4944 Village Gardens Dr #151 · Sarasota, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +6.9/30.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.7/5.0
- DSCR +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$205,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
WELL-MAINTAINTED TWO BEDROOM AND TWO BATHROOM VILLA WITH VAULTED CEILING. HUGE KITCHEN which features a pantry, laundry closet, breakfast counter and gas range. Spacious dining/living room for your next gathering with your friends and family. There is a large service window between the kitchen and the dining area. The lanai with the glassed sliding doors and screens has relaxing views of the backyard. Enjoy the view of the greenery and sip on your favorite beverage. This home has ample light and is also a split floor-plan. The main bedroom boasts a walk-in closet and the bathroom has a walk-in shower. By the side of the villa there is a storage unit for your convenience. The carport is covered. Village Gardens is a hidden gem in Sarasota and the amenities are pickleball, tennis and shuffleboard courts, heated pool with new furniture, Ramada with gas grills, utility sink and seating area, clubhouse with fully equipped kitchen, library and billiard table, lots of guest parking spaces as well. There is a manager on site. The grounds, exterior, roof are all maintained by the HOA. Take part in the vibrant social calendar activities and meet your neighbors/your new friends. Ride your bicycle or walk and enjoy the lush landscaping. Easy access to I-75 and just under 5 miles to Downtown Sarasota. St. Armand's and Lido Beach are about 15 minutes drive and on your way to the beach enjoy Ringling Bridge and the vast views of the bay. There are cultural and culinary venues close by, such as the Ringling Museum, Sarasota Opera, UTC Mall and more. The North Water Park is just around the corner with trails, a playground and covered seating areas for you and your four legged friends. Spend the day at the beach in Siesta Key with the dreamy sand and turquoise water of the Gulf. Live and work here all year around, have your villa as your vacation home, or as an investment property. Book your showing today.
Key facts
- Large kitchen
- Laundry closet
- Tile flooring
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $205k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-312 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $150k (26.9% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $205k).
- Recommended offer: $150k (26.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#121 in FL, #1,854 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+, commute A; Watch: crime F.
- Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Emma E. Booker Elementary School (math 35% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,758 of 2,144 statewide, top 83%, 468 students, 93% FRL); Booker Middle School (math 45% / reading 41%, grade D-, #331 of 571 statewide, top 59%, 950 students, 76% FRL); Booker High School (math 26% / reading 43%, grade F, #386 of 667 statewide, top 59%, 1,309 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 42% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 37% at this address vs 63% district-wide (-26 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Sarasota average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.1%/yr); 270 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 453 days — a 12% lower offer ($180k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $66k; list at $205k implies a 211% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 26% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 453 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 4.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.53%
- DSCR
- 0.71
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $323,040
- List price
- $205,000
- Delta
- -36.54%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -32.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.02×
- Total profit
- $-58,770
- Equity at exit
- $30,566
- IRR
- -71.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.72×
- Total profit
- $-98,617
- Equity at exit
- $17,725
Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34234
- Rents YoY
- -3.1%
- Active inventory
- 270
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,054 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,075
- Tax from tax record
- −$244 /mo · $2,930/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- HOA
- −$530
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$431
- Net cashflow
- $-312
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-196 | -5% $-254 | +0% $-312 | +5% $-370 | +10% $-428 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-474 | -5% $-393 | +0% $-312 | +5% $-231 | +10% $-150 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-209 | -0.5pp $-260 | base $-312 | +0.5pp $-365 | +1.0pp $-419 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,250
- Closing costs
- $6,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2800 Telluride Loop Sarasota, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1060 | $2,270 | $2.14 | 3d | 20 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $530 · $6,360/yr
