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97 Eller Ave
A- Composite 83.19
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$119,900

97 Eller Ave · Buffalo, NY 14211
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,505 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 146 Days on market
Built 1915 3,300 sqft lot $80/sqft · 20% below area Est $149k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 97 Eller Avenue in the City of Buffalo—a solid single-family home offering a great opportunity for both owner-occupants and investors alike. This property features 4 spacious bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, providing comfortable living space with a full basement for additional storage or utility use. Currently rented at $1,380 per month to long-term tenants, the home offers immediate income potential. The property boasts solid mechanics and has been well maintained over time. Conveniently located near public transportation, shopping, dining, and everyday amenities, making it an attractive and accessible location. Whether you’re looking to expand your investment portfolio or secure a home with built-in rental income, 97 Eller Avenue is a value-add opportunity you don’t want to miss. Seller will provide the existing survey with an affidavit of no change and a 40-year search on the note.

Key facts

  • Everyday amenities
  • Full basement
  • Shopping

Tags

FULL BASEMENTWELL MAINTAINEDPUBLIC TRANSPORTATIONSHOPPINGDININGEVERYDAY AMENITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $645 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 172 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,865/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 1804% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 146 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $105,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 146 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.56%
Cap rate
12.75%
Cash-on-cash
23.05%
DSCR
2.03
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$149,043
List price
$119,900
Delta
-19.55%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
203 Sprenger Ave 0.17mi 5/1.5 1,454 (-3%) 3mo $176,000 $121 82
43 Freund St 0.17mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,578 (+5%) 10mo $149,000 $94 71
102 Freund St 0.28mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,596 (+6%) 3mo $155,000 $97 66
27 Adlon Pl 0.28mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,584 (+5%) 5mo $265,958 $168 65
25 Peach Tree Rd 0.43mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,502 (-0%) 7mo $162,000 $108 65
144 Alexander Ave 0.54mi 5/1.5 1,416 (-6%) 0mo $201,400 $142 63
17 Fisher St 0.13mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,286 (-15%) 6mo $138,500 $108 55
8 Pendennis Pl 0.64mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,502 (-0%) 10mo $270,000 $180 54
118 E End Ave 0.38mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,394 (-7%) 11mo $210,000 $151 52
46 Wilkes Ave 0.58mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,359 (-10%) 7mo $160,000 $118 44
158 Wende St 0.74mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,340 (-11%) 0mo $70,000 $52 42
239 Keystone St 0.75mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,632 (+8%) 10mo $250,000 $153 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.4%
Equity multiple
2.48×
Total profit
$49,627
Equity at exit
$47,611
10-year hold
IRR
28.9%
Equity multiple
4.78×
Total profit
$126,818
Equity at exit
$68,806

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14211

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
172
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,865 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax est. 1.5%
$150 /mo · $1,798/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$392
Net cashflow
$645

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,049
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
979 Walden Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 3.0 1793 $2,000 $1.12 2d 1 0.65mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 146 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 145 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 144 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 143 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,900 Active 141 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,900 Active 140 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $119,900 Active 138 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 137 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 136 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $119,900 Active 135 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $128,900 Active 131 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $128,900 Active 130 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $128,900 Active 129 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $128,900 Active 128 DOM
  15. 2026-04-16
    price $128,900 924-char remark
    Show marketing remark (924 chars)

    Welcome to 97 Eller Avenue in the City of Buffalo—a solid single-family home offering a great opportunity for both owner-occupants and investors alike. This property features 4 spacious bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, providing comfortable living space with a full basement for additional storage or utility use. Currently rented at $1,380 per month to long-term tenants, the home offers immediate income potential. The property boasts solid mechanics and has been well maintained over time. Conveniently located near public transportation, shopping, dining, and everyday amenities, making it an attractive and accessible location. Whether you’re looking to expand your investment portfolio or secure a home with built-in rental income, 97 Eller Avenue is a value-add opportunity you don’t want to miss. Seller will provide the existing survey with an affidavit of no change and a 40-year search on the note.

  16. 2026-02-21
    price $129,400 924-char remark
    Show marketing remark (924 chars)

    Welcome to 97 Eller Avenue in the City of Buffalo—a solid single-family home offering a great opportunity for both owner-occupants and investors alike. This property features 4 spacious bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, providing comfortable living space with a full basement for additional storage or utility use. Currently rented at $1,380 per month to long-term tenants, the home offers immediate income potential. The property boasts solid mechanics and has been well maintained over time. Conveniently located near public transportation, shopping, dining, and everyday amenities, making it an attractive and accessible location. Whether you’re looking to expand your investment portfolio or secure a home with built-in rental income, 97 Eller Avenue is a value-add opportunity you don’t want to miss. Seller will provide the existing survey with an affidavit of no change and a 40-year search on the note.

  17. 2026-01-23
    listed $129,900 Active 924-char remark
    Show marketing remark (924 chars)

    Welcome to 97 Eller Avenue in the City of Buffalo—a solid single-family home offering a great opportunity for both owner-occupants and investors alike. This property features 4 spacious bedrooms and 1 full bathroom, providing comfortable living space with a full basement for additional storage or utility use. Currently rented at $1,380 per month to long-term tenants, the home offers immediate income potential. The property boasts solid mechanics and has been well maintained over time. Conveniently located near public transportation, shopping, dining, and everyday amenities, making it an attractive and accessible location. Whether you’re looking to expand your investment portfolio or secure a home with built-in rental income, 97 Eller Avenue is a value-add opportunity you don’t want to miss. Seller will provide the existing survey with an affidavit of no change and a 40-year search on the note.

  18. 2021-03-01
    soldstatus $830,000
  19. 2000-09-18
    soldstatus $33,000
  20. 1998-11-10
    soldstatus $32,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,383
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$1,798
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,791
− Management
−$1,791
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$6,200
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,488
After-tax cash flow
$6,252/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
24,663
Household income
$36,300
Rent vs Own
54.8% rent · 45.2% own
Severe rent burden
1804.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% Asian 20% Hispanic / Latino 9% White 9% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
74% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.05%
Current HPI
357.6438
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+302.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $128,900 WNYREIS
  • 2026-02-21 Price Changed $129,400 WNYREIS
  • 2026-01-23 Listed $129,900 WNYREIS
  • 2021-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $830,000 Public Records
  • 2000-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
  • 1998-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $196 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…