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35473 Turner Dr
D+ Composite 45.29
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.7/30.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.4/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

35473 Turner Dr · Sterling Heights, MI 48312
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,700 sqft · Condo · 51 Days on market
Built 1973 Good condition $103/sqft · 9% above area Est $160k · 9% over $394/mo HOA · 18% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

nice 3 bedrooms 2.5 bathrooms with extra room and shower in basement condo, new remodoling good for home owner or investor close to all shoping area must see

Key facts

  • $394 HOA
  • Built 1973
  • Listed 51 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $175k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $108 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Recommended offer: $170k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.8% in Sterling Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#173 in MI, #4,545 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F.
  • Warren Consolidated Schools (urban): math 18% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #373 of 540 in MI (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Willow Woods Elementary School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,035 of 1,397 statewide, top 77%, 328 students, 81% FRL); Carleton Middle School (math 15% / reading 37%, grade F, #383 of 493 statewide, top 78%, 659 students, 76% FRL); Sterling Heights Senior Hs (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #405 of 713 statewide, top 59%, 1,389 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 48% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 163 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $119k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $169,750 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
7.03%
Cash-on-cash
2.65%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$160,229
List price
$175,000
Delta
9.22%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.9%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-21,198
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
-2.5%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-8,478
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48312

Active inventory
163
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,166 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax est. 1.5%
$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$394
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$455
Net cashflow
$108

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,030
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $229 -5% $169 +0% $108 +5% $48 +10% $-13
Rent -10% $-63 -5% $23 +0% $108 +5% $194 +10% $279
Rate -1.0pp $196 -0.5pp $153 base $108 +0.5pp $63 +1.0pp $17

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
35144 Terrybrook Dr Sterling Heights, MI 3.0 1.5 2200 $1,900 $0.86 26d 1 0.18mi
8484 Brougham Dr Sterling Heights, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 885 $2,350 $2.66 0d 23 0.24mi
11223 Hemlock Dr Sterling Heights, MI 3.0 2.5 2084 $2,500 $1.20 0d 1 0.24mi
13154 Boca Grande Dr Sterling Heights, MI 3.0 2.0 1540 $2,400 $1.56 0d 1 1.41mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$394 · $4,728/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    status $175,000 Pending 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-04
    days on market $175,000 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $175,000 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $175,000 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $175,000 Active 48 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 47 DOM
  7. 2026-05-18
    price $175,000 157-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    nice 3 bedrooms 2.5 bathrooms with extra room and shower in basement condo, new remodoling good for home owner or investor close to all shoping area must see

  8. 2026-05-18
    price $175,000 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    nice 3 bedrooms 2.5 bathrooms with extra room and shower in basement condo, new remodoling good for home owner or investor close to all shoping area must see

  9. 2026-05-13
    price $177,000 157-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    nice 3 bedrooms 2.5 bathrooms with extra room and shower in basement condo, new remodoling good for home owner or investor close to all shoping area must see

  10. 2026-05-13
    price $177,000 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    nice 3 bedrooms 2.5 bathrooms with extra room and shower in basement condo, new remodoling good for home owner or investor close to all shoping area must see

  11. 2026-05-01
    price $178,000 157-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    nice 3 bedrooms 2.5 bathrooms with extra room and shower in basement condo, new remodoling good for home owner or investor close to all shoping area must see

  12. 2026-05-01
    price $178,000 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    nice 3 bedrooms 2.5 bathrooms with extra room and shower in basement condo, new remodoling good for home owner or investor close to all shoping area must see

  13. 2026-04-14
    listed $179,000 Active 157-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    nice 3 bedrooms 2.5 bathrooms with extra room and shower in basement condo, new remodoling good for home owner or investor close to all shoping area must see

  14. 2026-04-14
    listed $179,000 Active 158-char remark
    Show marketing remark (158 chars)

    nice 3 bedrooms 2.5 bathrooms with extra room and shower in basement condo, new remodoling good for home owner or investor close to all shoping area must see

  15. 2014-08-15
    historical
  16. 2014-08-15
    historical
  17. 2014-06-11
    listed $100,000
  18. 2014-06-11
    listed $100,000
  19. 2005-05-05
    soldstatus $118,640
  20. 2005-03-04
    historical
  21. 2005-01-20
    listed $118,640

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,997
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$2,625
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,080
− Management
−$2,080
− HOA
−$4,728
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$1,284
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$308
After-tax cash flow
$1,605/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This condo is in excellent condition with recent updates, making it a great investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental value
  • Both Add smart home features — Enhances home's marketability and rental appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental value
  • Both Add smart home features — Enhances home's marketability and rental appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Warren Consolidated Schools
NCES district ID
2635190
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$52,259
Composite
25.09/100
National rank
#7533
State rank
#373 of 540 in MI

Livability — Sterling Heights

Score
74/100
State rank
#173
US rank
#4545

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sterling Heights, MI
County
Macomb County · 638,552 people
City population
133,573
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
34,401
Household income
$68,061
Rent vs Own
25.4% rent · 74.6% own
Severe rent burden
910.0

Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
925,296 people
By 2030
948,226 · +2.5%
By 2040
983,961 · +6.3%
By 2050
1,010,200 · +9.2%
By 2075
1,076,222 · +16.3%
By 2100
1,077,065 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Black 9% Asian 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Arab 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
66% English-only · Other Indo-European 8% Arabic 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Macomb

2024 margin
R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -279.41%
Current HPI
203.3039
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+47.5% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $175,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-18 Price Changed $175,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $177,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $177,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $178,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $178,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $179,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $179,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-08-15 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2014-08-15 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-06-11 Listed $100,000 REALCOMP
  • 2014-06-11 Listed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-05-05 Sold (MLS) $118,640 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-03-04 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2005-01-20 Listed $118,640 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…