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1405 W Washington 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 76.47
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$94,900

1405 W Washington · Jonesboro, AR 72401
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,576 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 84 Days on market
Built 1998 0.37 ac lot Est $170k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity for investors! Being sold as-is, this home is currently occupied with tenants renting month-to-month who hope to stay, renting at $700/month. No SPD.

Key facts

  • 0.37 acre lot
  • Built 1998
  • Listed 83 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximate lot dimensions: 75 x 215; Approximate acreage: 0.37 acres; Square footage per tax records: 1,576

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking pads
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Inside city limits
  • Construction: Metal or vinyl siding exterior; Architectural shingle roof; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Sloped lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen equipment: other (see remarks)
  • Flooring: Other flooring (see remarks)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Window units for cooling/heating
  • Interior features: Other interior features (see remarks); Window air conditioning units

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $94,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$170,208) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $623 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 4.4% in Jonesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#145 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Jonesboro School District (urban): math 28% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #169 of 238 in AR (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 295 active listings in the ZIP; 926 units permitted in Craighead County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Craighead County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $89,206 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.62%
Cap rate
14.18%
Cash-on-cash
28.15%
DSCR
2.25
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$170,208
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1020 W Jefferson Ave 0.30mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,526 (-3%) 1mo $62,000 $41 75
1110 Wilmar Cir 0.53mi 4/2.0 1,583 (+0%) 4mo $174,900 $110 67
1305 Holly St 0.62mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,618 (+3%) 1mo $164,900 $102 57
1107 W Washington Ave 0.25mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,428 (-9%) 8mo $238,000 $167 57
2009 Mount Vernon Dr 0.70mi 4/2.0 1,554 (-1%) 8mo $174,925 $113 54
720 W Matthews 0.58mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,670 (+6%) 5mo $188,500 $113 52
1703 W Oak Ave 0.40mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,696 (+8%) 11mo $115,000 $68 51
1000 W Huntington Ave 0.40mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,353 (-14%) 5mo $115,000 $85 45
1209 Hester 0.57mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,404 (-11%) 8mo $152,000 $108 39
820 W Oak Ave 0.57mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,376 (-13%) 10mo $115,078 $84 39
1208 Stonemill Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,688 (+7%) 9mo $191,900 $114 37
637 Warner 0.69mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,344 (-15%) 5mo $120,000 $89 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.64% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.0%
Equity multiple
1.95×
Total profit
$25,302
Equity at exit
$14,150
10-year hold
IRR
31.3%
Equity multiple
3.91×
Total profit
$77,216
Equity at exit
$8,205

Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72401

Home prices YoY
-34.2%
Rents YoY
3.6%
Active inventory
295
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,534 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$51 /mo · $616/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$322
Net cashflow
$623

Break-even live

Break-even rent $745
Max offer price $94,900
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,725
Closing costs
$2,847
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $94,900 Active 84 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $94,900 Active 83 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $94,900 Active 82 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $94,900 Active 81 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $94,900 Active 80 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $94,900 Active 78 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $94,900 Active 77 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $94,900 Active 75 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $94,900 Active 74 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,900 Active 73 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,900 Active 72 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $94,900 Active 69 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $94,900 Active 67 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $94,900 Active 66 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,900 Active 65 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $94,900 Active 64 DOM
  17. 2026-03-27
    listed $94,900 New Listing
    Show marketing remark (167 chars)

    Great opportunity for investors! Being sold as-is, this home is currently occupied with tenants renting month-to-month who hope to stay, renting at $700/month. No SPD.

  18. 2026-03-27
    listed $94,900 Active 167-char remark
    Show marketing remark (167 chars)

    Great opportunity for investors! Being sold as-is, this home is currently occupied with tenants renting month-to-month who hope to stay, renting at $700/month. No SPD.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$616 · $51/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$616 · $51/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,408
− Mortgage interest
−$5,316
− Property taxes
−$616
− Insurance
−$474
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,473
− Management
−$1,473
− Depreciation
−$2,761
Taxable income
$6,296
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,511
After-tax cash flow
$5,970/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jonesboro School District
NCES district ID
0508280
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$34,347
Composite
23.06/100
National rank
#7967
State rank
#169 of 238 in AR

Livability — Jonesboro

Score
65/100
State rank
#145
US rank
#12692

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jonesboro, AR
County
Craighead County · 97,185 people
City population
91,245
Metro
Jonesboro, AR
Population (ZIP)
42,602
Household income
$45,329
Rent vs Own
51.1% rent · 48.9% own
Severe rent burden
2606.0

Population outlook (Craighead County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,235 people
By 2030
131,338 · +7.4%
By 2040
149,862 · +22.6%
By 2050
168,034 · +37.5%
By 2075
208,094 · +70.2%
By 2100
233,251 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Craighead

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.1% · R 67.5% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-12.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -37.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.4 2020: R+35.4 2016: R+35.2 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+24.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.25%
Current HPI
208.2079
Rent YoY
▲ 3.64%
Metro
Jonesboro, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $94,900 NEABOR MLS
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $94,900 CARMLS

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $616 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…