108 Byrne Pl · Syracuse, NY
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming two-bedroom ranch nestled in the desirable Valley area, offering a fantastic opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add their personal touch. This home features hardwood floors, a one-car garage, and a spacious, fully fenced backyard—perfect for outdoor enjoyment or future enhancements. Conveniently located near local amenities, shopping, and major routes, making daily living and commuting a breeze. Property requires rehabilitation and is being sold “as is. ”
Key facts
- Spacious backyard
- Hardwood floors
- 0.25 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $307 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
- Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $100k implies a 66% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.02%
- DSCR
- 1.71
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $156,145
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108 Byrne Pl | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 835 (0%) | 0mo | $100,000 | $120 | 100 |
| 227 Weymouth Rd | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-14%) | 6mo | $157,000 | $218 | 65 |
| 2025 Valley Dr | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 832 (-0%) | 11mo | $190,000 | $228 | 64 |
| 418 Clarence Ave | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 924 (+11%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $130 | 57 |
| 415 Seneca Dr | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 748 (-10%) | 17mo | $135,000 | $180 | 54 |
| 174 Merritt Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 788 (-6%) | 6mo | $126,000 | $160 | 51 |
| 250 Ferndale Dr #52 | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-14%) | 4mo | $136,000 | $189 | 49 |
| 133 E Chaffee Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 936 (+12%) | 11mo | $175,000 | $187 | 46 |
| 102 Normanor Dr | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (+12%) | 15mo | $180,000 | $192 | 46 |
| 218 Academy Pl | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 936 (+12%) | 17mo | $170,847 | $183 | 36 |
| 118 Academy Pl | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 936 (+12%) | 20mo | $170,000 | $182 | 34 |
| 139 Academy Pl | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 936 (+12%) | 20mo | $187,000 | $200 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.64×
- Total profit
- $73,949
- Equity at exit
- $89,998
- IRR
- 29.3%
- Equity multiple
- 8.24×
- Total profit
- $202,392
- Equity at exit
- $194,084
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13205
- Home prices YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,218 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$23 /mo · $276/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $307
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $363 | -5% $335 | +0% $307 | +5% $279 | +10% $250 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $211 | -5% $259 | +0% $307 | +5% $355 | +10% $403 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $357 | -0.5pp $332 | base $307 | +0.5pp $281 | +1.0pp $255 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 683 E Seneca Tpke Syracuse, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 937 | $1,550 | $1.65 | 14d | 4 | 0.81mi |
| 1125 Valley Dr Syracuse, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,100 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 116 Newbury Hollow Ln Syracuse, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,295 | $1.57 | 14d | 7 | 1.25mi |
| 123 Remington Ave Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 679 | $1,115 | $1.64 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 123 Remington Ave Unit 126-E Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 679 | $1,115 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 123 Remington Ave Unit 124-L Syracuse, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 552 | $945 | $1.71 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 123 Remington Ave Unit 124-J Syracuse, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 679 | $1,065 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending
-
2026-04-11historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-06$99,900 Active
-
1997-06-27soldstatus $60,000
-
1994-03-31soldstatus $49,200
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $276 · $23/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $982 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- +$706/yr (+$59/mo · 255.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,610
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$276
- − Insurance
- −$1,297
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,169
- − Management
- −$1,169
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $2,197
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$527
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,155/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Syracuse City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628590
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,097
- Composite
- 17.83/100
- National rank
- #9007
- State rank
- #590 of 590 in NY
Livability — Syracuse
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #2869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Syracuse, NY
- City population
- 152,627
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,562
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 37% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Swiss 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.12%
- Current HPI
- 345.8854
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+103.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-04-11 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2026-04-06 Listed $99,900 CNYIS
- 1997-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 1994-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $49,200 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $276 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…