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4944 Village Gardens Dr #151
D Composite 41.57
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.9/30.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.7/5.0
  • DSCR +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$205,000

4944 Village Gardens Dr #151 · Sarasota, FL 34234
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,197 sqft · Condo public records · 453 Days on market
Built 1982 $171/sqft · 37% below area Est $323k · 37% under $530/mo HOA · 26% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

WELL-MAINTAINTED TWO BEDROOM AND TWO BATHROOM VILLA WITH VAULTED CEILING. HUGE KITCHEN which features a pantry, laundry closet, breakfast counter and gas range. Spacious dining/living room for your next gathering with your friends and family. There is a large service window between the kitchen and the dining area. The lanai with the glassed sliding doors and screens has relaxing views of the backyard. Enjoy the view of the greenery and sip on your favorite beverage. This home has ample light and is also a split floor-plan. The main bedroom boasts a walk-in closet and the bathroom has a walk-in shower. By the side of the villa there is a storage unit for your convenience. The carport is covered. Village Gardens is a hidden gem in Sarasota and the amenities are pickleball, tennis and shuffleboard courts, heated pool with new furniture, Ramada with gas grills, utility sink and seating area, clubhouse with fully equipped kitchen, library and billiard table, lots of guest parking spaces as well. There is a manager on site. The grounds, exterior, roof are all maintained by the HOA. Take part in the vibrant social calendar activities and meet your neighbors/your new friends. Ride your bicycle or walk and enjoy the lush landscaping. Easy access to I-75 and just under 5 miles to Downtown Sarasota. St. Armand's and Lido Beach are about 15 minutes drive and on your way to the beach enjoy Ringling Bridge and the vast views of the bay. There are cultural and culinary venues close by, such as the Ringling Museum, Sarasota Opera, UTC Mall and more. The North Water Park is just around the corner with trails, a playground and covered seating areas for you and your four legged friends. Spend the day at the beach in Siesta Key with the dreamy sand and turquoise water of the Gulf. Live and work here all year around, have your villa as your vacation home, or as an investment property. Book your showing today.

Key facts

  • Large kitchen
  • Laundry closet
  • Tile flooring

Tags

LARGE KITCHENLAUNDRY CLOSETBREAKFAST COUNTERTILE FLOORINGGAS RANGEGLASSED SLIDING DOORS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $205k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-312 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $150k (26.9% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $205k).
  • Recommended offer: $150k (26.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#121 in FL, #1,854 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+, commute A; Watch: crime F.
  • Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Emma E. Booker Elementary School (math 35% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,758 of 2,144 statewide, top 83%, 468 students, 93% FRL); Booker Middle School (math 45% / reading 41%, grade D-, #331 of 571 statewide, top 59%, 950 students, 76% FRL); Booker High School (math 26% / reading 43%, grade F, #386 of 667 statewide, top 59%, 1,309 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 79% FRL vs 42% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 37% at this address vs 63% district-wide (-26 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Sarasota average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.1%/yr); 270 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 453 days — a 12% lower offer ($180k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $66k; list at $205k implies a 211% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 26% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $149,855 (26.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 453 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
4.47%
Cash-on-cash
-6.53%
DSCR
0.71
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$323,040
List price
$205,000
Delta
-36.54%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-32.3%
Equity multiple
-0.02×
Total profit
$-58,770
Equity at exit
$30,566
10-year hold
IRR
-71.5%
Equity multiple
-0.72×
Total profit
$-98,617
Equity at exit
$17,725

Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34234

Rents YoY
-3.1%
Active inventory
270
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,054 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,075
Tax from tax record
$244 /mo · $2,930/yr
Insurance
$85
HOA
$530
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$431
Net cashflow
$-312

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,449
Max offer price $149,855
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-196 -5% $-254 +0% $-312 +5% $-370 +10% $-428
Rent -10% $-474 -5% $-393 +0% $-312 +5% $-231 +10% $-150
Rate -1.0pp $-209 -0.5pp $-260 base $-312 +0.5pp $-365 +1.0pp $-419

