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4118 W Midlothian Ave
A- Composite 84.91
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0

$94,900

4118 W Midlothian Ave · Robbins, IL 60472
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 985 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 110 Days on market
Built 1957 $96/sqft · 18% below area Est $116k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming GUTTED Single-Family Home on Spacious Double Lot - Sold As-Is! Nestled in a highly private location, this unique property offers endless potential. Situated on a generous double lot, the home provides plenty of space for expansion, outdoor enjoyment, or future development. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 bath, this home is ready for your vision and creativity. Whether you're an investor or a buyer looking for a secluded retreat, this is a rare opportunity to make it your own. Sold as-is. Don't miss out-schedule a showing today! 2 LOTS on this property PROPERTY IS GUTTED.

Key facts

  • Secluded retreat
  • Double lot
  • Outdoor enjoyment

Tags

DOUBLE LOTPRIVATE LOCATIONOUTDOOR ENJOYMENTSECLUDED RETREAT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $714 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#583 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, employment F.
  • Chsd 218 (suburban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #454 of 620 in IL (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Kolmar Elem School (math 4% / reading 9%, grade F, #1,723 of 2,056 statewide, top 84%, 541 students, 0% FRL); Dd Eisenhower High Sch (Campus) (math 10% / reading 13%, grade F, #520 of 693 statewide, top 75%, 1,841 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($656 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $86,359 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.75%
Cap rate
15.32%
Cash-on-cash
32.24%
DSCR
2.43
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$115,559
List price
$94,900
Delta
-17.88%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13625 S Keeler Ave 0.26mi 3/1.0 (+1) 997 (+1%) 12mo $70,000 $70 71
4117 W 138th St 0.04mi 3/1.5 (+1) 912 (-7%) 14mo $82,000 $90 67
4124 W 136th Pl 0.25mi 3/1.0 (+1) 912 (-7%) 9mo $122,000 $134 64
13417 S Komenski Ave 0.47mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,000 (+2%) 14mo $130,000 $130 57
3714 W 140th Pl 0.55mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (+2%) 17mo $60,000 $60 53
14330 Keeler Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 960 (-2%) 13mo $238,000 $248 48
14244 Kostner Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 (+1) 900 (-9%) 0mo $246,000 $273 48
13604 S Monticello Ave 0.60mi 2/1.0 873 (-11%) 6mo $24,900 $29 48
13411 S Kolin Ave 0.57mi 3/2.5 (+1) 972 (-1%) 17mo $202,000 $208 46
14340 Keeler Ave 0.69mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,040 (+6%) 11mo $218,000 $210 43
14305 Kostner Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,093 (+11%) 5mo $194,000 $177 39
4240 143rd St 0.62mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,116 (+13%) 2mo $303,500 $272 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
48.9%
Equity multiple
4.66×
Total profit
$97,145
Equity at exit
$85,493
10-year hold
IRR
42.6%
Equity multiple
10.42×
Total profit
$250,293
Equity at exit
$184,370

Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60472

Home prices YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
28
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,657 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $690/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$348
Net cashflow
$714

Break-even live

Break-even rent $753
Max offer price $94,900
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $768 -5% $741 +0% $714 +5% $687 +10% $660
Rent -10% $583 -5% $649 +0% $714 +5% $779 +10% $845
Rate -1.0pp $762 -0.5pp $738 base $714 +0.5pp $689 +1.0pp $664

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,725
Closing costs
$2,847
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13906 Central Park Ave Unit 2N Robbins, IL 3.0 2.0 900 $2,000 $2.22 0d 1 0.63mi
14547 Keystone Ave #12 Midlothian, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 0d 1 0.93mi
14601 Keystone Ave Unit B1 Midlothian, IL 1.0 1.0 600 $1,200 $2.00 18d 1 0.97mi
14633 Keystone Ave Unit 3A Midlothian, IL 1.0 1.0 750 $1,200 $1.60 3d 1 1.01mi
13615 Royal Ct #309 Crestwood, IL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,850 $1.85 4d 1 1.02mi
3542 147th St Midlothian, IL 2.0 1.0 817 $1,500 $1.84 8d 2 1.25mi
14033 Laramie Ave #408 Crestwood, IL 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,100 $1.91 9d 1 1.37mi
14643 Lamon Ave Unit 2B Midlothian, IL 2.0 1.5 990 $1,525 $1.54 26d 1 1.41mi
3349 147th St Unit 3240 06 Midlothian, IL 2.0 1.0 817 $1,500 $1.84 6d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $94,900 Active 110 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $94,900 Active 107 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $94,900 Active 106 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $94,900 Active 105 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $94,900 Active 104 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $94,900 Active 102 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $94,900 Active 98 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,900 Active 97 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,900 Active 96 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $94,900 Active 93 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $94,900 Active 92 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $94,900 Active 91 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $94,900 Active 90 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,900 Active 89 DOM
  15. 2026-03-03
    listed $94,900 Active 587-char remark
    Show marketing remark (587 chars)

    Charming GUTTED Single-Family Home on Spacious Double Lot - Sold As-Is! Nestled in a highly private location, this unique property offers endless potential. Situated on a generous double lot, the home provides plenty of space for expansion, outdoor enjoyment, or future development. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 bath, this home is ready for your vision and creativity. Whether you're an investor or a buyer looking for a secluded retreat, this is a rare opportunity to make it your own. Sold as-is. Don't miss out-schedule a showing today! 2 LOTS on this property PROPERTY IS GUTTED.

  16. 2026-02-17
    historical
  17. 2025-02-18
    listed Active
  18. 2022-07-13
    soldstatus $85,000 Closed
  19. 2022-04-03
    status Pending
  20. 2021-11-13
    listed $89,000 Active
  21. 2019-05-30
    soldstatus $56,000
  22. 2005-12-22
    soldstatus $39,000
  23. 1997-11-10
    soldstatus $47,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$690 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,422 · $118/mo
Expected delta
+$732/yr (+$61/mo · 106.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,878
− Mortgage interest
−$5,316
− Property taxes
−$690
− Insurance
−$474
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,590
− Management
−$1,590
− Depreciation
−$2,761
Taxable income
$7,457
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,790
After-tax cash flow
$6,778/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chsd 218
NCES district ID
1706540
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$57,166
Composite
16.09/100
National rank
#9235
State rank
#454 of 620 in IL

Livability — Robbins

Score
66/100
State rank
#583
US rank
#12161

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Robbins, IL
City population
4,961
Population (ZIP)
4,961

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (85%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 85% Hispanic / Latino 9% White 4% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 4%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 16.74%
Current HPI
494.1622
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+101.9% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $94,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-17 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-18 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-07-13 Sold (MLS) $85,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-04-03 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-11-13 Listed $89,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-05-30 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
  • 2005-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records
  • 1997-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.9%/yr

Latest (2023): $690 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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