35473 Turner Dr · Sterling Heights, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.7/30.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- ARV discount +3.4/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
nice 3 bedrooms 2.5 bathrooms with extra room and shower in basement condo, new remodoling good for home owner or investor close to all shoping area must see
Key facts
- $394 HOA
- Built 1973
- Listed 51 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $175k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $108 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $170k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.8% in Sterling Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#173 in MI, #4,545 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F.
- Warren Consolidated Schools (urban): math 18% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #373 of 540 in MI (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Willow Woods Elementary School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,035 of 1,397 statewide, top 77%, 328 students, 81% FRL); Carleton Middle School (math 15% / reading 37%, grade F, #383 of 493 statewide, top 78%, 659 students, 76% FRL); Sterling Heights Senior Hs (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #405 of 713 statewide, top 59%, 1,389 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 48% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 163 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $119k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.65%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $160,229
- List price
- $175,000
- Delta
- 9.22%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-21,198
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- -2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-8,478
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48312
- Active inventory
- 163
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,166 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$394
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$455
- Net cashflow
- $108
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $229 | -5% $169 | +0% $108 | +5% $48 | +10% $-13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-63 | -5% $23 | +0% $108 | +5% $194 | +10% $279 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $196 | -0.5pp $153 | base $108 | +0.5pp $63 | +1.0pp $17 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35144 Terrybrook Dr Sterling Heights, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2200 | $1,900 | $0.86 | 26d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 8484 Brougham Dr Sterling Heights, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 885 | $2,350 | $2.66 | 0d | 23 | 0.24mi |
| 11223 Hemlock Dr Sterling Heights, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2084 | $2,500 | $1.20 | 0d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 13154 Boca Grande Dr Sterling Heights, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1540 | $2,400 | $1.56 | 0d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $394 · $4,728/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-07status $175,000 Pending 51 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $175,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $175,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $175,000 157-char remark
Show marketing remark (158 chars)
nice 3 bedrooms 2.5 bathrooms with extra room and shower in basement condo, new remodoling good for home owner or investor close to all shoping area must see
-
2026-05-18price $175,000 158-char remark
Show marketing remark (158 chars)
nice 3 bedrooms 2.5 bathrooms with extra room and shower in basement condo, new remodoling good for home owner or investor close to all shoping area must see
-
2026-05-13price $177,000 157-char remark
Show marketing remark (158 chars)
nice 3 bedrooms 2.5 bathrooms with extra room and shower in basement condo, new remodoling good for home owner or investor close to all shoping area must see
-
2026-05-13price $177,000 158-char remark
Show marketing remark (158 chars)
nice 3 bedrooms 2.5 bathrooms with extra room and shower in basement condo, new remodoling good for home owner or investor close to all shoping area must see
-
2026-05-01price $178,000 157-char remark
Show marketing remark (158 chars)
nice 3 bedrooms 2.5 bathrooms with extra room and shower in basement condo, new remodoling good for home owner or investor close to all shoping area must see
-
2026-05-01price $178,000 158-char remark
Show marketing remark (158 chars)
nice 3 bedrooms 2.5 bathrooms with extra room and shower in basement condo, new remodoling good for home owner or investor close to all shoping area must see
-
2026-04-14$179,000 Active 157-char remark
Show marketing remark (158 chars)
nice 3 bedrooms 2.5 bathrooms with extra room and shower in basement condo, new remodoling good for home owner or investor close to all shoping area must see
-
2026-04-14$179,000 Active 158-char remark
Show marketing remark (158 chars)
nice 3 bedrooms 2.5 bathrooms with extra room and shower in basement condo, new remodoling good for home owner or investor close to all shoping area must see
-
2014-08-15historical
-
2014-08-15historical
-
2014-06-11$100,000
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2014-06-11$100,000
-
2005-05-05soldstatus $118,640
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2005-03-04historical
-
2005-01-20$118,640
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,997
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,625
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,080
- − Management
- −$2,080
- − HOA
- −$4,728
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$1,284
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$308
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,605/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This condo is in excellent condition with recent updates, making it a great investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental value
- Both Add smart home features — Enhances home's marketability and rental appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and rental value ↑
- Both Add smart home features — Enhances home's marketability and rental appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Warren Consolidated Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2635190
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,259
- Composite
- 25.09/100
- National rank
- #7533
- State rank
- #373 of 540 in MI
Livability — Sterling Heights
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #173
- US rank
- #4545
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sterling Heights, MI
- County
- Macomb County · 638,552 people
- City population
- 133,573
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,401
- Household income
- $68,061
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 910.0
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 9% Asian 9% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 14% Arab 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Other Indo-European 8% Arabic 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -279.41%
- Current HPI
- 203.3039
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+47.5% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $175,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $175,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $177,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $177,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $178,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $178,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-14 Listed $179,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-14 Listed $179,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-08-15 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2014-08-15 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-06-11 Listed $100,000 REALCOMP
- 2014-06-11 Listed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-05-05 Sold (MLS) $118,640 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-03-04 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-01-20 Listed $118,640 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…