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$51,250
Closing costs
$6,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2800 Telluride Loop Sarasota, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1060 $2,270 $2.14 3d 20 1.40mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$530 · $6,360/yr
Likely covers
watergaslandscapingpool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $205,000 Active 453 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $205,000 Active 450 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $205,000 Active 449 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $205,000 Active 447 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $205,000 Active 445 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $205,000 Active 444 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $205,000 Active 442 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $205,000 Active 441 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $205,000 Active 439 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $205,000 Active 436 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $205,000 Active 435 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $205,000 Active 434 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $205,000 Active 433 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $205,000 Active 432 DOM
  15. 2026-05-13
    price $205,000 1923-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1923 chars)

    WELL-MAINTAINTED TWO BEDROOM AND TWO BATHROOM VILLA WITH VAULTED CEILING. HUGE KITCHEN which features a pantry, laundry closet, breakfast counter and gas range. Spacious dining/living room for your next gathering with your friends and family. There is a large service window between the kitchen and the dining area. The lanai with the glassed sliding doors and screens has relaxing views of the backyard. Enjoy the view of the greenery and sip on your favorite beverage. This home has ample light and is also a split floor-plan. The main bedroom boasts a walk-in closet and the bathroom has a walk-in shower. By the side of the villa there is a storage unit for your convenience. The carport is covered. Village Gardens is a hidden gem in Sarasota and the amenities are pickleball, tennis and shuffleboard courts, heated pool with new furniture, Ramada with gas grills, utility sink and seating area, clubhouse with fully equipped kitchen, library and billiard table, lots of guest parking spaces as well. There is a manager on site. The grounds, exterior, roof are all maintained by the HOA. Take part in the vibrant social calendar activities and meet your neighbors/your new friends. Ride your bicycle or walk and enjoy the lush landscaping. Easy access to I-75 and just under 5 miles to Downtown Sarasota. St. Armand's and Lido Beach are about 15 minutes drive and on your way to the beach enjoy Ringling Bridge and the vast views of the bay. There are cultural and culinary venues close by, such as the Ringling Museum, Sarasota Opera, UTC Mall and more. The North Water Park is just around the corner with trails, a playground and covered seating areas for you and your four legged friends. Spend the day at the beach in Siesta Key with the dreamy sand and turquoise water of the Gulf. Live and work here all year around, have your villa as your vacation home, or as an investment property. Book your showing today.

  16. 2026-02-19
    price $215,000 1923-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1923 chars)

    WELL-MAINTAINTED TWO BEDROOM AND TWO BATHROOM VILLA WITH VAULTED CEILING. HUGE KITCHEN which features a pantry, laundry closet, breakfast counter and gas range. Spacious dining/living room for your next gathering with your friends and family. There is a large service window between the kitchen and the dining area. The lanai with the glassed sliding doors and screens has relaxing views of the backyard. Enjoy the view of the greenery and sip on your favorite beverage. This home has ample light and is also a split floor-plan. The main bedroom boasts a walk-in closet and the bathroom has a walk-in shower. By the side of the villa there is a storage unit for your convenience. The carport is covered. Village Gardens is a hidden gem in Sarasota and the amenities are pickleball, tennis and shuffleboard courts, heated pool with new furniture, Ramada with gas grills, utility sink and seating area, clubhouse with fully equipped kitchen, library and billiard table, lots of guest parking spaces as well. There is a manager on site. The grounds, exterior, roof are all maintained by the HOA. Take part in the vibrant social calendar activities and meet your neighbors/your new friends. Ride your bicycle or walk and enjoy the lush landscaping. Easy access to I-75 and just under 5 miles to Downtown Sarasota. St. Armand's and Lido Beach are about 15 minutes drive and on your way to the beach enjoy Ringling Bridge and the vast views of the bay. There are cultural and culinary venues close by, such as the Ringling Museum, Sarasota Opera, UTC Mall and more. The North Water Park is just around the corner with trails, a playground and covered seating areas for you and your four legged friends. Spend the day at the beach in Siesta Key with the dreamy sand and turquoise water of the Gulf. Live and work here all year around, have your villa as your vacation home, or as an investment property. Book your showing today.

