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4217 Massachusetts St
B+ Composite 78.41
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Appreciation +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0

$30,000

4217 Massachusetts St · Gary, IN 46409
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 840 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 122 Days on market
Built 1924 3,920 sqft lot $36/sqft · 40% below area Est $50k · 40% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Brick Home For Sale In Gary * Large Living Room * Eat In Kitchen * 2 Nice Sized Bedrooms * Full Basement * Detached 1 Car Garage * Please See Agent Remarks For Offer Submission Instructions *

Key facts

  • Eat in kitchen
  • Large living room
  • Full basement

Tags

LARGE LIVING ROOMEAT IN KITCHENFULL BASEMENTDETACHED 1 CAR GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $741 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
  • Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 35.9% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 75 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (40%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $5k; list at $30k implies a 545% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $26,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.16%
Cap rate
35.94%
Cash-on-cash
105.88%
DSCR
5.71
GRM
2.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$50,225
List price
$30,000
Delta
-40.27%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4217 Massachusetts St 0.00mi 2/1.0 840 (0%) 1mo $28,000 $33 99
4217 Maryland St 0.25mi 2/1.0 864 (+3%) 3mo $49,900 $58 81
4019 Pennsylvania St 0.29mi 2/— 856 (+2%) 4mo $36,500 $43 80
4002 Pennsylvania St 0.29mi 2/1.0 846 (+1%) 8mo $50,000 $59 79
4341 Maryland St 0.29mi 2/1.0 864 (+3%) 7mo $59,000 $68 76
4016 Connecticut St 0.26mi 2/1.0 920 (+10%) 4mo $25,000 $27 68
908 E 44th Ave 0.55mi 2/1.5 790 (-6%) 2mo $34,000 $43 61
3953 Monroe St 0.51mi 2/1.0 740 (-12%) 2mo $57,000 $77 54
4525 Tyler St 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 875 (+4%) 1mo $136,000 $155 53
4646 Pennsylvania St 0.54mi 2/1.0 734 (-13%) 4mo $30,000 $41 50
436 E 47th Pl 0.67mi 3/1.0 (+1) 925 (+10%) 0mo $157,000 $170 47
436 E 48th Ave 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 925 (+10%) 2mo $100,000 $108 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.85% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.33×
Total profit
$44,754
Equity at exit
$4,473
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
14.10×
Total profit
$110,014
Equity at exit
$2,594

Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46409

Home prices YoY
-2.0%
Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
2.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,248 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $903/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$262
Net cashflow
$741

Break-even live

Break-even rent $310
Max offer price $30,000
Occupancy floor 36%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $758 -5% $750 +0% $741 +5% $733 +10% $724
Rent -10% $643 -5% $692 +0% $741 +5% $791 +10% $840
Rate -1.0pp $756 -0.5pp $749 base $741 +0.5pp $733 +1.0pp $726

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,500
Closing costs
$900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4456 Connecticut St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1044 $1,300 $1.25 3d 1 0.31mi
4327 Monroe St Unit 1st front Gary, IN 1.0 1.0 600 $1,095 $1.82 1d 1 0.40mi
624 W 44th Pl Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 836 $1,250 $1.50 7d 1 0.56mi
4018 Tyler St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 880 $1,350 $1.53 1d 1 0.69mi
4816 Massachusetts St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,350 $1.32 15d 1 0.77mi
4170 Fillmore St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 720 $950 $1.32 19d 1 0.78mi
4748 Monroe St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1074 $1,695 $1.58 1d 1 0.78mi
4040 Fillmore St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 10d 1 0.81mi
3708 Harrison St Gary, IN 3.0 1.5 904 $1,400 $1.55 2d 1 0.87mi
4364 Buchanan St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 1d 1 0.92mi
816 E 35th Ct Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 810 $1,075 $1.33 1d 1 0.98mi
5001 Carolina St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 875 $1,350 $1.54 2d 1 1.08mi
3777 Lincoln St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 800 $1,150 $1.44 1d 1 1.09mi
4905 Kentucky St Unit 4901 Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 950 $1,525 $1.61 24d 1 1.10mi
1005 W 35th Ave Apt 202 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 617 $795 $1.29 1d 1 1.13mi
1005 W 35th Ave Apt 105 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 601 $795 $1.32 18d 1 1.13mi
1015 W 35th Ave Apt 206 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 601 $795 $1.32 44d 1 1.14mi
4974 Tennessee St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,175 $1.07 19d 1 1.18mi
801 E 32nd Ave Unit 2 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 850 $1,300 $1.53 1d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 206-char remark
    Show marketing remark (206 chars)

    Brick Home For Sale In Gary * Large Living Room * Eat In Kitchen * 2 Nice Sized Bedrooms * Full Basement * Detached 1 Car Garage * Please See Agent Remarks For Offer Submission Instructions *

  2. 2026-05-06
    price $30,000 206-char remark
    Show marketing remark (206 chars)

    Brick Home For Sale In Gary * Large Living Room * Eat In Kitchen * 2 Nice Sized Bedrooms * Full Basement * Detached 1 Car Garage * Please See Agent Remarks For Offer Submission Instructions *

  3. 2026-04-06
    price $35,000 206-char remark
    Show marketing remark (206 chars)

    Brick Home For Sale In Gary * Large Living Room * Eat In Kitchen * 2 Nice Sized Bedrooms * Full Basement * Detached 1 Car Garage * Please See Agent Remarks For Offer Submission Instructions *

  4. 2026-03-04
    price $40,000 206-char remark
    Show marketing remark (206 chars)

    Brick Home For Sale In Gary * Large Living Room * Eat In Kitchen * 2 Nice Sized Bedrooms * Full Basement * Detached 1 Car Garage * Please See Agent Remarks For Offer Submission Instructions *

  5. 2026-01-09
    listed $50,000 Active 206-char remark
    Show marketing remark (206 chars)

    Brick Home For Sale In Gary * Large Living Room * Eat In Kitchen * 2 Nice Sized Bedrooms * Full Basement * Detached 1 Car Garage * Please See Agent Remarks For Offer Submission Instructions *

  6. 2016-06-06
    soldstatus $4,650 125-char remark
    Show marketing remark (125 chars)

    2 Bedroom 1 bath home. Needs work. No furnace. No hot water heater. Verbal offer accepted - (in process of signing with bank)

  7. 2015-10-15
    listed $4,650 125-char remark
    Show marketing remark (125 chars)

    2 Bedroom 1 bath home. Needs work. No furnace. No hot water heater. Verbal offer accepted - (in process of signing with bank)

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$903 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$903 · $75/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,981
− Mortgage interest
−$1,680
− Property taxes
−$903
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,199
− Management
−$1,199
− Depreciation
−$873
Taxable income
$8,978
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,155
After-tax cash flow
$6,740/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gary Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803870
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,739
Composite
4.98/100
National rank
#10039
State rank
#299 of 301 in IN

Livability — Gary

Score
73/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#5592

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gary, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
63,701
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
7,184
Household income
$44,667
Rent vs Own
55.5% rent · 44.5% own
Severe rent burden
516.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (68%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 68% Two or more races 17% Hispanic / Latino 14% White 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -3.91%
Current HPI
190.6724
Rent YoY
▲ 4.85%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+545.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $30,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $35,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-04 Price Changed $40,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-09 Listed $50,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-06-06 Sold (MLS) $4,650 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-10-15 Listed $4,650 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $903 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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