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108 Horn Ave
B- Composite 68.56
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$40,000

108 Horn Ave · Lemay, MO 63125
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,739 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1895 10,123 sqft lot ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor special! Being sold as-is. Large 2 story home, with large lot. This is a fixer upper and being sold in it's present condition. Newer roof and siding. No utilities on.

Key facts

  • Newer roof
  • Large lot
  • Newer siding

Tags

LARGE LOTNEWER ROOFNEWER SIDING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: No other applicable amenities provided
  • Financial info: No additional financial details provided
  • HOA & community: No HOA details provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Security: No security details provided
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: City lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: No kitchen appliance details provided
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on upper level)
  • Flooring: No flooring details provided
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (one on main level, one on upper level)
  • Heating & cooling: Other heating; Other cooling
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Full unfinished basement; Two decorative fireplaces
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry details provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $973 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
  • Cap rate 35.5% vs local median 5.2% in Lemay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#213 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, crime F.
  • Hancock Place (suburban): math 30% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #251 of 324 in MO (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Hancock Place Elem. (math 34% / reading 34%, grade F, #739 of 1,115 statewide, top 67%, 616 students, 74% FRL); Hancock Sr. High (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #321 of 521 statewide, top 67%, 389 students, 91% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 57% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 148 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $40,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.95%
Cap rate
35.49%
Cash-on-cash
104.27%
DSCR
5.64
GRM
2.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$205,202
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
108 Horn Ave 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,739 (0%) 1mo $40,000 $23 98
437 Hoffmeister Ave 0.38mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,735 (-0%) 6mo $245,000 $141 70
312 Waller Ave 0.31mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,700 (-2%) 9mo $199,999 $118 68
329 Goetz Ave 0.29mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,497 (-14%) 2mo $35,000 $23 54
212 Espenschied St 0.54mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,562 (-10%) 5mo $119,900 $77 49
9533 Gentry Ave 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,491 (-14%) 2mo $165,000 $111 46
720 Erskine Ave 0.40mi 1/1.0 (-1) 1,504 (-14%) 8mo $49,900 $33 45
631 Waller Ave 0.47mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,514 (-13%) 11mo $179,900 $119 42
614 Horn Ave 0.40mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,488 (-14%) 10mo $200,000 $134 40
600 Horn Ave 0.36mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,480 (-15%) 14mo $239,900 $162 40
522 Hurck St 0.71mi 2/1.0 1,916 (+10%) 13mo $179,000 $93 38
416 W Holden Ave 0.72mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,664 (-4%) 17mo $232,500 $140 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
5.96×
Total profit
$55,523
Equity at exit
$5,964
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
12.45×
Total profit
$128,255
Equity at exit
$3,458

Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63125

Active inventory
148
Price-to-rent
2.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,582 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$210
Tax est. 1.5%
$50 /mo · $600/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$332
Net cashflow
$973

Break-even live

Break-even rent $350
Max offer price $40,000
Occupancy floor 33%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,001 -5% $987 +0% $973 +5% $959 +10% $946
Rent -10% $848 -5% $911 +0% $973 +5% $1,036 +10% $1,098
Rate -1.0pp $993 -0.5pp $983 base $973 +0.5pp $963 +1.0pp $952

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,000
Closing costs
$1,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
229 Horn Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.5 1301 $1,871 $1.44 2d 1 0.14mi
304 Bayless Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1104 $1,950 $1.77 2d 1 0.21mi
336 Lagro Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1340 $1,250 $0.93 44d 1 0.24mi
349 Lagro Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1184 $1,500 $1.27 44d 1 0.28mi
8215 Pennsylvania Ave Saint Louis, MO 1.0 2.0 1252 $1,650 $1.32 18d 1 0.70mi
9809 S Broadway Saint Louis, MO 1.0 1.0 1288 $1,450 $1.13 45d 1 0.72mi
7924 Michigan Ave Unit 2F St. Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,195 $0.96 4d 1 0.88mi
9954 Meadow Ave Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,050 $0.95 5d 1 1.04mi
9963 Meadow Ave Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 1628 $1,701 $1.04 44d 1 1.08mi
7417 Vermont Ave Unit 103 St. Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1069 $1,500 $1.40 15d 1 1.25mi
7417 Vermont Ave St. Louis, MO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1144 $1,600 $1.40 2d 8 1.25mi
3945 Crosby Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $2,083 $1.89 2d 1 1.35mi
7024 Pennsylvania Ave Unit F St. Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1081 $930 $0.86 17d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-05-21
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-21
    listed $40,000 Active
  3. 2025-06-10
    listed $80,000 Active
  4. 2025-05-16
    price $80,000
  5. 2025-04-16
    price $85,000
  6. 2025-02-17
    price $100,000
  7. 2024-12-09
    price $110,000
  8. 2024-12-05
    listed $125,000 Active
  9. 2023-09-22
    historical
  10. 2023-09-15
    price $65,000
  11. 2023-09-04
    price $75,000
  12. 2023-08-22
    status Active
  13. 2023-08-04
    status Pending
  14. 2023-07-20
    price $80,000
  15. 2023-06-29
    price $85,000
  16. 2023-05-31
    price $90,000
  17. 2023-05-18
    listed $95,000 Active
  18. 2023-04-26
    historical
  19. 2023-04-04
    price $95,000
  20. 2022-11-18
    listed $100,000 Active
  21. 1997-06-20
    soldstatus $45,000
  22. 1994-10-24
    soldstatus
  23. 1994-10-24
    soldstatus
  24. 1994-10-24
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,981
− Mortgage interest
−$2,241
− Property taxes
−$600
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,518
− Management
−$1,518
− Depreciation
−$1,164
Taxable income
$11,740
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,818
After-tax cash flow
$8,860/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hancock Place
NCES district ID
2913620
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$41,890
Composite
27.08/100
National rank
#7048
State rank
#251 of 324 in MO

Livability — Lemay

Score
67/100
State rank
#213
US rank
#10652

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lemay, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
City population
33,294
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
33,294
Household income
$61,624
Rent vs Own
27.8% rent · 72.2% own
Severe rent burden
631.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
American 9% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
83% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 11% Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -173.27%
Current HPI
234.3792
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.1% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $40,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-10 Listed $80,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-16 Price Changed $80,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-16 Price Changed $85,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-17 Price Changed $100,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-09 Price Changed $110,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-05 Listed $125,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-09-22 Delisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-09-15 Price Changed $65,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-09-04 Price Changed $75,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-08-22 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-08-04 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-07-20 Price Changed $80,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-29 Price Changed $85,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-31 Price Changed $90,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-18 Listed $95,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-04-26 Delisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-04-04 Price Changed $95,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-11-18 Listed $100,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1997-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 1994-10-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1994-10-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1994-10-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2022): $2,035 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…