making everyday living feel easy and connected. Kitchen features include stainless steel appliances (18 cu. ft. refrigerator, 30" electric range, vented hood), a counter-height island, LED lighting, and durable laminate countertops with modern cabinetry.
Key facts
- Modern cabinetry
- Single-level layout
- Open kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $371 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 2.5% in Penn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,637 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Penn-Trafford SD (suburban): math 60% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #27 of 539 in PA (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Penn Trafford Hs (math 89%, 1,263 students, 19% FRL) — zoned schools at 19% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 60d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 415 units permitted in Westmoreland County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $94 of equity ($553 loan paydown + $-459 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
- Westmoreland County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.85%
- DSCR
- 1.88
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $98,074
- List price
- $79,999
- Delta
- -18.43%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 303 Mount Manor Rd | 1.11mi | 3/2.0 | 920 (-9%) | 6mo | $161,000 | $175 | 45 |
| 923 Scott Ave | 0.96mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 936 (-8%) | 4mo | $134,900 | $144 | 44 |
| 214 S 7th St | 1.12mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (-11%) | 5mo | $65,000 | $72 | 33 |
| 113 S 13th St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (-11%) | 8mo | $85,000 | $94 | 31 |
| 113 1/2 13th St | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 870 (-14%) | 3mo | $66,800 | $77 | 30 |
| 820 Cowan | 1.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,150 (+14%) | 22mo | $167,500 | $146 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.57% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $19,144
- Equity at exit
- $20,961
- IRR
- 23.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.47×
- Total profit
- $55,278
- Equity at exit
- $23,451
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 5 active
- Months of supply
- 15.0 mo (7%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $79,999 ($84/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 121 d
- This list price
- 40% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +15.9% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 15675
- Home prices YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 15
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,169 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $371
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $426 | -5% $398 | +0% $371 | +5% $343 | +10% $315 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $278 | -5% $324 | +0% $371 | +5% $417 | +10% $463 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $411 | -0.5pp $391 | base $371 | +0.5pp $350 | +1.0pp $329 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 S 7th St Unit A Jeannette, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 15d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 305 Chestnut St Jeannette, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,265 | $1.01 | 59d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 36 Gaskill Ave Unit 2 Jeannette, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $950 | $0.86 | 15d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 508 Lowry Ave Jeannette, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 93d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info
- List price $72,999
Exterior
- Home design
- Spec home — The Highland plan
- Construction
- Living area approximately 1013Built or listed in 2026
- Exterior features
- Shake roof
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 bathrooms
- Interior features
- Microwave
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $79,999 Active 121 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $79,999 Active 120 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $79,999 Active 119 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $79,999 Active 118 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $79,999 Active 117 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $79,999 Active 116 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $79,999 Active 113 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $79,999 Active 112 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $79,999 Active 111 DOM
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2026-07-28pricedays on market $79,999 Active 110 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $72,999 Active 108 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $72,999 Active 106 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $72,999 Active 105 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $72,999 Active 104 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $72,999 Active 103 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $72,999 Active 102 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $72,999 Active 100 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $72,999 Active 99 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $72,999 Active 98 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $72,999 Active 97 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $72,999 Active 96 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $72,999 Active 95 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $72,999 Active 94 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $72,999 Active 93 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $72,999 Active 92 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $72,999 Active 91 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $72,999 Active 89 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $72,999 Active 88 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $72,999 Active 87 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $72,999 Active 85 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $72,999 Active 84 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $72,999 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $72,999 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $72,999 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $72,999 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $72,999 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $72,999 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-25days on market $72,999 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $72,999 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $72,999 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $72,999 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $72,999 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $72,999 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $72,999 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $72,999 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $72,999 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $72,999 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $72,999 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $72,999 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $72,999 Active 55 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,026
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,200
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,122
- − Management
- −$1,122
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $3,373
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$810
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,637/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This brand-new, single-level home offers a thoughtful layout with generous living space and modern amenities, making it an excellent investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Improves convenience and adds modern appeal, attracting more buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances enhance functionality and appeal, making the home more desirable for both buyers and renters. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Penn-Trafford SD
- NCES district ID
- 4218660
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,988
- Composite
- 60.28/100
- National rank
- #855
- State rank
- #27 of 539 in PA
Livability — Penn
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1637
- US rank
- #22584
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Westmoreland · 342,555 people
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,259
- Household income
- $71,970
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Westmoreland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 342,555 people
- By 2030
- 331,717 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 304,976 · -11.0%
- By 2050
- 277,444 · -19.0%
- By 2075
- 224,607 · -34.4%
- By 2100
- 171,084 · -50.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Italian 4% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3%
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Westmoreland
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.4% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+31.3 2012: R+23.7 2008: R+16.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.57%
- Current HPI
- 299.5257
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…