2238 N Travis Ave · Springfield, MO 65803

$55,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market

Built 1906 6,970 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +3.6/5.0
• Schools +3.2/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Investment property for fixing up and selling or remodeling to rent. Great opportunitySelling 'as Is'Good size rooms. All new windows. Water heater only 6 years old.

Key facts

• Water heater
• Investment property
• New windows

Tags

• INVESTMENT PROPERTY
• NEW WINDOWS
• WATER HEATER

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Driveway; 1-car garage
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single-family residence; One level
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Other construction materials; Composition roof
• Exterior features: Front porch; Storm door(s); Chain link fencing; Shed(s) and outbuilding

Interior

• Kitchen: Gas cooktop
• Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Floor furnace; Ceiling fans; Attic fan; Has cooling
• Interior features: Storm windows; Gas water heater
• Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $403 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($959 rent vs $55k).
• Cap rate 15.1% vs local median 4.6% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#57 in MO, #4,121 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
• Springfield R-XII (urban): math 32% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #174 of 324 in MO (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Robberson Elem. (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #813 of 1,115 statewide, top 75%, 166 students, 89% FRL); Hillcrest High (math 9% / reading 35%, grade F, #462 of 521 statewide, top 90%, 1,017 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 46% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 39% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Springfield R-XII average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 394 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,302 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Greene County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.2% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $55,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.74% ✓
• Cap rate: 15.09%
• Cash-on-cash: 31.42%
• DSCR: 2.40
• GRM: 4.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $122,880
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2160 N Kellett Ave	0.18mi	2/1.0	964 (+0%)	2mo	$104,900	$109	90
2310 N Pierce Ave	0.24mi	2/1.0	976 (+2%)	1mo	$14,900	$15	85
1112 E Dale St	0.23mi	2/1.0	988 (+3%)	1mo	$114,900	$116	84
2111 N Rogers Ave	0.40mi	2/1.0	962 (+0%)	1mo	$165,000	$172	80
1012 E Talmage St	0.41mi	2/1.0	960 (0%)	2mo	$139,000	$145	79
2036 N Prospect Ave	0.41mi	2/1.0	976 (+2%)	0mo	$125,000	$128	78
2023 N Taylor Ave	0.30mi	2/1.0	1,035 (+8%)	2mo	$80,000	$77	72
2033 N Taylor Ave	0.28mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,036 (+8%)	2mo	$120,000	$116	67
2110 N Pickwick Ave	0.54mi	2/1.0	1,022 (+6%)	1mo	$132,500	$130	63
1433 E Commercial St	0.72mi	2/1.0	1,008 (+5%)	1mo	$124,900	$124	57
2734 N Summit Ave	0.68mi	3/1.5 (+1)	1,008 (+5%)	0mo	$155,000	$154	53
917 E Kerr St	0.70mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,056 (+10%)	2mo	$164,900	$156	44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 27.6%
• Equity multiple: 2.17×
• Total profit: $17,976
• Equity at exit: $8,201

10-year hold

• IRR: 35.8%
• Equity multiple: 4.49×
• Total profit: $53,808
• Equity at exit: $4,755

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Missouri: 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 65803

• Home prices YoY: -29.8%
• Rents YoY: 4.2%
• Active inventory: 394
• Price-to-rent: 4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $959 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$288
• Tax from tax record: −$43 /mo · $513/yr
• Insurance: −$23
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$201
• Net cashflow: $403

