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12450-Unit 8R Crystal Mountain Dr
D Composite 42.03
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$224,900

12450-Unit 8R Crystal Mountain Dr · Crystal Mountain, MI 49683
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,559 sqft · Condo · 70 Days on market
Built 2017 Good condition $284/mo HOA · 12% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Ask someone ‚Å“what is the best season at Crystal Mountain?‚  Youll likely hear the response. ‚Å“All Seasons". This all-season Inn Residence one-eighth share, with three bedrooms and three bathrooms is located in the heart of the resort, perched across from the Park at Waters Edge, providing convenient access to all of Crystals amenities, regardless of the season. The smart design includes a multi-keyed entry for rental potential, even when using one of the three rooms yourself. Sophisticated and comfortable finishes await your every turn: floor-to-ceiling windows provide abundant natural light; spa-inspired bathrooms with porcelain tiled show

Key facts

  • Rooftop terrace
  • Gas fireplace
  • Designated parking

Tags

FLOOR-TO-CEILING WINDOWSSPA-INSPIRED BATHROOMSFULLY EQUIPPED KITCHENGAS FIREPLACEDESIGNATED PARKINGROOFTOP TERRACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $284; HOA covers grounds and structure maintenance, sewer, snow removal, trash, and water; Community amenities: pool, fitness center, tennis courts, ski access, trails

Exterior

  • Utilities: Shared well water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Condominium; Residential property; One level
  • Construction: Stone and wood siding exterior
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Located on/near golf course

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator; Range
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Geothermal heating; Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning; Exhaust fan; Heat pump cooling
  • Interior features: Window treatments; Gas fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $225k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-13 ($-156/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $223k (0.8% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $225k).
  • Recommended offer: $211k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 52/100 on livability (#682 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Benzie County Central Schools (rural): math 33% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #234 of 540 in MI (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Benzie Central Middle School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #248 of 493 statewide, top 53%, 264 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 52% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 110 units permitted in Benzie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Benzie County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $211,406 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
6.22%
Cash-on-cash
-0.25%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.6%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-37,062
Equity at exit
$33,533
10-year hold
IRR
-8.2%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-32,489
Equity at exit
$19,445

Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49683

Home prices YoY
-33.9%
Active inventory
57
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,310 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,179
Tax est. 1.5%
$281 /mo · $3,374/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$284
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$485
Net cashflow
$-13

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,327
Max offer price $223,019
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $142 -5% $65 +0% $-13 +5% $-91 +10% $-168
Rent -10% $-196 -5% $-104 +0% $-13 +5% $78 +10% $170
Rate -1.0pp $100 -0.5pp $44 base $-13 +0.5pp $-71 +1.0pp $-131

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,225
Closing costs
$6,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$284 · $3,408/yr
Likely covers
water
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $224,900 Active 70 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $224,900 Active 69 DOM
  3. 2026-06-19
    days on market $224,900 Active 67 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $224,900 Active 66 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $224,900 Active 65 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $224,900 Active 64 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $224,900 Active 63 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $224,900 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $224,900 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $224,900 Active 57 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $224,900 Active 56 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $224,900 Active 55 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $224,900 Active 52 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $224,900 Active 51 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $224,900 Active 50 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $224,900 Active 49 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $224,900 Active 48 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $224,900 Active 47 DOM
  19. 2026-04-13
    listed $224,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,725
− Mortgage interest
−$12,598
− Property taxes
−$3,374
− Insurance
−$1,124
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,218
− Management
−$2,218
− HOA
−$3,408
− Depreciation
−$6,543
Taxable loss
−$3,757
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$902
After-tax cash flow
$746/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained and updated condo is in good condition with modern amenities and a good location. It is ready for immediate occupancy and can be further enhanced with some cosmetic updates.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making the property more attractive to buyers and renters
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and add value to the property

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making the property more attractive to buyers and renters
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and add value to the property

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Benzie County Central Schools
NCES district ID
2604950
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$46,158
Composite
32.84/100
National rank
#5616
State rank
#234 of 540 in MI

Livability — Crystal Mountain

Score
52/100
State rank
#682
US rank
#24757

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Crystal Mountain, MI
Population (ZIP)
2,070

Population outlook (Benzie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,179 people
By 2030
16,774 · -2.4%
By 2040
15,308 · -10.9%
By 2050
13,594 · -20.9%
By 2075
11,015 · -35.9%
By 2100
8,181 · -52.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Native American 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Iranian 6% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Benzie

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.7) · D 45.0% · R 53.7% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-16.1pp toward R · 2008: 7.4pp · 2024: -8.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.7 2020: R+9.1 2016: R+14.0 2012: R+3.9 2008: D+7.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -90.79%
Current HPI
176.9311
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $224,900 REALCOMP

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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