21 N Rock St · Shamokin, PA 17872

$80,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 912 sqft · Townhouse · 1 Days on market

Built 1930 0.25 ac lot

---

Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +21.3/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +6.8/10.0
• Appreciation +6.0/10.0
• 1% rule +5.6/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.4/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to this freshly updated and move-in-ready row home offering a blend of classic character and modern improvements. Step inside to find a spacious living and dining area featuring durable luxury vinyl plank flooring, fresh neutral paint, and abundant natural light. The renovated kitchen boasts updated cabinetry, stylish subway tile backsplash, modern countertops, and ample space for meal preparation and entertaining. Upstairs, you’ll find comfortable bedrooms with hardwood flooring and generous closet space. The full bathroom has been refreshed with updated fixtures and a tub/shower combination. The finished third-floor loft provides flexible living space perfect for home office

Key facts

• Patio area
• Updated kitchen
• Garden space

Tags

• UPDATED KITCHEN
• FINISHED THIRD-FLOOR LOFT
• PRIVATE FENCED BACKYARD
• PATIO AREA
• GARDEN SPACE

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $80k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $118 ($1k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($849 rent vs $80k).
• Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 11.4% in Shamokin — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#887 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, commute F, employment F.
• Shamokin Area SD (town): math 19% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #450 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 81 units permitted in Northumberland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $2k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
• Northumberland County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $80,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.06% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.06%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.30%
• DSCR: 1.28
• GRM: 7.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $31,008
• Comps found: 5

Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
21 N Rock St	0.00mi	2/1.0	912 (0%)	7mo	$23,000	$25	94
128 N 8th St	0.23mi	2/1.0	936 (+3%)	18mo	$32,000	$34	70
709 E Dewart St	0.42mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,024 (+12%)	12mo	$73,000	$71	45
1015 Pearl N	0.48mi	3/1.0 (+1)	780 (-14%)	4mo	$85,000	$109	45
14 N Diamond St	0.32mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,032 (+13%)	16mo	$25,000	$24	41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 10.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.56×
• Total profit: $12,600
• Equity at exit: $31,139

10-year hold

• IRR: 13.5%
• Equity multiple: 2.80×
• Total profit: $40,297
• Equity at exit: $44,523

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Pennsylvania: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 17872

• Home prices YoY: 1.6%
• Active inventory: 76
• Price-to-rent: 7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $849 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$420
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$178
• Net cashflow: $118

Break-even live

Break-even rent $700

Max offer price $80,000

Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $20,000
• Closing costs: $2,400
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
169 N Grant St Shamokin, PA	1.0	1.0	750	$695	$0.93	43d	1	0.22mi
11 S Market St Fl Rear Shamokin, PA	3.0	1.0	950	$1,000	$1.05	43d	1	0.33mi
11 S Market St Apt B Rear Shamokin, PA	2.0	1.0	1100	$900	$0.82	43d	1	0.33mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-06-19
   remarks 693-char remark
2. 2026-06-19
   listed $80,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $10,185
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,481
• − Property taxes: −$1,200
• − Insurance: −$400
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$815
• − Management: −$815
• − Depreciation: −$2,327
• Taxable income: $147
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$35
• After-tax cash flow: $1,376/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Shamokin Area SD
• NCES district ID: 4221240
• Math proficiency: 19% ▼ -13.00%
• Reading proficiency: 40% ▼ -11.00%
• Median HH income: $35,380
• Composite: 24.31/100
• National rank: #7709
• State rank: #450 of 539 in PA

Livability — Shamokin

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #887
• US rank: #9448

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Shamokin, PA
• City population: 9,808
• Population (ZIP): 8,950

Population outlook (Northumberland County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 90,896 people
• By 2030: 89,084 · -2.0%
• By 2040: 84,822 · -6.7%
• By 2050: 80,521 · -11.4%
• By 2075: 72,152 · -20.6%
• By 2100: 62,257 · -31.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (84%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 84% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 4%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 14% Iranian 6% Subsaharan African 1%
• Foreign-born: 1%
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Northumberland

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.6% · R 69.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -26.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.8pp · 2024: -39.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+39.9 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+13.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 1.90%
• Current HPI: 124.6288
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.68%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$309B
▸Insurance	2	$27B
▸Telecommunications / Media	1	$124B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$22B
▸Financial Services	1	$20B
▸Chemicals / Materials	1	$18B