511 Woodward Ave · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice 3/1 fixer good for investment or ho- close to schools shopping etc
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1956
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport (1 space); 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family house; One level; Fixer condition
- Construction: Cedar and wood siding; Conventional foundation; Built (year from public records)
- Exterior features: Asphalt shingle roof; Back yard with partial chain-link fencing
Interior
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Ceramic tile and hardwood flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $381 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
- Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Boyd Elementary School (math 0% / reading 9%, grade F, #368 of 375 statewide, top 98%, 405 students, 100% FRL); Callaway High School (math 3% / reading 10%, grade F, #191 of 197 statewide, top 97%, 923 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 119 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.34%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $73,807
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- 35.49%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 528 N Park Ln | 0.11mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,170 (+2%) | 8mo | $50,000 | $43 | 81 |
| 134 Wacker Dr | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,218 (+6%) | 6mo | $70,000 | $57 | 69 |
| 125 Camero Dr | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 1,143 (-1%) | 5mo | $89,900 | $79 | 64 |
| 130 Wacker Dr | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,302 (+13%) | 1mo | $35,000 | $27 | 60 |
| 4510 Kirkley Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,212 (+5%) | 10mo | $94,900 | $78 | 58 |
| 4574 Hanging Moss Rd | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,306 (+13%) | 8mo | $64,900 | $50 | 54 |
| 4851 Maplewood Dr | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,201 (+4%) | 8mo | $74,900 | $62 | 52 |
| 827 Berwood Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,266 (+10%) | 14mo | $70,000 | $55 | 44 |
| 947 Witsell Rd | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+13%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $127 | 43 |
| 325 Cedarhurst Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,256 (+9%) | 10mo | $84,000 | $67 | 42 |
| 958 Watkins Pl | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,316 (+14%) | 4mo | $31,200 | $24 | 39 |
| 4025 Carol Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,316 (+14%) | 7mo | $67,500 | $51 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.83% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $7,860
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $37,214
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39206
- Home prices YoY
- -10.3%
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 119
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,332 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$105 /mo · $1,254/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $381
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4833 N State St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 994 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 815 Berwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 227 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $900 | $1.07 | 13d | 2 | 0.63mi |
| 227 Lawrence Rd #227 Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $995 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 229 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $900 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 229 Lawrence Rd #229 Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $995 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 963 Pine Lake Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1196 | $1,050 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 320 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,400 | $1.10 | 13d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 320 Lawrence Rd Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1270 | $1,400 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 200 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,300 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 200 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,300 | $1.19 | 13d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 214 Melbourne Rd Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1207 | $1,500 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 4858 Sheridan Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,550 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 508 Benning Rd Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,400 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 508 Benning Rd Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $1,400 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3718 Northbrook Dr Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 4426 Desoto St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4426 Desoto St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 13d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3811 Mosley Ave Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,095 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 521 Launcelot Rd Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1346 | $1,423 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 533 Stillwood Dr Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 906 | $820 | $0.91 | 13d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 701 Cedarhurst Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1419 | $1,250 | $0.88 | 23d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 5255 Manhattan Rd Jackson, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 813 | $1,100 | $1.35 | 13d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 4627 Estelle Dr Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1489 | $1,475 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 5421 Crepe Myrtle Dr Jackson, MS | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1079 | $1,295 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4901 McWillie Cir Jackson, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 806 | $1,150 | $1.43 | 13d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 425 Beasley Rd Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 995 | $885 | $0.89 | 13d | 3 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 37 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $100,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $100,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $100,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $100,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $100,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-04-28$100,000 Active 359-char remark
-
2026-04-27historical $1,250
-
2026-02-27price $1,250
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2025-12-04$1,350
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2024-02-18soldstatus
-
2023-07-24soldstatus Closed 71-char remark
Show marketing remark (71 chars)
Nice 3/1 fixer good for investment or ho- close to schools shopping etc
-
2023-07-20soldstatus
-
2023-06-24status Pending 71-char remark
Show marketing remark (71 chars)
Nice 3/1 fixer good for investment or ho- close to schools shopping etc
-
2023-06-20price $37,500 71-char remark
Show marketing remark (71 chars)
Nice 3/1 fixer good for investment or ho- close to schools shopping etc
-
2023-06-15price $40,000 71-char remark
Show marketing remark (71 chars)
Nice 3/1 fixer good for investment or ho- close to schools shopping etc
-
2023-05-05price $45,000 71-char remark
Show marketing remark (71 chars)
Nice 3/1 fixer good for investment or ho- close to schools shopping etc
-
2023-04-19price $49,000 71-char remark
Show marketing remark (71 chars)
Nice 3/1 fixer good for investment or ho- close to schools shopping etc
-
2023-04-10price $52,500 71-char remark
Show marketing remark (71 chars)
Nice 3/1 fixer good for investment or ho- close to schools shopping etc
-
2023-03-22$55,000 Active 71-char remark
Show marketing remark (71 chars)
Nice 3/1 fixer good for investment or ho- close to schools shopping etc
-
2011-08-02soldstatus
-
2010-11-08soldstatus
-
2010-01-18soldstatus
Show marketing remark (124 chars)
HUD HOME FOR SALE, SOLD AS-IS. FOR MORE INFORMATION CONTACT YOUR LOCAL REALTOR. Taxes listed are per tax assessor's website.
-
2009-10-06$22,000
Show marketing remark (124 chars)
HUD HOME FOR SALE, SOLD AS-IS. FOR MORE INFORMATION CONTACT YOUR LOCAL REALTOR. Taxes listed are per tax assessor's website.
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2006-03-28soldstatus
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1997-08-07soldstatus
-
1989-09-21soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,254 · $105/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,254 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,978
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,254
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,278
- − Management
- −$1,278
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $3,157
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$758
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,818/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802190
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,234
- Composite
- 10.89/100
- National rank
- #9755
- State rank
- #112 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 167,040 people
- City population
- 140,204
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,257
- Household income
- $42,686
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1554.0
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 85% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.38%
- Current HPI
- 194.5873
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.83%
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+354.5% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Listed $100,000 MLSU
- 2026-04-27 Rental Removed $1,250 Hemlane
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $1,250 Hemlane
- 2025-12-04 Listed for Rent $1,350 Hemlane
- 2024-02-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-07-24 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2023-07-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-06-24 Pending — MLSU
- 2023-06-20 Price Changed $37,500 MLSU
- 2023-06-15 Price Changed $40,000 MLSU
- 2023-05-05 Price Changed $45,000 MLSU
- 2023-04-19 Price Changed $49,000 MLSU
- 2023-04-10 Price Changed $52,500 MLSU
- 2023-03-22 Listed $55,000 MLSU
- 2011-08-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2010-11-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2010-01-18 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2009-10-06 Listed $22,000 MLSU
- 2006-03-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1997-08-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1989-09-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,254 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…