Break-even live

Break-even rent $448

Max offer price $55,000

Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $13,750
• Closing costs: $1,650
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 31 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2234 N Travis Ave Springfield, MO	1.0	1.0	890	$750	$0.84	43d	1	0.00mi
2346 N Kellett Ave Apt B Springfield, MO	1.0	1.0	550	$825	$1.50	43d	1	0.21mi
2337 N Ramsey Ave Springfield, MO	2.0	1.0	882	$875	$0.99	13d	1	0.26mi
2345 N Prospect Ave Springfield, MO	2.0	1.0	792	$850	$1.07	13d	1	0.33mi
2313 N Rogers Ave Unit 1 Springfield, MO	2.0	2.0	882	$950	$1.08	13d	1	0.37mi
805 E Garfield St Springfield, MO	2.0	1.0	950	$950	$1.00	13d	1	0.37mi
2054 N Rogers Ave Springfield, MO	2.0	1.0	888	$925	$1.04	13d	1	0.44mi
2034 N Washington Ave Springfield, MO	2.0	1.0	800	$875	$1.09	43d	1	0.47mi
1447 E Oakwood Ln Springfield, MO	2.0	2.0	982	$1,395	$1.42	43d	1	0.53mi
407 E Dale St Apt B Springfield, MO	2.0	1.0	720	$795	$1.10	13d	1	0.61mi
2337 N Delaware Ave Springfield, MO	2.0	1.0	876	$1,195	$1.36	43d	1	0.64mi
1636 N National Ave Springfield, MO	3.0	1.5	1000	$995	$0.99	43d	1	0.68mi
1112 E Locust St Springfield, MO	2.0	1.0	840	$945	$1.12	23d	1	0.76mi
317 E Chase St Springfield, MO	2.0	2.0	915	$1,100	$1.20	43d	1	0.79mi
716 E Locust St Unit A Springfield, MO	2.0	1.0	915	$850	$0.93	23d	1	0.80mi
1501 E Blaine St Springfield, MO	2.0	1.0	958	$695	$0.73	23d	1	0.81mi
2230 N Campbell Ave Springfield, MO	2.0	1.0	1084	$1,095	$1.01	43d	1	0.82mi
2940 N East Ave Springfield, MO	2.0	2.0	915	$700	$0.77	13d	1	0.89mi
1623 N Jefferson Ave Unit B Springfield, MO	1.0	1.0	750	$950	$1.27	43d	1	0.93mi
1529 N Weller Ave Springfield, MO	2.0	1.0	870	$995	$1.14	23d	1	0.94mi
1246 E Norton Rd Springfield, MO	1.0	1.0	650	$595	$0.92	43d	1	0.95mi
203 W Commercial St Unit 2F Springfield, MO	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,150	$1.15	21d	1	0.97mi
1710 E Commercial St Unit B Springfield, MO	2.0	1.0	950	$775	$0.82	43d	1	1.01mi
1530 N Robberson Ave Springfield, MO	3.0	2.0	1122	$1,425	$1.27	43d	1	1.02mi
3000 N Kentwood Ave Springfield, MO	1.0	1.0	650	$650	$1.00	13d	1	1.05mi
1034 E McCanse St Springfield, MO	3.0	1.0	910	$1,150	$1.26	23d	1	1.05mi
1409 N Washington Ave Springfield, MO	2.0	1.0	839	$1,405	$1.67	13d	2	1.05mi
1306 N Frisco Ave Apt A Springfield, MO	2.0	1.5–2.0	970	$995	$1.03	13d	19	1.07mi
2850 N Campbell Ave Apt S Springfield, MO	1.0	1.0	727	$750	$1.03	43d	1	1.11mi
603 W Division St Springfield, MO	2.0	1.0	816	$995	$1.22	13d	1	1.31mi
2120 N Johnston Ave Springfield, MO	2.0	1.0	880	$925	$1.05	43d	1	1.49mi

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-05-27
   listed $55,000 Active
2. 2012-09-17
   soldstatus
3. 2009-08-18
   soldstatus
4. 2005-05-31
   soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $513 · $43/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $534 · $44/mo
• Expected delta: +$20/yr (+$2/mo · 4.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $11,503
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,081
• − Property taxes: −$513
• − Insurance: −$275
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$920
• − Management: −$920
• − Depreciation: −$1,600
• Taxable income: $4,194
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,006
• After-tax cash flow: $3,832/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Springfield R-XII
• NCES district ID: 2928860
• Math proficiency: 32% ▼ -2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 46% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $37,886
• Composite: 32.45/100
• National rank: #5717
• State rank: #174 of 324 in MO

Livability — Springfield

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #57
• US rank: #4121

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Springfield, MO
• County: Greene County · 244,327 people
• City population: 223,044
• Metro: Springfield, MO
• Population (ZIP): 42,882
• Household income: $50,572
• Rent vs Own: 45.0% rent · 55.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 1305.0

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 319,054 people
• By 2030: 335,135 · +5.0%
• By 2040: 366,186 · +14.8%
• By 2050: 397,431 · +24.6%
• By 2075: 477,035 · +49.5%
• By 2100: 520,828 · +63.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (82%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 82% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.9% · R 59.7% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -5.0pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -20.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+27.4 2012: R+24.4 2008: R+15.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -87.08%
• Current HPI: 205.0439
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.24%
• Metro: Springfield, MO
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.84%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$163B
▸Insurance	1	$21B
▸Industrial Technology	1	$17B
▸Retail	1	$16B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$10B
▸Utilities	1	$9B

Price history

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-27 Listed $55,000 SOMO
• 2012-09-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2009-08-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2005-05-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $513 · +21.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.