🏗️ New Construction
Plan 2088 Plan · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +7.0/30.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.9/10.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- DSCR +1.2/10.0
- Rent growth +0.7/5.0
$239,995
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* Walk-in closet at all bedrooms * Great room with dining area * Powder bath * Oversized walk-in kitchen pantry * Water-conserving front yard landscaping * Upstairs laundry room * Front porch * Open floor plan * Loft * 5-panel interior doors * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Swimming pool * Playground * Near top-rated schools * Commuter-friendly location * Outdoor recreation nearby * Hiking trails nearby
Key facts
- Outdoor recreation
- Walk-in closet
- Front porch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-393 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $209k (13.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (23.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $183k (23.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- Harlandale ISD (urban): math 20% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #748 of 826 in TX (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-7.2%/yr); 369 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 304 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 304 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.69% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.34%
- DSCR
- 0.72
- GRM
- 12.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $265,712
- List price
- $239,995
- Delta
- -9.68%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 830 Middlebury Farms | 0.17mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,121 (+2%) | 0mo | $277,990 | $131 | 84 |
| 822 Bifurcate Bnd | 0.16mi | 3/2.5 | 1,908 (-9%) | 1mo | $252,068 | $132 | 77 |
| 827 Middlebury Farms | 0.14mi | 3/2.5 | 1,826 (-12%) | 1mo | $259,990 | $142 | 72 |
| 14431 Brooke Path | 0.58mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,149 (+3%) | 2mo | $267,999 | $125 | 58 |
| 9610 Pleasanton Pl | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 | 2,249 (+8%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $102 | 57 |
| 9630 Pleasanton Pl | 0.63mi | 3/2.5 | 2,249 (+8%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $102 | 56 |
| 9914 Chavaneaux Lndg | 0.61mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,260 (+8%) | 0mo | $314,990 | $139 | 53 |
| 9902 Chavaneaux Lndg | 0.58mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,260 (+8%) | 2mo | $314,990 | $139 | 53 |
| 9903 Chavaneaux Lndg | 0.58mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,802 (-14%) | 2mo | $299,990 | $166 | 44 |
| 9915 Chavaneaux Lndg | 0.61mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,802 (-14%) | 1mo | $299,990 | $166 | 43 |
| 14427 Brooke Path | 0.58mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,802 (-14%) | 0mo | $242,999 | $135 | 43 |
| 9883 Chavaneaux Lndg | 0.55mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,396 (+15%) | 2mo | $319,990 | $134 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.03% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-11,747
- Equity at exit
- $105,213
- IRR
- 0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $4,396
- Equity at exit
- $151,823
Cash invested: $74,399 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78221
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Rents YoY
- -7.2%
- Active inventory
- 369
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,827 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,393
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$332 /mo · $3,986/yr
- Insurance
- −$111
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$384
- Net cashflow
- $-393
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,428
- Closing costs
- $7,971
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9419 Platte Pl San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1780 | $1,799 | $1.01 | 11d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 9406 Hinterlands Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1675 | $1,899 | $1.13 | 18d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 9403 Hinterlands Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2726 | $2,400 | $0.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 9879 Chavaneaux Lndg San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1585 | $1,700 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 9606 Pleasanton Sq San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1903 | $1,700 | $0.89 | 11d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 8930 Scarlett Pl San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1956 | $1,700 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 8919 Scarlett Pl San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1777 | $1,645 | $0.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 8818 Scarlett Pl San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1645 | $1,630 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 614 Barberry St Unit 201 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1718 | $1,550 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1011 Catalonia Pass San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1470 | $1,700 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 407 Creath Pl San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1632 | $2,200 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 407 Creath Pl San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1632 | $2,300 | $1.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $239,995 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $239,995 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $239,995 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $239,995 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $239,995 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $239,995 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $239,995 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $239,995 Active 294 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $239,995 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $249,995 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $249,995 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $249,995 Active 288 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $249,995 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $249,995 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-05-01price $249,995 478-char remark
Show marketing remark (478 chars)
