303 Louise Ave · Morristown, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious 5-bedroom, 2-bath home offering approximately 2000 square feet with tons of potential in a convenient central Morristown location. Situated on a large lot with a huge driveway providing plenty of parking for multiple vehicles, RVs, boats, or work trucks. The property also features a large detached garage/workshop, covered patio area, and a spacious side yard with room to enjoy or customize to your needs. The home is livable as-is and offers a great opportunity for a buyer to add their own finishing touches and updates over time. With the generous floor plan, oversized parking area, and large lot, this property has endless possibilities for an owner-occupant or investment opportunit
Key facts
- Large lot
- Huge driveway
- Spacious side yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: Wood Bros Add; Directions: Off S. Cumberland St
- HOA & community: Landscaping association amenity
Exterior
- Parking: Garage (1 space); Carport (1 space); Driveway; Concrete parking surfaces
- Security: Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detector(s); See remarks
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer / Sewer available and connected; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single family house; Two levels; Level topography; Residential zoning
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Home warranty included
- Exterior features: Patio; Back yard fencing; Shed, storage, and workshop structures; Other exterior features
Interior
- Kitchen: Other appliances
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Soaking tub; Other interior features; Living room fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $239k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $571 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $239k).
- Recommended offer: $232k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 2.9% in Morristown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#175 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Hamblen County (urban): math 31% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #57 of 139 in TN (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hillcrest Elementary (math 21% / reading 15%, grade F, #697 of 952 statewide, top 74%, 604 students, 0% FRL); Meadowview Middle School (math 28% / reading 16%, grade F, #176 of 333 statewide, top 55%, 627 students, 0% FRL); Morristown East High (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #129 of 332 statewide, top 43%, 1,572 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 54% district-wide (54 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 298 units permitted in Hamblen County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($232k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $239k implies a 298% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.24%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $287,696
- List price
- $239,000
- Delta
- -16.93%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 225 W Louise Ave | 0.01mi | 5/2.0 | 2,394 (+7%) | 12mo | $155,000 | $65 | 74 |
| 816 W 2nd North St | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,350 (+5%) | 1mo | $358,000 | $152 | 50 |
| 1423 E East Jackson Cir | 0.60mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 2,050 (-8%) | 11mo | $305,000 | $149 | 38 |
| 1433 Hickory Ln | 0.63mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,337 (+4%) | 22mo | $285,000 | $122 | 38 |
| 826 W 2nd North St | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 2,482 (+11%) | 20mo | $432,000 | $174 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-2,461
- Equity at exit
- $35,636
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $44,231
- Equity at exit
- $20,664
Cash invested: $66,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37813
- Home prices YoY
- -12.9%
- Active inventory
- 146
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,495 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,253
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $562/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$524
- Net cashflow
- $571
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,750
- Closing costs
- $7,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 510 W 3rd North St Morristown, TN | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2942 | $2,495 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $239,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $239,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $239,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $239,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $239,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $239,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $239,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $239,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $239,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $239,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $239,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $239,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $239,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $239,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $239,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-13$239,000 Active 787-char remark
-
1999-09-30soldstatus $60,000
-
1997-03-28soldstatus $65,000
-
1994-05-11soldstatus $51,680
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $562 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,697 · $141/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,135/yr (+$95/mo · 201.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,940
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,388
- − Property taxes
- −$562
- − Insurance
- −$1,195
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,395
- − Management
- −$2,395
- − Depreciation
- −$6,953
- Taxable income
- $3,052
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$732
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,123/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hamblen County
- NCES district ID
- 4700001
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,361
- Composite
- 25.61/100
- National rank
- #7412
- State rank
- #57 of 139 in TN
Livability — Morristown
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #175
- US rank
- #14625
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Morristown, TN
- City population
- 35,239
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,479
Population outlook (Hamblen County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 65,185 people
- By 2030
- 65,707 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 66,189 · +1.5%
- By 2050
- 65,798 · +0.9%
- By 2075
- 62,642 · -3.9%
- By 2100
- 55,702 · -14.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 10% Black 2% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamblen
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.9) · D 20.1% · R 79.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: -38.4pp · 2024: -58.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.9 2020: R+54.0 2016: R+57.2 2012: R+46.4 2008: R+38.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.81%
- Current HPI
- 302.4655
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+362.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $239,000 TVRMLS
- 1999-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 1997-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 1994-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $51,680 Public Records
Property tax history
-6.5%/yrLatest (2025): $562 · -51.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…