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13065 Carolina St 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 29.06
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Cash flow +3.9/30.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.6/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$323,413

13065 Carolina St · Crown Point, IN 46307
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,607 sqft · Townhouse · 71 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition 3,415 sqft lot 2-car garage $138/mo HOA · 6% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The Wren is a 2-story townhome floor plan with 3 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms. Welcome home to 1591 sf of living space, an open concept main floor featuring a great room, dining area, kitchen including an island and walk-in pantry, and a powder bath. Walk outdoors to a spacious private courtyard with patio and 2-car garage. Upstairs you will find a private owner's suite, 2 large bedrooms, a hall bath and 2nd floor laundry. We take pride in our high-performance energy efficient homes with a 10-year structural warranty, 4-year workmanship on the roof, windows that are Low E and Argon Gas with Energy Star North Central (NC) Rating and includes our Industry-Best Customer Care Program!

Key facts

  • Great room
  • Private courtyard
  • Walk-in pantry

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT MAIN FLOORGREAT ROOMWALK-IN PANTRYPRIVATE COURTYARDENERGY EFFICIENT HOMES10-YEAR STRUCTURAL WARRANTY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $323,413 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $413,551.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $323k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-14k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $245k (24.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $231k (28.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $231k (28.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 2.9% vs local median 3.7% in Crown Point — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#45 in IN, #3,244 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • Crown Point Community School Corporation (suburban): math 51% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #23 of 301 in IN (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Dwight D Eisenhower Elem School (math 72% / reading 65%, grade B+, #47 of 994 statewide, top 5%, 644 students, 20% FRL); Robert Taft Middle School (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D+, #65 of 330 statewide, top 21%, 1,091 students, 23% FRL); Crown Point High School (math 51% / reading 80%, grade B, #29 of 369 statewide, top 8%, 2,948 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools at 22% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 984 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($304k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $231,430 (28.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.56%
Cap rate
2.90%
Cash-on-cash
-12.10%
DSCR
0.46
GRM
14.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$413,551
List price
$323,413
Delta
-21.80%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13091 Carolina St 0.00mi 3/2.5 1,601 (-0%) 3mo $304,706 $190 97
13115 Carolina St 0.00mi 3/2.5 1,605 (-0%) 5mo $299,831 $187 96
13131 Carolina St 0.00mi 3/2.5 1,606 (-0%) 10mo $310,543 $193 92
13089 Carolina St 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,454 (-10%) 3mo $289,997 $199 79
13121 Carolina St 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,454 (-10%) 8mo $286,872 $197 75
13147 Carolina St 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,468 (-9%) 10mo $294,210 $200 75
13117 Carolina St 0.00mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,433 (-11%) 2mo $279,847 $195 71
13149 Carolina St 0.00mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,383 (-14%) 10mo $279,065 $202 59
13143 Carolina St 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,454 (-10%) 12mo $293,265 $202 51
13083 Carolina St 0.38mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,383 (-14%) 0mo $281,485 $204 50
13087 Carolina St 0.40mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,383 (-14%) 0mo $280,835 $203 49
13101 Carolina St 0.38mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,383 (-14%) 3mo $280,847 $203 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.53% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-39.1%
Equity multiple
-0.23×
Total profit
$-142,352
Equity at exit
$61,662
10-year hold
IRR
-63.9%
Equity multiple
-0.93×
Total profit
$-223,661
Equity at exit
$35,756

Cash invested: $115,794 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.
Balanced market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
4 active · 3 under contract
Months of supply
3.4 mo (29%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$294,834 ($205/sqft)
Median days on market
74 d
This list price
100% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+25.6% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 46307

Rents YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
984
Price-to-rent
11.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,314 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,169
Tax est. 1.5%
$517 /mo · $6,203/yr
Insurance
$172
HOA
$138
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$486
Net cashflow
$-1,168

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,792
Max offer price $244,589
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-882 -5% $-1,025 +0% $-1,168 +5% $-1,311 +10% $-1,453
Rent -10% $-1,350 -5% $-1,259 +0% $-1,168 +5% $-1,076 +10% $-985
Rate -1.0pp $-959 -0.5pp $-1,062 base $-1,168 +0.5pp $-1,275 +1.0pp $-1,384

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$103,388
Closing costs
$12,407
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
484 E 127th Ave Crown Point, IN 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1544 $3,363 $2.18 0d 9 0.17mi

Property features AI

Finance

HOA & community
Homeowners association with monthly fee of $138.50HOA services include landscaping, snow removal, and a playgroundAssociation managed by 1st American Property Management

Exterior

Parking
Detached 2-car garage
Utilities
Public waterSewer: unknown
Home design
Two-story attached propertyNew construction (2026)Under construction
Construction
Built in 2026
Exterior features
Neighborhood viewLot information provided by builder

Interior

Kitchen
Gas rangeMicrowaveRefrigeratorDishwasherGarbage disposal
Bedrooms
Primary bedroomSecond bedroomThird bedroomUpper-level laundry
Flooring
Carpet
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
Heating & cooling
Central heatingCentral air conditioning
Interior features
Kitchen island6 total rooms (great room, dining room, kitchen, primary bedroom, bedroom 2, bedroom 3)
Laundry & utility
Washer and dryer includedLaundry on upper level

