CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
Plan 2088 Plan 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 32.67
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • DSCR +1.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +0.7/5.0

$239,995

Plan 2088 Plan · San Antonio, TX 78221
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,088 sqft · SingleFamily · 304 Days on market

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* Walk-in closet at all bedrooms * Great room with dining area * Powder bath * Oversized walk-in kitchen pantry * Water-conserving front yard landscaping * Upstairs laundry room * Front porch * Open floor plan * Loft * 5-panel interior doors * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Swimming pool * Playground * Near top-rated schools * Commuter-friendly location * Outdoor recreation nearby * Hiking trails nearby

Key facts

  • Outdoor recreation
  • Walk-in closet
  • Front porch

Tags

WALK-IN CLOSETUPSTAIRS LAUNDRY ROOMFRONT PORCHSWIMMING POOLCOMMUTER-FRIENDLY LOCATIONOUTDOOR RECREATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $239,995 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $265,712.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-393 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $209k (13.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (23.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $183k (23.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • Harlandale ISD (urban): math 20% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #748 of 826 in TX (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-7.2%/yr); 369 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 304 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $182,709 (23.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 304 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
4.52%
Cash-on-cash
-6.34%
DSCR
0.72
GRM
12.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$265,712
List price
$239,995
Delta
-9.68%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
830 Middlebury Farms 0.17mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,121 (+2%) 0mo $277,990 $131 84
822 Bifurcate Bnd 0.16mi 3/2.5 1,908 (-9%) 1mo $252,068 $132 77
827 Middlebury Farms 0.14mi 3/2.5 1,826 (-12%) 1mo $259,990 $142 72
14431 Brooke Path 0.58mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,149 (+3%) 2mo $267,999 $125 58
9610 Pleasanton Pl 0.62mi 3/2.5 2,249 (+8%) 1mo $230,000 $102 57
9630 Pleasanton Pl 0.63mi 3/2.5 2,249 (+8%) 2mo $230,000 $102 56
9914 Chavaneaux Lndg 0.61mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,260 (+8%) 0mo $314,990 $139 53
9902 Chavaneaux Lndg 0.58mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,260 (+8%) 2mo $314,990 $139 53
9903 Chavaneaux Lndg 0.58mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,802 (-14%) 2mo $299,990 $166 44
9915 Chavaneaux Lndg 0.61mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,802 (-14%) 1mo $299,990 $166 43
14427 Brooke Path 0.58mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,802 (-14%) 0mo $242,999 $135 43
9883 Chavaneaux Lndg 0.55mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,396 (+15%) 2mo $319,990 $134 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.03% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.0%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-11,747
Equity at exit
$105,213
10-year hold
IRR
0.4%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$4,396
Equity at exit
$151,823

Cash invested: $74,399 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78221

Home prices YoY
0.8%
Rents YoY
-7.2%
Active inventory
369
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,827 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,393
Tax est. 1.5%
$332 /mo · $3,986/yr
Insurance
$111
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$384
Net cashflow
$-393

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,324
Max offer price $208,862
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$66,428
Closing costs
$7,971
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9419 Platte Pl San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1780 $1,799 $1.01 11d 1 0.23mi
9406 Hinterlands Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1675 $1,899 $1.13 18d 1 0.25mi
9403 Hinterlands Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 2726 $2,400 $0.88 24d 1 0.28mi
9879 Chavaneaux Lndg San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1585 $1,700 $1.07 24d 1 0.53mi
9606 Pleasanton Sq San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1903 $1,700 $0.89 11d 1 0.58mi
8930 Scarlett Pl San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.5 1956 $1,700 $0.87 44d 1 0.62mi
8919 Scarlett Pl San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1777 $1,645 $0.93 24d 1 0.63mi
8818 Scarlett Pl San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1645 $1,630 $0.99 24d 1 0.70mi
614 Barberry St Unit 201 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1718 $1,550 $0.90 44d 1 0.72mi
1011 Catalonia Pass San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1470 $1,700 $1.16 24d 1 0.87mi
407 Creath Pl San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1632 $2,200 $1.35 44d 1 1.20mi
407 Creath Pl San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1632 $2,300 $1.41 24d 1 1.20mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $239,995 Active 304 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $239,995 Active 303 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $239,995 Active 302 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $239,995 Active 301 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $239,995 Active 299 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $239,995 Active 298 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $239,995 Active 295 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $239,995 Active 294 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $239,995 Active 293 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $249,995 Active 290 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $249,995 Active 289 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,995 Active 288 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,995 Active 287 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,995 Active 286 DOM
  15. 2026-05-01
    price $249,995 478-char remark
    Show marketing remark (478 chars)

    * Walk-in closet at all bedrooms * Great room with dining area * Powder bath * Oversized walk-in kitchen pantry * Water-conserving front yard landscaping * Upstairs laundry room * Front porch * Open floor plan * Loft * 5-panel interior doors * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Swimming pool * Playground * Near top-rated schools * Commuter-friendly location * Outdoor recreation nearby * Hiking trails nearby

  16. 2026-03-07
    price $243,995 478-char remark
    Show marketing remark (478 chars)

    * Walk-in closet at all bedrooms * Great room with dining area * Powder bath * Oversized walk-in kitchen pantry * Water-conserving front yard landscaping * Upstairs laundry room * Front porch * Open floor plan * Loft * 5-panel interior doors * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Swimming pool * Playground * Near top-rated schools * Commuter-friendly location * Outdoor recreation nearby * Hiking trails nearby

