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1605 Lodi St Duplex
B+ Composite 76.61
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$240,000

1605 Lodi St · Syracuse, NY 13208
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,056 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 144 Days on market
Built 1900 1,801 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

INCOME PRODUCING 2 FAMILY WITH SEPERATE UTILITIES, .CONVENIENTLY LOCATED. EZ WALK TO SHOPPING, CHURCHES, SCHOOLS AND LIBRARY

Key facts

  • Well cared duplex
  • Siding repaired
  • Roof repaired

Tags

WELL CARED DUPLEXUTILITIES BILL SEPARATESROOF REPAIREDSIDING REPAIREDUPPER APARTMENT RENOVATEDNEW FLOORING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $553/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $240k).
  • Recommended offer: $211k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
  • Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,234/mo this rent would consume 87% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 1437% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $26k; list at $240k implies a 823% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $211,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.35%
Cap rate
11.82%
Cash-on-cash
19.74%
DSCR
1.88
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$113,080
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
129 Spring St 0.38mi 6/3.0 2,112 (+3%) 6mo $211,000 $100 68
128 John St 0.11mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,269 (+10%) 6mo $129,000 $57 68
1213 N State St 0.38mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,157 (+5%) 2mo $72,000 $33 68
2028 Lodi St 0.32mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,004 (-2%) 18mo $74,000 $37 61
2023 Lodi St 0.31mi 6/2.0 2,300 (+12%) 8mo $125,000 $54 59
224 Seward St 0.37mi 6/2.0 2,188 (+6%) 16mo $83,000 $38 59
613-615 Highland St 0.42mi 6/2.0 2,316 (+13%) 2mo $140,000 $60 58
245 Lilac St 0.33mi 6/2.0 1,920 (-7%) 21mo $90,000 $47 56
213 Kirkpatrick St 0.43mi 7/2.0 (+1) 1,928 (-6%) 12mo $71,000 $37 54
2414 Lodi St 0.66mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,095 (+2%) 14mo $115,000 $55 49
143 Highland Ave 0.57mi 5/2.5 (-1) 1,850 (-10%) 7mo $215,000 $116 44
502 Carbon St 0.35mi 7/2.0 (+1) 2,304 (+12%) 20mo $160,000 $69 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.0%
Equity multiple
3.99×
Total profit
$201,027
Equity at exit
$216,211
10-year hold
IRR
33.6%
Equity multiple
8.98×
Total profit
$536,473
Equity at exit
$466,267

Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13208

Home prices YoY
8.4%
Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
12.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,234 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,259
Tax from tax record
$91 /mo · $1,092/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$679
Net cashflow
$1,105

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,835
Max offer price $240,000
Occupancy floor 61%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,234

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,000
Closing costs
$7,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
365 Green St Syracuse, NY 5.0 3.5 2263 $3,300 $1.46 21d 1 0.85mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $240,000 Pending 144 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $240,000 Active Under Contract 144 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $240,000 Active Under Contract 143 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $240,000 Active Under Contract 142 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $240,000 Active Under Contract 141 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $240,000 Active Under Contract 139 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $240,000 Active Under Contract 138 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $240,000 Active Under Contract 136 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $240,000 Active Under Contract 135 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $240,000 Active Under Contract 134 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $240,000 Active Under Contract 133 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $240,000 Active Under Contract 130 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $240,000 Active Under Contract 128 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $240,000 Active Under Contract 127 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $240,000 Active Under Contract 126 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $240,000 Active Under Contract 125 DOM
  17. 2026-03-02
    historical Active Under Contract
  18. 2026-02-25
    price $240,000
  19. 2026-01-25
    listed $250,000 Active
  20. 2015-11-20
    soldstatus $26,000
  21. 2015-11-19
    soldstatus $26,000 Closed Sale or Rented 124-char remark
    Show marketing remark (124 chars)

    INCOME PRODUCING 2 FAMILY WITH SEPERATE UTILITIES, .CONVENIENTLY LOCATED. EZ WALK TO SHOPPING, CHURCHES, SCHOOLS AND LIBRARY

  22. 2015-10-28
    historical Under Contract- Do Not Show 124-char remark
    Show marketing remark (124 chars)

    INCOME PRODUCING 2 FAMILY WITH SEPERATE UTILITIES, .CONVENIENTLY LOCATED. EZ WALK TO SHOPPING, CHURCHES, SCHOOLS AND LIBRARY

  23. 2015-10-21
    listed $29,999 Active 124-char remark
    Show marketing remark (124 chars)

    INCOME PRODUCING 2 FAMILY WITH SEPERATE UTILITIES, .CONVENIENTLY LOCATED. EZ WALK TO SHOPPING, CHURCHES, SCHOOLS AND LIBRARY

  24. 2005-10-10
    soldstatus $35,000
  25. 2003-01-29
    soldstatus $12,975

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,092 · $91/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,574 · $214/mo
Expected delta
+$1,482/yr (+$124/mo · 135.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$38,808
− Mortgage interest
−$13,444
− Property taxes
−$1,092
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,105
− Management
−$3,105
− Depreciation
−$6,982
Taxable income
$9,881
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,372
After-tax cash flow
$10,892/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Syracuse City School District
NCES district ID
3628590
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$32,097
Composite
17.83/100
National rank
#9007
State rank
#590 of 590 in NY

Livability — Syracuse

Score
77/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#2869

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Syracuse, NY
County
Onondaga County · 247,257 people
City population
152,627
Metro
Syracuse, NY
Population (ZIP)
22,993
Household income
$44,712
Rent vs Own
50.8% rent · 49.2% own
Severe rent burden
1437.0

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Black 24% Asian 14% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Swedish 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Vietnam, Philippines, Canada
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Vietnamese 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 30.91%
Current HPI
399.3284
Rent YoY
Metro
Syracuse, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1749.7% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-02 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2026-02-25 Price Changed $240,000 CNYIS
  • 2026-01-25 Listed $250,000 CNYIS
  • 2015-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
  • 2015-11-19 Sold (MLS) $26,000 CNYIS
  • 2015-10-28 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2015-10-21 Listed $29,999 CNYIS
  • 2005-10-10 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 2003-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $12,975 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,092 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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