927 E 148th St · Dolton, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$220,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This beautifully renovated brick split-level home, located on a private cul-de-sac, offers modern living at its finest. The spacious eat-in kitchen features custom white shaker cabinets, a central island, high-end stainless steel appliances, and quartz countertops. The open-concept layout seamlessly connects the kitchen, dining, and living areas, perfect for entertaining or family time. Enjoy the convenience of an expansive, fenced-in backyard that includes a new concrete driveway and a custom-built 2-car garage. Modern upgrades in the last 3 years include new plumbing, electrical work with can lighting, and a central air conditioning system. This home is a must-see! Conveniently located ne
Key facts
- Central island
- Quartz countertops
- Private cul-de-sac
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 2 garage spaces; Concrete driveway; Garage door opener; Owned garage
- Utilities: Water source: Lake Michigan; Public sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Tri-level / split-level design; Fee simple ownership; Rehab completed in 2021; Estimated living area; Built before 1978
- Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Age approximately 51–60 years
- Exterior features: Patio; Fenced lot; Wooded lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Eating area/table space and island; Custom cabinetry; Stainless steel appliances
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on second level (13 x 10) with full bath; Second bedroom on second level (13 x 9) with hardwood flooring; Third bedroom on lower level (13 x 13) with carpet
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring in kitchen, living room, dining room, and primary/second bedrooms; Carpet in lower-level bedroom; Other flooring in laundry
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (including a full bath in the primary bedroom); Basement bathroom present
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Finished basement with exterior entry and walk-out access; Unfinished attic; Kitchen/dining combo
- Laundry & utility: Lower-level laundry room (9 x 11)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $261 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $220k).
- Recommended offer: $200k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#263 in IL, #4,883 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,255/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 919% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($200k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 13 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.09%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $130,683
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14647 Irving Ave | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 889 (0%) | 2mo | $138,000 | $155 | 75 |
| 14840 Langley Ave | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 936 (+5%) | 2mo | $37,000 | $40 | 62 |
| 14835 Evans Ave | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 975 (+10%) | 6mo | $139,900 | $143 | 56 |
| 14819 Irving Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 980 (+10%) | 4mo | $130,000 | $133 | 54 |
| 14534 Woodlawn Ave | 0.42mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 963 (+8%) | 5mo | $170,000 | $177 | 51 |
| 14915 Irving Ave | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 980 (+10%) | 4mo | $68,000 | $69 | 48 |
| 14731 Kimbark Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,017 (+14%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $113 | 47 |
| 14642 Dorchester Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,013 (+14%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $168 | 44 |
| 14728 Kenwood Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,017 (+14%) | 5mo | $156,000 | $153 | 43 |
| 14622 Kenwood Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,017 (+14%) | 5mo | $110,000 | $108 | 42 |
| 14738 Blackstone Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,017 (+14%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $147 | 38 |
| 14610 Blackstone Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,017 (+14%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $147 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-7,045
- Equity at exit
- $32,803
- IRR
- 11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $69,695
- Equity at exit
- $19,022
Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60419
- Home prices YoY
- -25.7%
- Rents YoY
- 9.7%
- Active inventory
- 130
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,255 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,154
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$275 /mo · $3,300/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$474
- Net cashflow
- $261
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,000
- Closing costs
- $6,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14817 Champlain Ave Dolton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $2,430 | $2.48 | 22d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 14500 Cottage Grove Ave Unit 3 Dolton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,475 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 14738 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $2,400 | $2.36 | 10d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 14610 Blackstone Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1017 | $2,400 | $2.36 | 6d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 14305 Irving Ave Unit 2 Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 15238 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit 2W Dolton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,500 | $1.88 | 10d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 405 Clyde Ave Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 973 | $2,300 | $2.36 | 1d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1860 State St Calumet City, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 17d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 13841 Forest Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,895 | $2.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $220,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-17pricedays on market $220,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $240,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $240,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $240,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $240,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $240,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $240,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $240,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $240,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 177 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $240,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 176 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $240,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 175 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $240,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 174 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $240,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 173 DOM
-
2026-03-25historical Contingent - Continue to Show
-
2026-02-26price $240,000
-
2025-12-09$245,000 Active
-
2025-04-16historical
-
2025-03-04Active
-
2025-02-13historical
-
2024-10-29price
-
2024-09-30price
-
2024-09-17price
-
2024-09-05Active
-
2022-03-08soldstatus $210,000
-
2022-02-28soldstatus $210,000 Closed
-
2022-02-15historical Contingent - No Showings
-
2022-01-16status Active Under Contract (Do Not Show)
-
2022-01-14$199,999 Active
-
2021-12-07status Active Under Contract
-
2021-12-06historical
-
2021-11-23price
-
2021-11-09price
-
2021-10-27status Active
-
2021-10-25status Active Under Contract
-
2021-10-13price
-
2021-09-29Active
-
2021-08-09soldstatus $75,000 Closed
-
2021-07-28soldstatus $75,000
-
2021-07-14status Active Under Contract
-
2021-05-21status Contingent
-
2021-05-03$85,000 New
-
2020-12-31historical
-
2020-12-04price
-
2020-12-03status Reactivated
-
2020-11-09status Contingent
-
2020-11-03price
-
2020-09-04price
-
2020-08-06New
-
2019-03-18historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,065
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,323
- − Property taxes
- −$3,300
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,165
- − Management
- −$2,165
- − Depreciation
- −$6,400
- Taxable loss
- −$388
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$93
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,230/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Dolton
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #263
- US rank
- #4883
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dolton, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 20,825
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,825
- Household income
- $57,887
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 919.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% White 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.88%
- Current HPI
- 193.2346
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.65%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+92.0% since first listed47 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $240,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-09 Listed $245,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-16 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-04 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-13 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-29 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-30 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-17 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-05 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-08 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records
- 2022-02-28 Sold (MLS) $210,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-15 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-01-16 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-01-14 Listed $199,999 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-07 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-12-06 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-23 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-09 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-27 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-25 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-13 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-09-29 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-09 Sold (MLS) $75,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2021-07-14 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-21 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-05-03 Listed $85,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-12-31 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-12-04 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-12-03 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-11-09 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-11-03 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-09-04 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-08-06 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-03-18 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-11-12 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-11-10 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-08-15 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-08-01 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-07-18 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-01-19 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
- 2008-06-18 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-04-08 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-03-11 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-10-01 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.2%/yrLatest (2023): $11,284 · +37.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…