112 S Ridge St · Burnham, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.6/30.0
- Appreciation +9.2/10.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- ARV discount +6.8/15.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$189,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 2-story, 3-bedroom home sits on nearly a half-acre. The home has a 24x24 attached garage that enters into the large 12x22 family room. In addition to the family room, the main level also has a living room with a wood stove, eat-in kitchen, large half bathroom, and laundry. The second floor has 3 bedrooms and a full bathroom. The home has public water and sewer. The exterior was recently pressure washed and is ready for a new owner.
Key facts
- Public sewer
- Wood stove
- Attached garage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with front entry and garage door opener; Driveway with space for 2 vehicles (total of 4 garage/parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Oil for heating and hot water
- Home design: Detached property; Shingle roof; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Stone foundation; Built year (per assessor)
- Exterior features: Rear yard; Porch(es); Outbuilding(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven/range
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (upper level); One half bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Oil-fired heating and hot water
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Wood stove; Partial basement
- Laundry & utility: Main floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $189k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $323 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $189k).
- Recommended offer: $183k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#634 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Mifflin County SD (town): math 28% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #380 of 539 in PA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 58 units permitted in Mifflin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (8.3% local appreciation)).
- Mifflin County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (8.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($183k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.32%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $186,160
- List price
- $189,000
- Delta
- 1.53%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
8.31% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.93×
- Total profit
- $102,171
- Equity at exit
- $147,573
- IRR
- 23.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.32×
- Total profit
- $281,372
- Equity at exit
- $296,815
Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17009
- Home prices YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 14
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$991
- Tax from tax record
- −$187 /mo · $2,246/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$420
- Net cashflow
- $323
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,250
- Closing costs
- $5,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203 4th Ave Burnham, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1960 | $2,000 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $189,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $189,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $189,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-09$189,000 Active 440-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,246 · $187/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,616 · $218/mo
- Expected delta
- +$370/yr (+$31/mo · 16.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,587
- − Property taxes
- −$2,246
- − Insurance
- −$945
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,920
- − Management
- −$1,920
- − Depreciation
- −$5,498
- Taxable income
- $884
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$212
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,663/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mifflin County SD
- NCES district ID
- 4215290
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,718
- Composite
- 32.28/100
- National rank
- #5755
- State rank
- #380 of 539 in PA
Livability — Burnham
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #634
- US rank
- #6172
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Burnham, PA
- City population
- 2,804
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,682
Population outlook (Mifflin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,611 people
- By 2030
- 43,212 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 40,197 · -9.9%
- By 2050
- 36,813 · -17.5%
- By 2075
- 28,833 · -35.4%
- By 2100
- 20,296 · -54.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 5% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Mifflin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.4) · D 21.4% · R 77.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.8pp toward R · 2008: -33.7pp · 2024: -56.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.4 2020: R+56.1 2016: R+57.5 2012: R+46.8 2008: R+33.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.31%
- Current HPI
- 249.4239
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Listed $189,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2026): $2,246 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…