HOA detail $138/mo · $1,656/yr

Likely covers
gas

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $323,413 Active 71 DOM
  2. 2026-08-06
    days on market $323,413 Active 69 DOM
  3. 2026-08-05
    days on market $323,413 Active 68 DOM
  4. 2026-08-04
    days on market $323,413 Active 67 DOM
  5. 2026-08-03
    days on market $323,413 Active 66 DOM
  6. 2026-07-31
    days on market $323,413 Active 63 DOM
  7. 2026-07-30
    days on market $323,413 Active 61 DOM
  8. 2026-07-28
    days on market $323,413 Active 60 DOM
  9. 2026-07-26
    days on market $323,413 Active 58 DOM
  10. 2026-07-24
    days on market $323,413 Active 56 DOM
  11. 2026-07-23
    days on market $323,413 Active 55 DOM
  12. 2026-07-22
    days on market $323,413 Active 54 DOM
  13. 2026-07-21
    days on market $323,413 Active 53 DOM
  14. 2026-07-20
    days on market $323,413 Active 52 DOM
  15. 2026-07-18
    days on market $323,413 Active 50 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $323,413 Active 49 DOM
  17. 2026-07-16
    days on market $323,413 Active 48 DOM
  18. 2026-07-15
    days on market $323,413 Active 47 DOM
  19. 2026-07-14
    days on market $323,413 Active 46 DOM
  20. 2026-07-13
    days on market $323,413 Active 45 DOM
  21. 2026-07-13
    days on market $323,413 Active 44 DOM
  22. 2026-07-11
    days on market $323,413 Active 43 DOM
  23. 2026-07-10
    days on market $323,413 Active 42 DOM
  24. 2026-07-09
    days on market $323,413 Active 41 DOM
  25. 2026-07-07
    days on market $323,413 Active 39 DOM
  26. 2026-07-06
    days on market $323,413 Active 38 DOM
  27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $323,413 Active 37 DOM
  28. 2026-07-05
    days on market $323,413 Active 36 DOM
  29. 2026-07-03
    days on market $323,413 Active 35 DOM
  30. 2026-07-02
    days on market $323,413 Active 34 DOM
  31. 2026-07-01
    days on market $323,413 Active 33 DOM
  32. 2026-06-30
    days on market $323,413 Active 32 DOM
  33. 2026-06-29
    days on market $323,413 Active 31 DOM
  34. 2026-06-28
    days on market $323,413 Active 30 DOM
  35. 2026-06-27
    days on market $323,413 Active 29 DOM
  36. 2026-06-26
    days on market $323,413 Active 28 DOM
  37. 2026-06-24
    days on market $323,413 Active 26 DOM
  38. 2026-06-22
    days on market $323,413 Active 24 DOM
  39. 2026-06-21
    days on market $323,413 Active 23 DOM
  40. 2026-06-18
    days on market $323,413 Active 20 DOM
  41. 2026-06-17
    days on market $323,413 Active 19 DOM
  42. 2026-06-16
    days on market $323,413 Active 18 DOM
  43. 2026-06-15
    days on market $323,413 Active 17 DOM
  44. 2026-06-13
    days on market $323,413 Active 15 DOM
  45. 2026-06-13
    days on market $323,413 Active 14 DOM
  46. 2026-06-09
    days on market $323,413 Active 11 DOM
  47. 2026-06-08
    days on market $323,413 Active 10 DOM
  48. 2026-06-07
    days on market $323,413 Active 9 DOM
  49. 2026-06-04
    days on market $323,413 Active 6 DOM
  50. 2026-06-03
    days on market $323,413 Active 5 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,772
− Mortgage interest
−$23,165
− Property taxes
−$6,203
− Insurance
−$2,068
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,222
− Management
−$2,222
− HOA
−$1,656
− Depreciation
−$12,031
Taxable loss
−$21,795
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,231
After-tax cash flow
$-8,781/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $8,035–$24,105 screening

This 2-story townhome is in excellent condition with a modern kitchen, spacious living areas, and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a good return on investment with minimal updates needed to enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping the courtyard — A well-maintained courtyard can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can improve convenience and attract tech-savvy buyers/renters.
  • Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern, high-end appliances can significantly boost the home's appeal and value.
  • Both Adding a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and comfort, attracting eco-conscious buyers/renters.

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

C Composite school gradezoned avg 60/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Dwight D Eisenhower Elem School B+ IN #47/994 Nat'l #4,125/41,679 Middle Robert Taft Middle School D+ IN #65/330 Nat'l #4,159/14,009 High Crown Point High School B IN #29/369 Nat'l #2,744/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Crown Point Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1802490
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$69,148
Composite
49.55/100
National rank
#1990
State rank
#23 of 301 in IN
B Composite livability gradescore 77/100

Livability — Crown Point

Score
77/100
State rank
#45
US rank
#3244

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Crown Point, IN
County
Lake County · 484,026 people
City population
71,673
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
71,673
Household income
$107,800
Rent vs Own
12.0% rent · 88.0% own
Severe rent burden
7% of renters

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% Black 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+0.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $323,413 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $323,413 Zillow
  • 2026-03-29 Listed $320,913 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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