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4103 Ingalls Ave
B+ Composite 76.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

4103 Ingalls Ave · Pascagoula, MS 39581
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 792 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1948 6,969 sqft lot Est $100k · 35% under ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fall in love with this sweet cottage that has been freshly painted throughout. Although it is a 2 bedroom there is a bonus room that could be used as an office or craft room. It also has a large storage building that would make a great workshop.

Key facts

  • Shed
  • Fenced yard
  • Centrally located

Tags

CENTRALLY LOCATEDFENCED YARDCARPORTSHED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; Driveway; 1 parking space (total)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family house; One story; Fixer condition
  • Construction: Metal siding and siding exterior; Asphalt shingle roof; Pilings/steel/wood foundation; Built (year source: Assessor)
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Chain link fencing in back yard; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Flooring: Linoleum; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Outside fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $151 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Cap rate 16.9% vs local median 4.2% in Pascagoula — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#41 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-, commute F.
  • Pascagoula-Gautier School District (urban): math 40% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #41 of 130 in MS (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 516 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($38k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $65,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.98%
Cap rate
16.95%
Cash-on-cash
38.05%
DSCR
2.69
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$99,792
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4302 Newman Ave 0.29mi 2/1.0 (-1) 855 (+8%) 13mo $108,000 $126 58
3414 Ken Ave 0.44mi 2/1.0 (-1) 862 (+9%) 22mo $94,500 $110 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.0%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-670
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
9.1%
Equity multiple
1.71×
Total profit
$12,882
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39581

Home prices YoY
-10.5%
Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,288 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $866/yr
Insurance
$27
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$270
Net cashflow
$151

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,097
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4502 Newman Ave Pascagoula, MS 2.0 1.0 850 $825 $0.97 13d 1 0.35mi
4610 Legare Ave Pascagoula, MS 3.0 1.0 975 $1,250 $1.28 21d 1 0.53mi
3000 Brazil St Pascagoula, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0 695 $1,430 $2.06 13d 12 0.61mi
3015 Eden St Pascagoula, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 875 $1,430 $1.63 13d 43 0.93mi
4315 Orchard Ave Pascagoula, MS 2.0 1.5 921 $1,267 $1.37 13d 21 0.97mi
5111 Orchard Ave Pascagoula, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 853 $1,430 $1.68 13d 15 1.17mi
1810 12th St Pascagoula, MS 2.0 1.0 925 $1,100 $1.19 13d 1 1.22mi
3801 Melton Dr Pascagoula, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 825 $1,430 $1.73 13d 43 1.38mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 196-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    listed $65,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$866 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$866 · $72/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 95% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,451
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$866
− Insurance
−$5,444
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,236
− Management
−$1,236
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$1,137
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$273
After-tax cash flow
$1,533/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pascagoula-Gautier School District
NCES district ID
2803480
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,392
Composite
32.86/100
National rank
#5613
State rank
#41 of 130 in MS

Livability — Pascagoula

Score
70/100
State rank
#41
US rank
#7866

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pascagoula, MS
County
Jackson County · 82,196 people
City population
21,731
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
Population (ZIP)
11,390
Household income
$37,927
Rent vs Own
59.2% rent · 40.8% own
Severe rent burden
965.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
146,926 people
By 2030
148,442 · +1.0%
By 2040
149,631 · +1.8%
By 2050
148,723 · +1.2%
By 2075
147,845 · +0.6%
By 2100
144,510 · -1.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 40% White 38% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.5% · R 69.4% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -39.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.9 2020: R+34.6 2016: R+39.9 2012: R+36.1 2008: R+33.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -22.34%
Current HPI
191.273
Rent YoY
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-18.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $65,000 MLSU
  • 2025-06-30 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2025-06-04 Price Changed $76,500 MLSU
  • 2025-05-28 Listed $80,000 MLSU
  • 2022-11-10 Pending MLSU
  • 2022-10-11 Listed $79,900 MLSU

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $866 · +13.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…