- Likely covers
- watergaslandscapingpool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $205,000 Active 453 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $205,000 Active 450 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $205,000 Active 449 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $205,000 Active 447 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $205,000 Active 445 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $205,000 Active 444 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $205,000 Active 442 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $205,000 Active 441 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $205,000 Active 439 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $205,000 Active 436 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $205,000 Active 435 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $205,000 Active 434 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $205,000 Active 433 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $205,000 Active 432 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $205,000 1923-char remark
Show marketing remark (1923 chars)
WELL-MAINTAINTED TWO BEDROOM AND TWO BATHROOM VILLA WITH VAULTED CEILING. HUGE KITCHEN which features a pantry, laundry closet, breakfast counter and gas range. Spacious dining/living room for your next gathering with your friends and family. There is a large service window between the kitchen and the dining area. The lanai with the glassed sliding doors and screens has relaxing views of the backyard. Enjoy the view of the greenery and sip on your favorite beverage. This home has ample light and is also a split floor-plan. The main bedroom boasts a walk-in closet and the bathroom has a walk-in shower. By the side of the villa there is a storage unit for your convenience. The carport is covered. Village Gardens is a hidden gem in Sarasota and the amenities are pickleball, tennis and shuffleboard courts, heated pool with new furniture, Ramada with gas grills, utility sink and seating area, clubhouse with fully equipped kitchen, library and billiard table, lots of guest parking spaces as well. There is a manager on site. The grounds, exterior, roof are all maintained by the HOA. Take part in the vibrant social calendar activities and meet your neighbors/your new friends. Ride your bicycle or walk and enjoy the lush landscaping. Easy access to I-75 and just under 5 miles to Downtown Sarasota. St. Armand's and Lido Beach are about 15 minutes drive and on your way to the beach enjoy Ringling Bridge and the vast views of the bay. There are cultural and culinary venues close by, such as the Ringling Museum, Sarasota Opera, UTC Mall and more. The North Water Park is just around the corner with trails, a playground and covered seating areas for you and your four legged friends. Spend the day at the beach in Siesta Key with the dreamy sand and turquoise water of the Gulf. Live and work here all year around, have your villa as your vacation home, or as an investment property. Book your showing today.
-
2026-02-19price $215,000 1923-char remark
Show marketing remark (1923 chars)
WELL-MAINTAINTED TWO BEDROOM AND TWO BATHROOM VILLA WITH VAULTED CEILING. HUGE KITCHEN which features a pantry, laundry closet, breakfast counter and gas range. Spacious dining/living room for your next gathering with your friends and family. There is a large service window between the kitchen and the dining area. The lanai with the glassed sliding doors and screens has relaxing views of the backyard. Enjoy the view of the greenery and sip on your favorite beverage. This home has ample light and is also a split floor-plan. The main bedroom boasts a walk-in closet and the bathroom has a walk-in shower. By the side of the villa there is a storage unit for your convenience. The carport is covered. Village Gardens is a hidden gem in Sarasota and the amenities are pickleball, tennis and shuffleboard courts, heated pool with new furniture, Ramada with gas grills, utility sink and seating area, clubhouse with fully equipped kitchen, library and billiard table, lots of guest parking spaces as well. There is a manager on site. The grounds, exterior, roof are all maintained by the HOA. Take part in the vibrant social calendar activities and meet your neighbors/your new friends. Ride your bicycle or walk and enjoy the lush landscaping. Easy access to I-75 and just under 5 miles to Downtown Sarasota. St. Armand's and Lido Beach are about 15 minutes drive and on your way to the beach enjoy Ringling Bridge and the vast views of the bay. There are cultural and culinary venues close by, such as the Ringling Museum, Sarasota Opera, UTC Mall and more. The North Water Park is just around the corner with trails, a playground and covered seating areas for you and your four legged friends. Spend the day at the beach in Siesta Key with the dreamy sand and turquoise water of the Gulf. Live and work here all year around, have your villa as your vacation home, or as an investment property. Book your showing today.
