28 E Central Ave · Ridgeley, WV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.4/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Appreciation +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.2/15.0
$99,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Affordable Ridgeley opportunity with flexibility! This three bedroom, one bath, two-story home offers a classic covered front porch, metal roof, and a spacious yard. It’s in livable condition and could be moved into now while you make updates over time—just needs a few minor fixes and your personal touch. Great option for a first-time buyer, investor, or anyone looking for value with upside in a convenient in-town location. Don't miss this one! Property is being sold As Is.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Spacious yard
- Metal roof
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Natural gas available for heating; Electric hot water; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached property; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation; Estimated year built
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Located within city limits; Above-grade other structures
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: 90% forced air heating; Heat pump(s)
- Interior features: Full basement; Estimated living area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $321 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#28 in WV, #4,047 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute C-, amenities D, schools F.
- Mineral County Schools (rural): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #32 of 55 in WV (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 64 units permitted in Mineral County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($688 loan paydown + $769 appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
- Mineral County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $49k; list at $100k implies a 103% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.82%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $87,360
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83 Knobley St | 0.10mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,344 (+8%) | 1mo | $108,000 | $80 | 75 |
| 880 Maryland Ave | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-4%) | 3mo | $84,500 | $70 | 64 |
| 6 Race St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,280 (+3%) | 5mo | $10,000 | $8 | 64 |
| 129 Race St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,330 (+7%) | 2mo | $90,400 | $68 | 58 |
| 118 Oak St | 0.40mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,377 (+10%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $113 | 56 |
| 15 W Second St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,152 (-8%) | 5mo | $12,500 | $11 | 54 |
| 920 Maryland Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,408 (+13%) | 7mo | $46,350 | $33 | 53 |
| 504 Prince George St | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 1,152 (-8%) | 6mo | $252,600 | $219 | 50 |
| 511 Patterson Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,422 (+14%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $123 | 49 |
| 135 W Third St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,428 (+14%) | 6mo | $95,000 | $67 | 46 |
| 319 Race St | 0.72mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,176 (-6%) | 8mo | $40,000 | $34 | 43 |
| 407 Caroline St | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 | 1,432 (+15%) | 5mo | $214,900 | $150 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.77% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $21,167
- Equity at exit
- $32,799
- IRR
- 18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.22×
- Total profit
- $61,963
- Equity at exit
- $42,697
Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 26753
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 49
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,174 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$522
- Tax from tax record
- −$43 /mo · $519/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$247
- Net cashflow
- $321
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $377 | -5% $349 | +0% $321 | +5% $293 | +10% $265 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $228 | -5% $275 | +0% $321 | +5% $367 | +10% $414 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $371 | -0.5pp $346 | base $321 | +0.5pp $295 | +1.0pp $269 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,875
- Closing costs
- $2,985
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 131 Grand Ave Cumberland, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $1,300 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 201 Spring St Cumberland, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1332 | $950 | $0.71 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 415 Grand Ave Cumberland, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1325 | $1,250 | $0.94 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 418 N Mechanic St Unit 1B Cumberland, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 418 N Mechanic St Unit 1C Cumberland, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,295 | $0.86 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 118 Independence St Cumberland, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,250 | $0.99 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 529 N Centre St Unit Rear Cumberland, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 982 | $850 | $0.87 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 423 Furnace St Cumberland, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1440 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 516 Bedford St Cumberland, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,195 | $0.80 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $99,500 Pending 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,500 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,500 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,500 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01remarks 479-char remark
-
2026-06-01$99,500 Active 28 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $519 · $43/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $587 · $49/mo
- Expected delta
- +$68/yr (+$6/mo · 13.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,087
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,574
- − Property taxes
- −$519
- − Insurance
- −$498
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,127
- − Management
- −$1,127
- − Depreciation
- −$2,895
- Taxable income
- $2,348
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$564
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,287/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mineral County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400870
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,161
- Composite
- 24.85/100
- National rank
- #7590
- State rank
- #32 of 55 in WV
Livability — Ridgeley
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #28
- US rank
- #4047
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ridgeley, WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,858
Population outlook (Mineral County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,357 people
- By 2030
- 24,009 · -5.3%
- By 2040
- 21,321 · -15.9%
- By 2050
- 18,801 · -25.9%
- By 2075
- 13,934 · -45.0%
- By 2100
- 10,141 · -60.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 9% Scottish 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mineral
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.2) · D 19.2% · R 79.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -60.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.2 2020: R+57.3 2016: R+60.8 2012: R+45.0 2008: R+33.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.77%
- Current HPI
- 231.8437
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+103.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-18 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-18 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-21 Listed $99,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2003-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $519 · +145.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…