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1168 Harrison St
D+ Composite 47.14
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0

$25,000

1168 Harrison St · Gary, IN 46407
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 872 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 55 Days on market
Built 1927 3,746 sqft lot $29/sqft · at area comps

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor opportunity, needs full renovation. Basement adds potential living space (possible extra beds/bath). Fenced yard and detached garage. Property cleaned out and ready for rehab. Property is being sold As-It

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Detached garage
  • 3,746 sq ft lot

Tags

FENCED YARDDETACHED GARAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Occupant status: Vacant

Exterior

  • Parking: Has garage(s); 1 garage space; No other parking features listed
  • Security: Other security features
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; No utilities listed (other)
  • Home design: Single-story living area (main level finished); Built in 1927; Property listed as fixer
  • Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Unfinished basement
  • Exterior features: Neighborhood view; Enclosed porch; Back yard fencing; Garage structure on site

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Second bedroom
  • Flooring: Other flooring type
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No cooling system listed
  • Interior features: No notable interior features listed; Unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level; Laundry on lower level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $672 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
  • Recommended offer: $24k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 41.2% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 121 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,121/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 392% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $418 of equity ($173 loan paydown + $245 appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $24,250 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.48%
Cap rate
41.24%
Cash-on-cash
124.81%
DSCR
6.55
GRM
1.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$50,654
List price
$25,000
Delta
-50.65%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1177 Harrison St 0.03mi 2/1.0 946 (+8%) 2mo $8,500 $9 83
1161 Fillmore St 0.20mi 2/1.0 905 (+4%) 14mo $42,000 $46 72
1665 W 12th Ave 0.61mi 2/1.0 842 (-3%) 3mo $13,000 $15 63
1567 Hayes St 0.63mi 2/1.0 934 (+7%) 4mo $29,000 $31 56
1164 Harrison St 0.01mi 3/1.5 (+1) 968 (+11%) 24mo $12,000 $12 54
1112 Johnson St 0.48mi 2/1.0 824 (-6%) 19mo $11,000 $13 52
841 Pierce St 0.45mi 2/1.0 768 (-12%) 12mo $75,000 $98 49
1747 Hayes St 0.67mi 2/1.0 831 (-5%) 19mo $28,000 $34 45
1014 W 19th Ave 0.45mi 3/1.5 (+1) 960 (+10%) 14mo $30,000 $31 44
1453 W 18th Ave 0.59mi 2/1.0 800 (-8%) 21mo $39,000 $49 41
1993 Harrison St 0.56mi 2/1.0 952 (+9%) 21mo $43,500 $46 41
607 Jefferson St 0.72mi 2/1.5 966 (+11%) 16mo $73,750 $76 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.98% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.19×
Total profit
$43,316
Equity at exit
$8,508
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
14.96×
Total profit
$97,704
Equity at exit
$11,286

Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46407

Home prices YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
121
Price-to-rent
1.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,121 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax from tax record
$16 /mo · $192/yr
Insurance
$10
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$235
Net cashflow
$672

Break-even live

Break-even rent $270
Max offer price $25,000
Occupancy floor 35%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,250
Closing costs
$750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 34 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1521 Pierce St Unit 1 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 1d 1 0.33mi
840 W 19th Ave Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 1035 $1,150 $1.11 19d 1 0.40mi
762 Harrison St Unit SRO Gary, IN 1.0 1.0 1075 $700 $0.65 1d 1 0.49mi
1316 Delaware St Unit 2 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 700 $950 $1.36 20d 1 0.70mi
1329 Delaware St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 43d 1 0.73mi
2022 Massachusetts St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 965 $1,000 $1.04 1d 1 0.78mi
501 Madison St Gary, IN 1.0–4.0 1.0 883 $1,144 $1.29 1d 11 0.84mi
411 Pierce St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 874 $1,395 $1.60 21d 1 0.98mi
2061 Maryland St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 975 $950 $0.97 43d 1 1.02mi
2361 Pierce St Unit 2 Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 860 $900 $1.05 1d 1 1.02mi
2378 Jackson St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 672 $1,050 $1.56 1d 1 1.02mi
1595 Ellsworth St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 868 $1,100 $1.27 2d 1 1.18mi
1595 Ellsworth St Unit 1 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 868 $1,100 $1.27 1d 1 1.18mi
2336 Delaware St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 816 $1,100 $1.35 1d 1 1.19mi
2300 Maryland St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 19d 1 1.19mi
317 Garfield St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 936 $1,495 $1.60 43d 1 1.24mi
2572-76 Van Buren Pl Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 700 $1,025 $1.46 1d 1 1.25mi
358 Arthur St Unit 2 Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 800 $1,250 $1.56 1d 1 1.25mi
358 Arthur St Unit 2 Gary, IN 1.0 1.0 800 $1,080 $1.35 43d 1 1.25mi
2315 Industrial Blvd Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 989 $950 $0.96 3d 1 1.27mi
2315 Industrial Blvd Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 989 $950 $0.96 1d 1 1.27mi
2315 Industrial Blvd Unit B Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 989 $1,150 $1.16 1d 1 1.27mi
844 Tennessee St Gary, IN 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,500 $1.50 43d 1 1.28mi
2280 Roosevelt Pl Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 864 $1,560 $1.81 1d 1 1.32mi
2306 W 5th Ave Gary, IN 2.0–3.0 1.0 937 $1,199 $1.28 1d 2 1.33mi
2306 W 5th Ave Apt 3 Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1025 $1,299 $1.27 1d 1 1.33mi
2264 Taft St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 800 $1,275 $1.59 1d 1 1.35mi
2425 Prospect St Gary, IN 3.0 1.0 1051 $1,400 $1.33 1d 1 1.41mi
837 W 27th Ave Unit A Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 750 $1,150 $1.53 1d 1 1.44mi
837 W 27th Ave Unit B Gary, IN 1.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 1d 1 1.44mi
2355 Rhode Island St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 701 $1,095 $1.56 43d 1 1.45mi
2453 Prospect St Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 704 $1,095 $1.56 1d 1 1.46mi
1531 Taney Pl Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 900 $1,045 $1.16 1d 1 1.47mi
2939 W 10th Ave Gary, IN 2.0 1.0 744 $1,190 $1.60 1d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $25,000 Active 55 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $25,000 Active 54 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $25,000 Active 53 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $25,000 Active 52 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $25,000 Active 50 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $25,000 Active 49 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $25,000 Active 46 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $25,000 Active 45 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $25,000 Active 44 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $25,000 Active 41 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $25,000 Active 40 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $25,000 Active 39 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $25,000 Active 38 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $25,000 Active 37 DOM
  15. 2026-04-24
    listed $25,000 Active 213-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$192 · $16/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$202 · $17/mo
Expected delta
+$10/yr (+$1/mo · 5.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,451
− Mortgage interest
−$1,400
− Property taxes
−$192
− Insurance
−$792
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,076
− Management
−$1,076
− Depreciation
−$727
Taxable income
$8,188
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,965
After-tax cash flow
$6,105/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gary Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803870
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$27,739
Composite
4.98/100
National rank
#10039
State rank
#299 of 301 in IN

Livability — Gary

Score
73/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#5592

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gary, IN
County
Lake County · 422,878 people
City population
63,701
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
8,577
Household income
$28,526
Rent vs Own
58.8% rent · 41.2% own
Severe rent burden
392.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 91% Hispanic / Latino 3% White 2% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.98%
Current HPI
253.2856
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $25,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-9.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $192 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…