-
2026-01-22price $225,000 1923-char remark
Show marketing remark (1923 chars)
WELL-MAINTAINTED TWO BEDROOM AND TWO BATHROOM VILLA WITH VAULTED CEILING. HUGE KITCHEN which features a pantry, laundry closet, breakfast counter and gas range. Spacious dining/living room for your next gathering with your friends and family. There is a large service window between the kitchen and the dining area. The lanai with the glassed sliding doors and screens has relaxing views of the backyard. Enjoy the view of the greenery and sip on your favorite beverage. This home has ample light and is also a split floor-plan. The main bedroom boasts a walk-in closet and the bathroom has a walk-in shower. By the side of the villa there is a storage unit for your convenience. The carport is covered. Village Gardens is a hidden gem in Sarasota and the amenities are pickleball, tennis and shuffleboard courts, heated pool with new furniture, Ramada with gas grills, utility sink and seating area, clubhouse with fully equipped kitchen, library and billiard table, lots of guest parking spaces as well. There is a manager on site. The grounds, exterior, roof are all maintained by the HOA. Take part in the vibrant social calendar activities and meet your neighbors/your new friends. Ride your bicycle or walk and enjoy the lush landscaping. Easy access to I-75 and just under 5 miles to Downtown Sarasota. St. Armand's and Lido Beach are about 15 minutes drive and on your way to the beach enjoy Ringling Bridge and the vast views of the bay. There are cultural and culinary venues close by, such as the Ringling Museum, Sarasota Opera, UTC Mall and more. The North Water Park is just around the corner with trails, a playground and covered seating areas for you and your four legged friends. Spend the day at the beach in Siesta Key with the dreamy sand and turquoise water of the Gulf. Live and work here all year around, have your villa as your vacation home, or as an investment property. Book your showing today.
-
2025-10-23price $232,500 1923-char remark
Show marketing remark (1923 chars)
WELL-MAINTAINTED TWO BEDROOM AND TWO BATHROOM VILLA WITH VAULTED CEILING. HUGE KITCHEN which features a pantry, laundry closet, breakfast counter and gas range. Spacious dining/living room for your next gathering with your friends and family. There is a large service window between the kitchen and the dining area. The lanai with the glassed sliding doors and screens has relaxing views of the backyard. Enjoy the view of the greenery and sip on your favorite beverage. This home has ample light and is also a split floor-plan. The main bedroom boasts a walk-in closet and the bathroom has a walk-in shower. By the side of the villa there is a storage unit for your convenience. The carport is covered. Village Gardens is a hidden gem in Sarasota and the amenities are pickleball, tennis and shuffleboard courts, heated pool with new furniture, Ramada with gas grills, utility sink and seating area, clubhouse with fully equipped kitchen, library and billiard table, lots of guest parking spaces as well. There is a manager on site. The grounds, exterior, roof are all maintained by the HOA. Take part in the vibrant social calendar activities and meet your neighbors/your new friends. Ride your bicycle or walk and enjoy the lush landscaping. Easy access to I-75 and just under 5 miles to Downtown Sarasota. St. Armand's and Lido Beach are about 15 minutes drive and on your way to the beach enjoy Ringling Bridge and the vast views of the bay. There are cultural and culinary venues close by, such as the Ringling Museum, Sarasota Opera, UTC Mall and more. The North Water Park is just around the corner with trails, a playground and covered seating areas for you and your four legged friends. Spend the day at the beach in Siesta Key with the dreamy sand and turquoise water of the Gulf. Live and work here all year around, have your villa as your vacation home, or as an investment property. Book your showing today.
-
2025-06-16price $239,000 1923-char remark
Show marketing remark (1923 chars)
WELL-MAINTAINTED TWO BEDROOM AND TWO BATHROOM VILLA WITH VAULTED CEILING. HUGE KITCHEN which features a pantry, laundry closet, breakfast counter and gas range. Spacious dining/living room for your next gathering with your friends and family. There is a large service window between the kitchen and the dining area. The lanai with the glassed sliding doors and screens has relaxing views of the backyard. Enjoy the view of the greenery and sip on your favorite beverage. This home has ample light and is also a split floor-plan. The main bedroom boasts a walk-in closet and the bathroom has a walk-in shower. By the side of the villa there is a storage unit for your convenience. The carport is covered. Village Gardens is a hidden gem in Sarasota and the amenities are pickleball, tennis and shuffleboard courts, heated pool with new furniture, Ramada with gas grills, utility sink and seating area, clubhouse with fully equipped kitchen, library and billiard table, lots of guest parking spaces as well. There is a manager on site. The grounds, exterior, roof are all maintained by the HOA. Take part in the vibrant social calendar activities and meet your neighbors/your new friends. Ride your bicycle or walk and enjoy the lush landscaping. Easy access to I-75 and just under 5 miles to Downtown Sarasota. St. Armand's and Lido Beach are about 15 minutes drive and on your way to the beach enjoy Ringling Bridge and the vast views of the bay. There are cultural and culinary venues close by, such as the Ringling Museum, Sarasota Opera, UTC Mall and more. The North Water Park is just around the corner with trails, a playground and covered seating areas for you and your four legged friends. Spend the day at the beach in Siesta Key with the dreamy sand and turquoise water of the Gulf. Live and work here all year around, have your villa as your vacation home, or as an investment property. Book your showing today.
