🏗️ New Construction
13065 Carolina St · Crown Point, IN
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Cash flow +3.9/30.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- 1% rule +0.6/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$323,413
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The Wren is a 2-story townhome floor plan with 3 bedrooms and 2.5 bathrooms. Welcome home to 1591 sf of living space, an open concept main floor featuring a great room, dining area, kitchen including an island and walk-in pantry, and a powder bath. Walk outdoors to a spacious private courtyard with patio and 2-car garage. Upstairs you will find a private owner's suite, 2 large bedrooms, a hall bath and 2nd floor laundry. We take pride in our high-performance energy efficient homes with a 10-year structural warranty, 4-year workmanship on the roof, windows that are Low E and Argon Gas with Energy Star North Central (NC) Rating and includes our Industry-Best Customer Care Program!
Key facts
- Great room
- Private courtyard
- Walk-in pantry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $323k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-14k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $245k (24.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $231k (28.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $231k (28.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 2.9% vs local median 3.7% in Crown Point — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#45 in IN, #3,244 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Crown Point Community School Corporation (suburban): math 51% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #23 of 301 in IN (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Dwight D Eisenhower Elem School (math 72% / reading 65%, grade B+, #47 of 994 statewide, top 5%, 644 students, 20% FRL); Robert Taft Middle School (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D+, #65 of 330 statewide, top 21%, 1,091 students, 23% FRL); Crown Point High School (math 51% / reading 80%, grade B, #29 of 369 statewide, top 8%, 2,948 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools at 22% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 984 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($304k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.56% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- -12.10%
- DSCR
- 0.46
- GRM
- 14.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $413,551
- List price
- $323,413
- Delta
- -21.80%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13091 Carolina St | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,601 (-0%) | 3mo | $304,706 | $190 | 97 |
| 13115 Carolina St | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,605 (-0%) | 5mo | $299,831 | $187 | 96 |
| 13131 Carolina St | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,606 (-0%) | 10mo | $310,543 | $193 | 92 |
| 13089 Carolina St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,454 (-10%) | 3mo | $289,997 | $199 | 79 |
| 13121 Carolina St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,454 (-10%) | 8mo | $286,872 | $197 | 75 |
| 13147 Carolina St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,468 (-9%) | 10mo | $294,210 | $200 | 75 |
| 13117 Carolina St | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,433 (-11%) | 2mo | $279,847 | $195 | 71 |
| 13149 Carolina St | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,383 (-14%) | 10mo | $279,065 | $202 | 59 |
| 13143 Carolina St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,454 (-10%) | 12mo | $293,265 | $202 | 51 |
| 13083 Carolina St | 0.38mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,383 (-14%) | 0mo | $281,485 | $204 | 50 |
| 13087 Carolina St | 0.40mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,383 (-14%) | 0mo | $280,835 | $203 | 49 |
| 13101 Carolina St | 0.38mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,383 (-14%) | 3mo | $280,847 | $203 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.53% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -39.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.23×
- Total profit
- $-142,352
- Equity at exit
- $61,662
- IRR
- -63.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.93×
- Total profit
- $-223,661
- Equity at exit
- $35,756
Cash invested: $115,794 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 4 active · 3 under contract
- Months of supply
- 3.4 mo (29%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $294,834 ($205/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 74 d
- This list price
- 100% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +25.6% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 46307
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 984
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,314 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,169
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$517 /mo · $6,203/yr
- Insurance
- −$172
- HOA
- −$138
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$486
- Net cashflow
- $-1,168
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-882 | -5% $-1,025 | +0% $-1,168 | +5% $-1,311 | +10% $-1,453 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,350 | -5% $-1,259 | +0% $-1,168 | +5% $-1,076 | +10% $-985 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-959 | -0.5pp $-1,062 | base $-1,168 | +0.5pp $-1,275 | +1.0pp $-1,384 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $103,388
- Closing costs
- $12,407
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 484 E 127th Ave Crown Point, IN | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1544 | $3,363 | $2.18 | 0d | 9 | 0.17mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Homeowners association with monthly fee of $138.50HOA services include landscaping, snow removal, and a playgroundAssociation managed by 1st American Property Management
Exterior
- Parking
- Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities
- Public waterSewer: unknown
- Home design
- Two-story attached propertyNew construction (2026)Under construction
- Construction
- Built in 2026
- Exterior features
- Neighborhood viewLot information provided by builder
Interior
- Kitchen
- Gas rangeMicrowaveRefrigeratorDishwasherGarbage disposal
- Bedrooms
- Primary bedroomSecond bedroomThird bedroomUpper-level laundry
- Flooring
- Carpet
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Kitchen island6 total rooms (great room, dining room, kitchen, primary bedroom, bedroom 2, bedroom 3)
- Laundry & utility
- Washer and dryer includedLaundry on upper level
HOA detail $138/mo · $1,656/yr
- Likely covers
- gas
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $323,413 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $323,413 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $323,413 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $323,413 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $323,413 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $323,413 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $323,413 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $323,413 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $323,413 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $323,413 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $323,413 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $323,413 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $323,413 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $323,413 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $323,413 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $323,413 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $323,413 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $323,413 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $323,413 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $323,413 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $323,413 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $323,413 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $323,413 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $323,413 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $323,413 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $323,413 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $323,413 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $323,413 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $323,413 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $323,413 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $323,413 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $323,413 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $323,413 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $323,413 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $323,413 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $323,413 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $323,413 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $323,413 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $323,413 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $323,413 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $323,413 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $323,413 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $323,413 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $323,413 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $323,413 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $323,413 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $323,413 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $323,413 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $323,413 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $323,413 Active 5 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,772
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,165
- − Property taxes
- −$6,203
- − Insurance
- −$2,068
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,222
- − Management
- −$2,222
- − HOA
- −$1,656
- − Depreciation
- −$12,031
- Taxable loss
- −$21,795
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,231
- After-tax cash flow
- $-8,781/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This 2-story townhome is in excellent condition with a modern kitchen, spacious living areas, and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a good return on investment with minimal updates needed to enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping the courtyard — A well-maintained courtyard can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can improve convenience and attract tech-savvy buyers/renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern, high-end appliances can significantly boost the home's appeal and value. ↑
- Both Adding a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and comfort, attracting eco-conscious buyers/renters. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Crown Point Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1802490
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,148
- Composite
- 49.55/100
- National rank
- #1990
- State rank
- #23 of 301 in IN
Livability — Crown Point
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #45
- US rank
- #3244
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Crown Point, IN
- County
- Lake County · 484,026 people
- City population
- 71,673
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 71,673
- Household income
- $107,800
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7% of renters
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% Black 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -164.91%
- Current HPI
- 226.0335
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.53%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
+0.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $323,413 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $323,413 Zillow
- 2026-03-29 Listed $320,913 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…