6362 1st Ave Rd · Garden, MI 49835

$65,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,600 sqft · SingleFamily · 41 Days on market

Built 1940 $41/sqft · 28% below area Est $90k · 28% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +9.7/10.0
• Schools +3.2/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

This fixer-upper is located on the highly sought-after Garden Peninsula and offers great potential for the right buyer. The home features a spacious, open floor plan that provides plenty of room for updates and customization. A 16x24 detached garage adds valuable storage or workspace, and the property is nicely tucked within the Village of Garden—offering quick access to the main road, local park, and endless hunting, fishing, and outdoor recreation opportunities. With some vision and effort, this property could be transformed into a beautiful home in a desirable location.

Key facts

• Open floor plan
• Local park
• Detached garage

Tags

• OPEN FLOOR PLAN
• DETACHED GARAGE
• LOCAL PARK

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Detached garage (16 x 24) with 1 parking space
• Utilities: Propane service; Propane hot water heater; Public water; Septic system
• Home design: Residential fixer-upper; One-story structure; Built in 1940; Located in Garden municipality
• Construction: Vinyl-sided construction; Crawl foundation with Michigan basement characteristics
• Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Other exterior features; Outbuilding(s); Road frontage

Interior

• Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor (13 x 11); Appliances: Other — see remarks
• Bedrooms: First-floor primary bedroom (19 x 11); Second-floor bedroom (17 x 9); Second-floor bedroom (approx. 10 wide)
• Flooring: Dining room floor: Other; Kitchen floor: Other; Living room floor: Other
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (located on the first floor)
• Heating & cooling: Heating fuel: Propane and wood; No listed central heating system; No cooling system
• Interior features: Fireplace; Total of 9 rooms; Radon system in basement; Basement present
• Laundry & utility: First-floor laundry room (8 x 6)

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $666 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
• Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 49/100 on livability (#685 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
• Big Bay De Noc School District (rural): math 35% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #470 of 760 in MI (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Delta County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $7k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
• Delta County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (9.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $63,050 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.04% ✓
• Cap rate: 18.58%
• Cash-on-cash: 43.90%
• DSCR: 2.95
• GRM: 4.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $90,268
• List price: $65,000
• Delta: -27.99%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 8 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
6394 State St	0.10mi	3/1.0	1,602 (+0%)	12mo	$93,825	$59	85
6273 State St	0.24mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,401 (-12%)	23mo	$80,900	$58	44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.46% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 57.7%
• Equity multiple: 5.14×
• Total profit: $75,368
• Equity at exit: $55,991

10-year hold

• IRR: 51.7%
• Equity multiple: 11.33×
• Total profit: $187,988
• Equity at exit: $118,116

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Michigan: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 49835

• Home prices YoY: 6.0%
• Active inventory: 14
• Price-to-rent: 4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,324 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$341
• Tax from tax record: −$13 /mo · $152/yr
• Insurance: −$27
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$278
• Net cashflow: $666

Break-even live

Break-even rent $482

Max offer price $65,000

Occupancy floor 45%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $16,250
• Closing costs: $1,950
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $65,000 Active 41 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $65,000 Active 40 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $65,000 Active 39 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $65,000 Active 38 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $65,000 Active 36 DOM
6. 2026-06-12
   days on market $65,000 Active 35 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $65,000 Active 32 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $65,000 Active 31 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $65,000 Active 30 DOM
10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $65,000 Active 28 DOM
11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $65,000 Active 26 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 25 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 24 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 23 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 22 DOM
16. 2026-05-08
    listed $65,000 Active 585-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $152 · $13/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $576 · $48/mo
• Expected delta: +$425/yr (+$35/mo · 280.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 66% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,894
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,641
• − Property taxes: −$152
• − Insurance: −$325
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,271
• − Management: −$1,271
• − Depreciation: −$1,891
• Taxable income: $7,342
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,762
• After-tax cash flow: $6,227/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Big Bay De Noc School District
• NCES district ID: 2605690
• Math proficiency: 35% ▬ 0.00%
• Reading proficiency: 35% ▲ 5.00%
• Median HH income: $39,475
• Composite: 31.97/100
• National rank: #11028
• State rank: #470 of 760 in MI

Livability — Garden

• Score: 49/100
• State rank: #685
• US rank: #25876

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Garden, MI
• Population (ZIP): 735

Population outlook (Delta County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 34,431 people
• By 2030: 33,003 · -4.1%
• By 2040: 29,748 · -13.6%
• By 2050: 26,753 · -22.3%
• By 2075: 20,962 · -39.1%
• By 2100: 15,616 · -54.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (83%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 83% Two or more races 11% Native American 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 9% Romanian 6% Italian 4%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Delta

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+30.4) · D 34.1% · R 64.5% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -36.7pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -30.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+30.4 2020: R+26.5 2016: R+25.4 2012: R+6.7 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 9.46%
• Current HPI: 166.7127
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.37%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Automotive Parts	3	$48B
▸Automotive	2	$372B
▸Chemicals	1	$45B
▸Automotive Retail	1	$29B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$23B
▸Automotive Technology	1	$20B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-08 Listed $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $152 · -56.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.