🏷️ Likely Rental
14506 Clinton St · Harvey, IL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.16%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Newly renovated well-maintained single-family house. * All mechanicals updated * New plumbing * Roof in a good condition * Fully furnished (!) Easy transport access to Chicago centre. House is furnished and ready to move-in. Great investment opportunity: good for lease or STR
Key facts
- Renovated
- Transport access
- Furnished
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership
- HOA & community: No master association fees required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (garage owned); Gravel parking; 2 total parking spaces (2 garage spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story
- Construction: Built approximately 71–80 years ago; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approx. 82 x 84; Lot less than 0.25 acre; Aluminum siding
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approx. 10 x 10)
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level); Master bedroom on main level with full bath
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Partially finished basement; 5 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $837 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $100k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.4% vs local median 9.3% in Harvey — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#539 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Bryant Elem School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,741 of 2,056 statewide, top 93%, 313 students, 0% FRL); Brooks Middle School (math 3% / reading 14%, grade F, #605 of 665 statewide, top 91%, 487 students, 0% FRL); Thornton Township High School (math 7% / reading 7%, grade F, #605 of 693 statewide, top 87%, 1,628 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.62%
- DSCR
- 2.45
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $179,488
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 340 Streamside Dr | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 | 1,270 (+0%) | 5mo | $142,000 | $112 | 85 |
| 14528 S Normal Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 | 1,197 (-5%) | 5mo | $123,649 | $103 | 69 |
| 14817 S Wentworth Ave | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,270 (+0%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $142 | 68 |
| 14410 S Union Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,294 (+2%) | 4mo | $179,000 | $138 | 65 |
| 14609 Lexington Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,326 (+5%) | 3mo | $45,000 | $34 | 58 |
| 14233 S Union Ave | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,262 (-0%) | 4mo | $194,000 | $154 | 56 |
| 14459 Center Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,400 (+11%) | 4mo | $35,000 | $25 | 56 |
| 14727 Riverside Dr | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-5%) | 3mo | $212,000 | $177 | 53 |
| 14430 S Lowe Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,128 (-11%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $151 | 52 |
| 14636 Clark St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,394 (+10%) | 3mo | $105,000 | $75 | 50 |
| 240 E 148th St | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,080 (-15%) | 4mo | $190,000 | $176 | 49 |
| 302 W 145th St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,087 (-14%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $230 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 49.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.68×
- Total profit
- $113,412
- Equity at exit
- $99,097
- IRR
- 43.0%
- Equity multiple
- 10.49×
- Total profit
- $292,389
- Equity at exit
- $213,706
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60426
- Home prices YoY
- 6.9%
- Active inventory
- 133
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,309 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$364 /mo · $4,369/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$485
- Net cashflow
- $837
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $900 | -5% $868 | +0% $837 | +5% $806 | +10% $775 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $655 | -5% $746 | +0% $837 | +5% $929 | +10% $1,020 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $893 | -0.5pp $865 | base $837 | +0.5pp $809 | +1.0pp $780 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14844 Wabash Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1277 | $2,320 | $1.82 | 26d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 14124 Manor Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $2,390 | $1.66 | 26d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 13708 S Wentworth Ave Riverdale, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $110,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $110,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-03-16status Active
-
2026-02-25status Pending
-
2026-02-18$110,000 Active
-
2026-02-18historical
-
2026-01-08Active
-
2025-08-18historical Contingent - No Showings
-
2025-08-18historical
-
2025-08-16Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,369 · $364/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,369 · $364/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 16% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,708
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$4,369
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,217
- − Management
- −$2,217
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $8,994
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,158
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,889/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Harvey
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #539
- US rank
- #11162
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harvey, IL
- City population
- 23,066
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,066
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 12% White 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 20.36%
- Current HPI
- 313.7895
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-16 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-25 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-18 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-18 Listed $110,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-08 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-18 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-18 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-16 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2023): $4,369 · +123.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…