-
2025-03-25$245,000 Active 1923-char remark
Show marketing remark (1923 chars)
WELL-MAINTAINTED TWO BEDROOM AND TWO BATHROOM VILLA WITH VAULTED CEILING. HUGE KITCHEN which features a pantry, laundry closet, breakfast counter and gas range. Spacious dining/living room for your next gathering with your friends and family. There is a large service window between the kitchen and the dining area. The lanai with the glassed sliding doors and screens has relaxing views of the backyard. Enjoy the view of the greenery and sip on your favorite beverage. This home has ample light and is also a split floor-plan. The main bedroom boasts a walk-in closet and the bathroom has a walk-in shower. By the side of the villa there is a storage unit for your convenience. The carport is covered. Village Gardens is a hidden gem in Sarasota and the amenities are pickleball, tennis and shuffleboard courts, heated pool with new furniture, Ramada with gas grills, utility sink and seating area, clubhouse with fully equipped kitchen, library and billiard table, lots of guest parking spaces as well. There is a manager on site. The grounds, exterior, roof are all maintained by the HOA. Take part in the vibrant social calendar activities and meet your neighbors/your new friends. Ride your bicycle or walk and enjoy the lush landscaping. Easy access to I-75 and just under 5 miles to Downtown Sarasota. St. Armand's and Lido Beach are about 15 minutes drive and on your way to the beach enjoy Ringling Bridge and the vast views of the bay. There are cultural and culinary venues close by, such as the Ringling Museum, Sarasota Opera, UTC Mall and more. The North Water Park is just around the corner with trails, a playground and covered seating areas for you and your four legged friends. Spend the day at the beach in Siesta Key with the dreamy sand and turquoise water of the Gulf. Live and work here all year around, have your villa as your vacation home, or as an investment property. Book your showing today.
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1998-05-11soldstatus $66,000
-
1994-07-22soldstatus $52,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,930 · $244/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,930 · $244/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,644
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,483
- − Property taxes
- −$2,930
- − Insurance
- −$1,025
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,972
- − Management
- −$1,972
- − HOA
- −$6,360
- − Depreciation
- −$5,964
- Taxable loss
- −$7,060
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,694
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,052/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sarasota
- NCES district ID
- 1201680
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,167
- Composite
- 53.68/100
- National rank
- #1428
- State rank
- #7 of 73 in FL
Livability — Sarasota
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #121
- US rank
- #1854
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sarasota, FL
- County
- Sarasota County · 448,376 people
- City population
- 261,896
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,986
- Household income
- $57,288
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1306.0
Population outlook (Sarasota County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 452,380 people
- By 2030
- 474,175 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 511,577 · +13.1%
- By 2050
- 541,467 · +19.7%
- By 2075
- 604,947 · +33.7%
- By 2100
- 621,965 · +37.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 14% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 6% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Hispanic 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sarasota
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.2) · D 40.5% · R 58.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.2 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: R+0.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -229.06%
- Current HPI
- 305.6629
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.15%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+294.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $205,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $215,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-22 Price Changed $225,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-23 Price Changed $232,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-16 Price Changed $239,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-25 Listed $245,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
- 1994-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,930 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…