23 River St · Bradford, PA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.67%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Motivated Seller. This cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is located in a convenient location close to downtown and amenities. While the house needs some tender loving care (TLC), it has a solid structure with great potential. The property features a nice, solid deck that's perfect for outdoor entertaining. This home would be ideal for a first-time homebuyer looking to add their personal touch or an investor seeking a promising investment property. Property sold as is.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Eat in kitchen
- Side deck
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; No driveway
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Electric service (standard)
- Home design: Two-story single-family residence; Resale property
- Construction: Wood siding exterior; Shingle roof; Block and stone foundation; Built (existing)
- Exterior features: Irregular residential lot; City street frontage; Partial basement
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with island; Eat-in layout; Gas oven; Gas range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the second floor (approx. 19.0 x 11.6 and 16.5 x 11.9)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Wall furnace
- Interior features: Sliding doors; Ceiling fan(s); Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Kitchen island; Living/dining room; Sliding glass door(s)
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $377 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($868 rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $39k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.6% vs local median 4.3% in Bradford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#814 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Bradford Area SD (town): math 41% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #187 of 539 in PA (top 35%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 29 units permitted in McKean County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- McKean County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $21k; list at $40k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.49%
- DSCR
- 2.80
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.57×
- Total profit
- $17,575
- Equity at exit
- $5,949
- IRR
- 43.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.15×
- Total profit
- $46,352
- Equity at exit
- $3,450
Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16701
- Home prices YoY
- -17.9%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $868 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$209
- Tax from tax record
- −$83 /mo · $991/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$182
- Net cashflow
- $377
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,975
- Closing costs
- $1,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-12status $39,900 Pending 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $39,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $39,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $39,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $39,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $39,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $39,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $39,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $39,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31price $39,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-16$44,900 Active
-
2023-09-18soldstatus $21,000 Closed Sale or Rented 470-char remark
Show marketing remark (470 chars)
Motivated Seller. This cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is located in a convenient location close to downtown and amenities. While the house needs some tender loving care (TLC), it has a solid structure with great potential. The property features a nice, solid deck that's perfect for outdoor entertaining. This home would be ideal for a first-time homebuyer looking to add their personal touch or an investor seeking a promising investment property. Property sold as is.
-
2023-07-18status Under Contract- Do Not Show 470-char remark
Show marketing remark (470 chars)
Motivated Seller. This cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is located in a convenient location close to downtown and amenities. While the house needs some tender loving care (TLC), it has a solid structure with great potential. The property features a nice, solid deck that's perfect for outdoor entertaining. This home would be ideal for a first-time homebuyer looking to add their personal touch or an investor seeking a promising investment property. Property sold as is.
-
2023-06-25price $29,000 470-char remark
Show marketing remark (470 chars)
Motivated Seller. This cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is located in a convenient location close to downtown and amenities. While the house needs some tender loving care (TLC), it has a solid structure with great potential. The property features a nice, solid deck that's perfect for outdoor entertaining. This home would be ideal for a first-time homebuyer looking to add their personal touch or an investor seeking a promising investment property. Property sold as is.
-
2023-05-31price $32,000 470-char remark
Show marketing remark (470 chars)
Motivated Seller. This cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is located in a convenient location close to downtown and amenities. While the house needs some tender loving care (TLC), it has a solid structure with great potential. The property features a nice, solid deck that's perfect for outdoor entertaining. This home would be ideal for a first-time homebuyer looking to add their personal touch or an investor seeking a promising investment property. Property sold as is.
-
2023-05-11price $39,000 470-char remark
Show marketing remark (470 chars)
Motivated Seller. This cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is located in a convenient location close to downtown and amenities. While the house needs some tender loving care (TLC), it has a solid structure with great potential. The property features a nice, solid deck that's perfect for outdoor entertaining. This home would be ideal for a first-time homebuyer looking to add their personal touch or an investor seeking a promising investment property. Property sold as is.
-
2023-05-03$42,500 Active 470-char remark
Show marketing remark (470 chars)
Motivated Seller. This cozy 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is located in a convenient location close to downtown and amenities. While the house needs some tender loving care (TLC), it has a solid structure with great potential. The property features a nice, solid deck that's perfect for outdoor entertaining. This home would be ideal for a first-time homebuyer looking to add their personal touch or an investor seeking a promising investment property. Property sold as is.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $991 · $83/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $991 · $83/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥90°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,411
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,235
- − Property taxes
- −$991
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$833
- − Management
- −$833
- − Depreciation
- −$1,161
- Taxable income
- $4,159
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$998
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,525/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bradford Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4204020
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,477
- Composite
- 42.31/100
- National rank
- #3261
- State rank
- #187 of 539 in PA
Livability — Bradford
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #814
- US rank
- #8325
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bradford, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,584
Population outlook (McKean County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 40,518 people
- By 2030
- 39,290 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 36,438 · -10.1%
- By 2050
- 33,556 · -17.2%
- By 2075
- 27,682 · -31.7%
- By 2100
- 21,726 · -46.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · McKean
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.2) · D 26.0% · R 73.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.3pp · 2024: -47.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.2 2020: R+46.2 2016: R+47.2 2012: R+28.2 2008: R+17.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.54%
- Current HPI
- 149.3686
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+5.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Listed $44,900 UNYREIS
- 2023-09-18 Sold (MLS) $21,000 UNYREIS
- 2023-07-18 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2023-06-25 Price Changed $29,000 UNYREIS
- 2023-05-31 Price Changed $32,000 UNYREIS
- 2023-05-11 Price Changed $39,000 UNYREIS
- 2023-05-03 Listed $42,500 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $991 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…