  17. 2026-01-22
    price $225,000 1923-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1923 chars)

    WELL-MAINTAINTED TWO BEDROOM AND TWO BATHROOM VILLA WITH VAULTED CEILING. HUGE KITCHEN which features a pantry, laundry closet, breakfast counter and gas range. Spacious dining/living room for your next gathering with your friends and family. There is a large service window between the kitchen and the dining area. The lanai with the glassed sliding doors and screens has relaxing views of the backyard. Enjoy the view of the greenery and sip on your favorite beverage. This home has ample light and is also a split floor-plan. The main bedroom boasts a walk-in closet and the bathroom has a walk-in shower. By the side of the villa there is a storage unit for your convenience. The carport is covered. Village Gardens is a hidden gem in Sarasota and the amenities are pickleball, tennis and shuffleboard courts, heated pool with new furniture, Ramada with gas grills, utility sink and seating area, clubhouse with fully equipped kitchen, library and billiard table, lots of guest parking spaces as well. There is a manager on site. The grounds, exterior, roof are all maintained by the HOA. Take part in the vibrant social calendar activities and meet your neighbors/your new friends. Ride your bicycle or walk and enjoy the lush landscaping. Easy access to I-75 and just under 5 miles to Downtown Sarasota. St. Armand's and Lido Beach are about 15 minutes drive and on your way to the beach enjoy Ringling Bridge and the vast views of the bay. There are cultural and culinary venues close by, such as the Ringling Museum, Sarasota Opera, UTC Mall and more. The North Water Park is just around the corner with trails, a playground and covered seating areas for you and your four legged friends. Spend the day at the beach in Siesta Key with the dreamy sand and turquoise water of the Gulf. Live and work here all year around, have your villa as your vacation home, or as an investment property. Book your showing today.

  18. 2025-10-23
    price $232,500 1923-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1923 chars)

    WELL-MAINTAINTED TWO BEDROOM AND TWO BATHROOM VILLA WITH VAULTED CEILING. HUGE KITCHEN which features a pantry, laundry closet, breakfast counter and gas range. Spacious dining/living room for your next gathering with your friends and family. There is a large service window between the kitchen and the dining area. The lanai with the glassed sliding doors and screens has relaxing views of the backyard. Enjoy the view of the greenery and sip on your favorite beverage. This home has ample light and is also a split floor-plan. The main bedroom boasts a walk-in closet and the bathroom has a walk-in shower. By the side of the villa there is a storage unit for your convenience. The carport is covered. Village Gardens is a hidden gem in Sarasota and the amenities are pickleball, tennis and shuffleboard courts, heated pool with new furniture, Ramada with gas grills, utility sink and seating area, clubhouse with fully equipped kitchen, library and billiard table, lots of guest parking spaces as well. There is a manager on site. The grounds, exterior, roof are all maintained by the HOA. Take part in the vibrant social calendar activities and meet your neighbors/your new friends. Ride your bicycle or walk and enjoy the lush landscaping. Easy access to I-75 and just under 5 miles to Downtown Sarasota. St. Armand's and Lido Beach are about 15 minutes drive and on your way to the beach enjoy Ringling Bridge and the vast views of the bay. There are cultural and culinary venues close by, such as the Ringling Museum, Sarasota Opera, UTC Mall and more. The North Water Park is just around the corner with trails, a playground and covered seating areas for you and your four legged friends. Spend the day at the beach in Siesta Key with the dreamy sand and turquoise water of the Gulf. Live and work here all year around, have your villa as your vacation home, or as an investment property. Book your showing today.

  19. 2025-06-16
    price $239,000 1923-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1923 chars)

    WELL-MAINTAINTED TWO BEDROOM AND TWO BATHROOM VILLA WITH VAULTED CEILING. HUGE KITCHEN which features a pantry, laundry closet, breakfast counter and gas range. Spacious dining/living room for your next gathering with your friends and family. There is a large service window between the kitchen and the dining area. The lanai with the glassed sliding doors and screens has relaxing views of the backyard. Enjoy the view of the greenery and sip on your favorite beverage. This home has ample light and is also a split floor-plan. The main bedroom boasts a walk-in closet and the bathroom has a walk-in shower. By the side of the villa there is a storage unit for your convenience. The carport is covered. Village Gardens is a hidden gem in Sarasota and the amenities are pickleball, tennis and shuffleboard courts, heated pool with new furniture, Ramada with gas grills, utility sink and seating area, clubhouse with fully equipped kitchen, library and billiard table, lots of guest parking spaces as well. There is a manager on site. The grounds, exterior, roof are all maintained by the HOA. Take part in the vibrant social calendar activities and meet your neighbors/your new friends. Ride your bicycle or walk and enjoy the lush landscaping. Easy access to I-75 and just under 5 miles to Downtown Sarasota. St. Armand's and Lido Beach are about 15 minutes drive and on your way to the beach enjoy Ringling Bridge and the vast views of the bay. There are cultural and culinary venues close by, such as the Ringling Museum, Sarasota Opera, UTC Mall and more. The North Water Park is just around the corner with trails, a playground and covered seating areas for you and your four legged friends. Spend the day at the beach in Siesta Key with the dreamy sand and turquoise water of the Gulf. Live and work here all year around, have your villa as your vacation home, or as an investment property. Book your showing today.