* Walk-in closet at all bedrooms * Great room with dining area * Powder bath * Oversized walk-in kitchen pantry * Water-conserving front yard landscaping * Upstairs laundry room * Front porch * Open floor plan * Loft * 5-panel interior doors * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Swimming pool * Playground * Near top-rated schools * Commuter-friendly location * Outdoor recreation nearby * Hiking trails nearby
-
2026-03-07price $243,995 478-char remark
Show marketing remark (478 chars)
* Walk-in closet at all bedrooms * Great room with dining area * Powder bath * Oversized walk-in kitchen pantry * Water-conserving front yard landscaping * Upstairs laundry room * Front porch * Open floor plan * Loft * 5-panel interior doors * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Swimming pool * Playground * Near top-rated schools * Commuter-friendly location * Outdoor recreation nearby * Hiking trails nearby
-
2026-02-27price $248,995 478-char remark
Show marketing remark (478 chars)
* Walk-in closet at all bedrooms * Great room with dining area * Powder bath * Oversized walk-in kitchen pantry * Water-conserving front yard landscaping * Upstairs laundry room * Front porch * Open floor plan * Loft * 5-panel interior doors * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Swimming pool * Playground * Near top-rated schools * Commuter-friendly location * Outdoor recreation nearby * Hiking trails nearby
-
2026-01-28price $241,995 478-char remark
Show marketing remark (478 chars)
* Walk-in closet at all bedrooms * Great room with dining area * Powder bath * Oversized walk-in kitchen pantry * Water-conserving front yard landscaping * Upstairs laundry room * Front porch * Open floor plan * Loft * 5-panel interior doors * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Swimming pool * Playground * Near top-rated schools * Commuter-friendly location * Outdoor recreation nearby * Hiking trails nearby
-
2026-01-19price $246,995 478-char remark
Show marketing remark (478 chars)
* Walk-in closet at all bedrooms * Great room with dining area * Powder bath * Oversized walk-in kitchen pantry * Water-conserving front yard landscaping * Upstairs laundry room * Front porch * Open floor plan * Loft * 5-panel interior doors * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Swimming pool * Playground * Near top-rated schools * Commuter-friendly location * Outdoor recreation nearby * Hiking trails nearby
-
2025-12-05price $241,995 478-char remark
Show marketing remark (478 chars)
* Walk-in closet at all bedrooms * Great room with dining area * Powder bath * Oversized walk-in kitchen pantry * Water-conserving front yard landscaping * Upstairs laundry room * Front porch * Open floor plan * Loft * 5-panel interior doors * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Swimming pool * Playground * Near top-rated schools * Commuter-friendly location * Outdoor recreation nearby * Hiking trails nearby
-
2025-10-14price $239,995 478-char remark
Show marketing remark (478 chars)
* Walk-in closet at all bedrooms * Great room with dining area * Powder bath * Oversized walk-in kitchen pantry * Water-conserving front yard landscaping * Upstairs laundry room * Front porch * Open floor plan * Loft * 5-panel interior doors * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Swimming pool * Playground * Near top-rated schools * Commuter-friendly location * Outdoor recreation nearby * Hiking trails nearby
-
2025-09-29price $236,995 478-char remark
Show marketing remark (478 chars)
* Walk-in closet at all bedrooms * Great room with dining area * Powder bath * Oversized walk-in kitchen pantry * Water-conserving front yard landscaping * Upstairs laundry room * Front porch * Open floor plan * Loft * 5-panel interior doors * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Swimming pool * Playground * Near top-rated schools * Commuter-friendly location * Outdoor recreation nearby * Hiking trails nearby
-
2025-09-03price $234,995 478-char remark
Show marketing remark (478 chars)
* Walk-in closet at all bedrooms * Great room with dining area * Powder bath * Oversized walk-in kitchen pantry * Water-conserving front yard landscaping * Upstairs laundry room * Front porch * Open floor plan * Loft * 5-panel interior doors * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Swimming pool * Playground * Near top-rated schools * Commuter-friendly location * Outdoor recreation nearby * Hiking trails nearby
-
2025-08-18$231,995 Active 478-char remark
Show marketing remark (478 chars)
* Walk-in closet at all bedrooms * Great room with dining area * Powder bath * Oversized walk-in kitchen pantry * Water-conserving front yard landscaping * Upstairs laundry room * Front porch * Open floor plan * Loft * 5-panel interior doors * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Swimming pool * Playground * Near top-rated schools * Commuter-friendly location * Outdoor recreation nearby * Hiking trails nearby
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,925
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,884
- − Property taxes
- −$3,986
- − Insurance
- −$1,329
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,754
- − Management
- −$1,754
- − Depreciation
- −$7,730
- Taxable loss
- −$9,511
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,283
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,432/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harlandale ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4822470
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,850
- Composite
- 19.25/100
- National rank
- #8806
- State rank
- #748 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Antonio, TX
- County
- Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
- City population
- 1,806,925
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,178
- Household income
- $63,811
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1180.0
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 89% Two or more races 28% White 9% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 74%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 45% English-only · Spanish 54%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.03%
- Current HPI
- 251.1635
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -7.21%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
+7.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $249,995 Zillow
- 2026-03-07 Price Changed $243,995 Zillow
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $248,995 Zillow
- 2026-01-28 Price Changed $241,995 Zillow
- 2026-01-19 Price Changed $246,995 Zillow
- 2025-12-05 Price Changed $241,995 Zillow
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $239,995 Zillow
- 2025-09-29 Price Changed $236,995 Zillow
- 2025-09-03 Price Changed $234,995 Zillow
- 2025-08-18 Listed $231,995 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…