515 Pine St · Thomasville, GA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTOR SPECIAL! Cozy 2BR/1Bath home near Downtown Thomasville. Many major renovations have been completed including new sub-flooring, roof and some utilities. Home will need further renovations. Priced to sell! Great opportunity to put YOUR finishing touches on a great home. Call your favorite agent TODAY for a closer look!
Key facts
- Major renovations
- New sub-flooring
- New roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $521 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 25.2% vs local median 3.7% in Thomasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#77 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, commute F.
- Thomasville City (town): math 29% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #87 of 174 in GA (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 203 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 213 units permitted in Thomas County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Thomas County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 239 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $42k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1896 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 239 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1896 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 67.69%
- DSCR
- 4.01
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $82,405
- List price
- $60,000
- Delta
- -27.19%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 145 Barnes St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (-15%) | 0mo | $144,900 | $193 | 59 |
| 500 Wolfe St | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 | 944 (+7%) | 6mo | $177,000 | $188 | 55 |
| 614 Wolfe St | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 936 (+6%) | 2mo | $57,000 | $61 | 51 |
| 335 E Washington St | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 | 748 (-15%) | 4mo | $120,000 | $160 | 37 |
| 611 N Martin Luther King Dr | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (-15%) | 12mo | $144,900 | $193 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $23,714
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 40.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.83×
- Total profit
- $64,395
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31792
- Home prices YoY
- -29.0%
- Active inventory
- 203
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,645 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$13 /mo · $151/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$346
- Net cashflow
- $521
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 813 N Spair St Thomasville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 865 | $1,500 | $1.73 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 403 Remington Ave Thomasville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $1,575 | $1.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $60,000 Active 239 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $60,000 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $60,000 Active 237 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $60,000 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $60,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $60,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $60,000 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $60,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $60,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $60,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $60,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $60,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $60,000 327-char remark
Show marketing remark (327 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL! Cozy 2BR/1Bath home near Downtown Thomasville. Many major renovations have been completed including new sub-flooring, roof and some utilities. Home will need further renovations. Priced to sell! Great opportunity to put YOUR finishing touches on a great home. Call your favorite agent TODAY for a closer look!
-
2026-01-13price $70,000 327-char remark
Show marketing remark (327 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL! Cozy 2BR/1Bath home near Downtown Thomasville. Many major renovations have been completed including new sub-flooring, roof and some utilities. Home will need further renovations. Priced to sell! Great opportunity to put YOUR finishing touches on a great home. Call your favorite agent TODAY for a closer look!
-
2025-10-24$75,000 Active 327-char remark
Show marketing remark (327 chars)
INVESTOR SPECIAL! Cozy 2BR/1Bath home near Downtown Thomasville. Many major renovations have been completed including new sub-flooring, roof and some utilities. Home will need further renovations. Priced to sell! Great opportunity to put YOUR finishing touches on a great home. Call your favorite agent TODAY for a closer look!
-
2025-05-09soldstatus $42,000 Closed 249-char remark
Show marketing remark (249 chars)
INVESTORS TAKE NOTE!!! GREAT DEAL ON THIS 2 BR 1 BA, Has the potential to rent for $800/month! Home need some TLC, also has central heat and air. . Don't miss this opportunity to get a great investment opportunity!!! Hurry before this one is gone!!!
-
2025-04-30status Pending 249-char remark
Show marketing remark (249 chars)
INVESTORS TAKE NOTE!!! GREAT DEAL ON THIS 2 BR 1 BA, Has the potential to rent for $800/month! Home need some TLC, also has central heat and air. . Don't miss this opportunity to get a great investment opportunity!!! Hurry before this one is gone!!!
-
2025-04-14$50,000 Active 249-char remark
Show marketing remark (249 chars)
INVESTORS TAKE NOTE!!! GREAT DEAL ON THIS 2 BR 1 BA, Has the potential to rent for $800/month! Home need some TLC, also has central heat and air. . Don't miss this opportunity to get a great investment opportunity!!! Hurry before this one is gone!!!
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2024-08-27price $59,000
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2024-07-17$69,900 Active
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1995-11-01soldstatus $163,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $151 · $13/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $552 · $46/mo
- Expected delta
- +$401/yr (+$33/mo · 266.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,744
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$151
- − Insurance
- −$5,418
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,580
- − Management
- −$1,580
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $5,910
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,418
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,835/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thomasville City
- NCES district ID
- 1304950
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,040
- Composite
- 26.85/100
- National rank
- #7106
- State rank
- #87 of 174 in GA
Livability — Thomasville
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #77
- US rank
- #6678
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Thomasville, GA
- County
- Thomas County · 22,962 people
- City population
- 22,962
- Metro
- Thomasville, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,962
- Household income
- $50,460
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1059.0
Population outlook (Thomas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,303 people
- By 2030
- 45,052 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 44,034 · -2.8%
- By 2050
- 42,310 · -6.6%
- By 2075
- 37,569 · -17.1%
- By 2100
- 30,676 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% White 47% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Thomas
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.8% · R 61.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.3pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.5 2016: R+21.8 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+15.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.17%
- Current HPI
- 228.0107
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Thomasville, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
-63.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $60,000 TABRMLS
- 2026-01-13 Price Changed $70,000 TABRMLS
- 2025-10-24 Listed $75,000 TABRMLS
- 2025-05-09 Sold (MLS) $42,000 TABRMLS
- 2025-04-30 Pending — TABRMLS
- 2025-04-14 Listed $50,000 TABRMLS
- 2024-08-27 Price Changed $59,000 TABRMLS
- 2024-07-17 Listed $69,900 TABRMLS
- 1995-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $163,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $151 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…