  17. 2026-02-27
    price $248,995 478-char remark
    Show marketing remark (478 chars)

    * Walk-in closet at all bedrooms * Great room with dining area * Powder bath * Oversized walk-in kitchen pantry * Water-conserving front yard landscaping * Upstairs laundry room * Front porch * Open floor plan * Loft * 5-panel interior doors * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Swimming pool * Playground * Near top-rated schools * Commuter-friendly location * Outdoor recreation nearby * Hiking trails nearby

  18. 2026-01-28
    price $241,995 478-char remark
    Show marketing remark (478 chars)

    * Walk-in closet at all bedrooms * Great room with dining area * Powder bath * Oversized walk-in kitchen pantry * Water-conserving front yard landscaping * Upstairs laundry room * Front porch * Open floor plan * Loft * 5-panel interior doors * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Swimming pool * Playground * Near top-rated schools * Commuter-friendly location * Outdoor recreation nearby * Hiking trails nearby

  19. 2026-01-19
    price $246,995 478-char remark
    Show marketing remark (478 chars)

    * Walk-in closet at all bedrooms * Great room with dining area * Powder bath * Oversized walk-in kitchen pantry * Water-conserving front yard landscaping * Upstairs laundry room * Front porch * Open floor plan * Loft * 5-panel interior doors * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Swimming pool * Playground * Near top-rated schools * Commuter-friendly location * Outdoor recreation nearby * Hiking trails nearby

  20. 2025-12-05
    price $241,995 478-char remark
    Show marketing remark (478 chars)

    * Walk-in closet at all bedrooms * Great room with dining area * Powder bath * Oversized walk-in kitchen pantry * Water-conserving front yard landscaping * Upstairs laundry room * Front porch * Open floor plan * Loft * 5-panel interior doors * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Swimming pool * Playground * Near top-rated schools * Commuter-friendly location * Outdoor recreation nearby * Hiking trails nearby

  21. 2025-10-14
    price $239,995 478-char remark
    Show marketing remark (478 chars)

    * Walk-in closet at all bedrooms * Great room with dining area * Powder bath * Oversized walk-in kitchen pantry * Water-conserving front yard landscaping * Upstairs laundry room * Front porch * Open floor plan * Loft * 5-panel interior doors * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Swimming pool * Playground * Near top-rated schools * Commuter-friendly location * Outdoor recreation nearby * Hiking trails nearby

  22. 2025-09-29
    price $236,995 478-char remark
    Show marketing remark (478 chars)

    * Walk-in closet at all bedrooms * Great room with dining area * Powder bath * Oversized walk-in kitchen pantry * Water-conserving front yard landscaping * Upstairs laundry room * Front porch * Open floor plan * Loft * 5-panel interior doors * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Swimming pool * Playground * Near top-rated schools * Commuter-friendly location * Outdoor recreation nearby * Hiking trails nearby

  23. 2025-09-03
    price $234,995 478-char remark
    Show marketing remark (478 chars)

    * Walk-in closet at all bedrooms * Great room with dining area * Powder bath * Oversized walk-in kitchen pantry * Water-conserving front yard landscaping * Upstairs laundry room * Front porch * Open floor plan * Loft * 5-panel interior doors * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Swimming pool * Playground * Near top-rated schools * Commuter-friendly location * Outdoor recreation nearby * Hiking trails nearby

  24. 2025-08-18
    listed $231,995 Active 478-char remark
    Show marketing remark (478 chars)

    * Walk-in closet at all bedrooms * Great room with dining area * Powder bath * Oversized walk-in kitchen pantry * Water-conserving front yard landscaping * Upstairs laundry room * Front porch * Open floor plan * Loft * 5-panel interior doors * WaterSense® labeled faucets * ENERGY STAR® certified home * Swimming pool * Playground * Near top-rated schools * Commuter-friendly location * Outdoor recreation nearby * Hiking trails nearby

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,925
− Mortgage interest
−$14,884
− Property taxes
−$3,986
− Insurance
−$1,329
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,754
− Management
−$1,754
− Depreciation
−$7,730
Taxable loss
−$9,511
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,283
After-tax cash flow
$-2,432/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harlandale ISD
NCES district ID
4822470
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -22.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$33,850
Composite
19.25/100
National rank
#8806
State rank
#748 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Antonio, TX
County
Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
City population
1,806,925
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
Population (ZIP)
42,178
Household income
$63,811
Rent vs Own
29.8% rent · 70.2% own
Severe rent burden
1180.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (89%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 89% Two or more races 28% White 9% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 74%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
45% English-only · Spanish 54%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.03%
Current HPI
251.1635
Rent YoY
▼ -7.21%
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+7.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $249,995 Zillow
  • 2026-03-07 Price Changed $243,995 Zillow
  • 2026-02-27 Price Changed $248,995 Zillow
  • 2026-01-28 Price Changed $241,995 Zillow
  • 2026-01-19 Price Changed $246,995 Zillow
  • 2025-12-05 Price Changed $241,995 Zillow
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $239,995 Zillow
  • 2025-09-29 Price Changed $236,995 Zillow
  • 2025-09-03 Price Changed $234,995 Zillow
  • 2025-08-18 Listed $231,995 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…