  20. 2025-03-25
    listed $245,000 Active 1923-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1923 chars)

    WELL-MAINTAINTED TWO BEDROOM AND TWO BATHROOM VILLA WITH VAULTED CEILING. HUGE KITCHEN which features a pantry, laundry closet, breakfast counter and gas range. Spacious dining/living room for your next gathering with your friends and family. There is a large service window between the kitchen and the dining area. The lanai with the glassed sliding doors and screens has relaxing views of the backyard. Enjoy the view of the greenery and sip on your favorite beverage. This home has ample light and is also a split floor-plan. The main bedroom boasts a walk-in closet and the bathroom has a walk-in shower. By the side of the villa there is a storage unit for your convenience. The carport is covered. Village Gardens is a hidden gem in Sarasota and the amenities are pickleball, tennis and shuffleboard courts, heated pool with new furniture, Ramada with gas grills, utility sink and seating area, clubhouse with fully equipped kitchen, library and billiard table, lots of guest parking spaces as well. There is a manager on site. The grounds, exterior, roof are all maintained by the HOA. Take part in the vibrant social calendar activities and meet your neighbors/your new friends. Ride your bicycle or walk and enjoy the lush landscaping. Easy access to I-75 and just under 5 miles to Downtown Sarasota. St. Armand's and Lido Beach are about 15 minutes drive and on your way to the beach enjoy Ringling Bridge and the vast views of the bay. There are cultural and culinary venues close by, such as the Ringling Museum, Sarasota Opera, UTC Mall and more. The North Water Park is just around the corner with trails, a playground and covered seating areas for you and your four legged friends. Spend the day at the beach in Siesta Key with the dreamy sand and turquoise water of the Gulf. Live and work here all year around, have your villa as your vacation home, or as an investment property. Book your showing today.

  21. 1998-05-11
    soldstatus $66,000
  22. 1994-07-22
    soldstatus $52,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,930 · $244/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,930 · $244/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,644
− Mortgage interest
−$11,483
− Property taxes
−$2,930
− Insurance
−$1,025
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,972
− Management
−$1,972
− HOA
−$6,360
− Depreciation
−$5,964
Taxable loss
−$7,060
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,694
After-tax cash flow
$-2,052/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sarasota
NCES district ID
1201680
Math proficiency
63% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$51,167
Composite
53.68/100
National rank
#1428
State rank
#7 of 73 in FL

Livability — Sarasota

Score
80/100
State rank
#121
US rank
#1854

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living C+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sarasota, FL
County
Sarasota County · 448,376 people
City population
261,896
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
Population (ZIP)
22,986
Household income
$57,288
Rent vs Own
40.5% rent · 59.5% own
Severe rent burden
1306.0

Population outlook (Sarasota County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
452,380 people
By 2030
474,175 · +4.8%
By 2040
511,577 · +13.1%
By 2050
541,467 · +19.7%
By 2075
604,947 · +33.7%
By 2100
621,965 · +37.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 14% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 6% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Hispanic 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sarasota

2024 margin
R (+18.2) · D 40.5% · R 58.7%
2008→2024 swing
-18.1pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.2 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: R+0.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -229.06%
Current HPI
305.6629
Rent YoY
▼ -3.15%
Metro
North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+294.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $205,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $215,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-22 Price Changed $225,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-23 Price Changed $232,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-16 Price Changed $239,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-25 Listed $245,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1998-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
  • 1994-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,930 · +5.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…