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1230 Sandy Shore Ln
D Composite 42.83
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.8/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$313,990

1230 Sandy Shore Ln · Iowa Colony, TX 77583
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,831 sqft · SingleFamily · 76 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition 8,195 sqft lot $171/sqft · 7% below area Est $338k · 7% under $75/mo HOA · 3% of rent ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to the Harris plan in the Caldwell Crossing community! This single-story home spans 1,831 sq. ft. and features 4 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage. Upon entering, you'll find two secondary bedrooms with access to a shared bathroom, each with carpet flooring, a bright window, and a tall closet. The bathroom has vinyl flooring and a tub/shower combo. Further down the foyer, you'll pass the powder room, utility room (with washer/dryer space), and a third secondary bedroom with carpet flooring and a tall closet. At the back of the home is the open-concept family room, dining room, and L-shaped kitchen, perfect for entertaining. The kitchen has stainless-steel appliances, a pantry, and vinyl floors. The primary bedroom features carpet flooring, two windows, and a walk-in closet. The primary bathroom includes double sinks, a tub/shower combo, and a separate toilet room. Enjoy the covered back patio and spacious backyard!

Key facts

  • Spacious backyard
  • L-shaped kitchen
  • Covered back patio

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT FAMILY ROOML-SHAPED KITCHENSTAINLESS-STEEL APPLIANCESCOVERED BACK PATIOSPACIOUS BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $314k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-109 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $298k (5.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $270k (13.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $270k (13.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.2% in Iowa Colony — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#757 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Alvin ISD (suburban): math 39% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #255 of 826 in TX (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 1148 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 3,960 units permitted in Brazoria County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Brazoria County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $270,422 (13.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
5.88%
Cash-on-cash
-1.48%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$338,495
List price
$313,990
Delta
-7.24%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9134 Sunset Marina Way 0.25mi 4/2.5 1,831 (0%) 2mo $311,990 $170 87
9114 Serene Hvn 0.11mi 4/3.0 2,042 (+12%) 1mo $352,865 $173 73
9111 Serene Haven Dr 0.14mi 4/2.0 2,035 (+11%) 1mo $319,490 $157 72
1419 Splashing Wave Dr 0.17mi 4/2.0 2,031 (+11%) 1mo $319,990 $158 71
1507 Shimmering Ocean Way 0.20mi 4/3.0 2,042 (+12%) 1mo $354,490 $174 69
1523 Splashing Wave Dr 0.24mi 4/2.0 2,031 (+11%) 0mo $349,490 $172 68
1522 Shimmering Ocean Way 0.24mi 4/3.0 2,042 (+12%) 1mo $331,000 $162 67
9015 Rose Water Trl 0.17mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,595 (-13%) 1mo $309,490 $194 62
1511 Shimmering Ocean Way 0.21mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,595 (-13%) 1mo $299,990 $188 61
1222 Sandy Shore Ln 0.25mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,595 (-13%) 2mo $309,990 $194 58
9203 Waldrick Trace Dr 0.53mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,634 (-11%) 1mo $275,000 $168 50
1202 Paradise Found Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,581 (-14%) 1mo $265,000 $168 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.44% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.7%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-64,501
Equity at exit
$46,817
10-year hold
IRR
-23.5%
Equity multiple
-0.04×
Total profit
$-91,195
Equity at exit
$27,148

Cash invested: $87,917 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77583

Rents YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
1148
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,704 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,647
Tax est. 1.5%
$392 /mo · $4,710/yr
Insurance
$131
HOA
$75
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$568
Net cashflow
$-109

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,842
Max offer price $298,278
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $108 -5% $0 +0% $-109 +5% $-217 +10% $-326
Rent -10% $-322 -5% $-215 +0% $-109 +5% $-2 +10% $105
Rate -1.0pp $50 -0.5pp $-29 base $-109 +0.5pp $-190 +1.0pp $-273

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$78,498
Closing costs
$9,420
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1123 Diamond Drape Dr Rosharon, TX 4.0 2.0 1844 $2,000 $1.08 15d 1 0.36mi
9423 Grand Spark Dr Rosharon, TX 3.0 3.0 1999 $2,600 $1.30 45d 1 0.41mi
1014 Star Grass Ln Rosharon, TX 4.0 2.0 2067 $2,375 $1.15 45d 1 0.45mi
9439 Ruby Mist Dr Rosharon, TX 5.0 2.5 2605 $2,276 $0.87 1d 1 0.57mi
1119 Toledo Bend Pass Rosharon, TX 5.0 3.0 2200 $2,500 $1.14 45d 1 0.84mi
9518 Peridot Green Dr Rosharon, TX 4.0 2.0 1593 $1,886 $1.18 24d 1 0.98mi
8414 Aster Glen Way Rosharon, TX 4.0 2.5 2588 $2,650 $1.02 45d 1 1.00mi
8219 House Dr Rosharon, TX 3.0 2.0 1263 $1,970 $1.56 24d 1 1.01mi
8043 House Bank Ln Rosharon, TX 4.0 3.0 2512 $2,550 $1.02 21d 1 1.12mi
8310 Rose Petals Ln Rosharon, TX 4.0 2.0 1833 $2,300 $1.25 45d 1 1.12mi
8102 Buck Ln Rosharon, TX 3.0 2.0 1409 $2,100 $1.49 45d 1 1.13mi
10313 Malta Trace Dr Rosharon, TX 4.0 2.0 1802 $2,545 $1.41 45d 1 1.18mi
2510 Green Jasper Dr Rosharon, TX 3.0 2.0 1561 $2,375 $1.52 45d 1 1.18mi
1816 Corsica Creek Ln Rosharon, TX 3.0–4.0 2.0–2.5 1653 $2,669 $1.61 0d 20 1.24mi
8210 Radial Ct Rosharon, TX 5.0 2.5 2506 $2,550 $1.02 45d 1 1.27mi
2523 Topaz Hill Ln Rosharon, TX 3.0–4.0 2.0–2.5 1857 $2,950 $1.59 19d 1 1.29mi
10502 Moon Valley Ln Rosharon, TX 3.0 2.0 1615 $2,725 $1.69 0d 1 1.35mi
10211 Alpine Lake Ln Rosharon, TX 3.0–4.0 2.0–2.5 1731 $3,025 $1.75 0d 6 1.35mi
10211 Alpine Lake Ln Rosharon, TX 3.0–4.0 2.0–2.5 1731 $2,875 $1.66 45d 7 1.35mi
10507 Moon Valley Ln Rosharon, TX 3.0 2.0 1548 $2,650 $1.71 0d 1 1.36mi
10610 Cascade Creek Dr Rosharon, TX 3.0 2.0 1548 $2,700 $1.74 45d 1 1.36mi
10622 Cascade Creek Dr Rosharon, TX 4.0 2.0 1780 $2,775 $1.56 45d 1 1.39mi
2314 Red Slate Dr Rosharon, TX 4.0 4.0 2531 $2,850 $1.13 45d 1 1.40mi
10630 Cascade Creek Dr Rosharon, TX 3.0 2.5 1940 $2,875 $1.48 5d 1 1.42mi
10538 Wildflower View Dr Rosharon, TX 3.0 2.0 1522 $2,775 $1.82 0d 1 1.44mi
10602 Wildflower View Dr Rosharon, TX 4.0 2.0 1596 $2,850 $1.79 22d 1 1.46mi
1234 Scarlet Creek Dr Rosharon, TX 3.0 2.0 1548 $2,650 $1.71 0d 1 1.48mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$75 · $900/yr

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 946-char remark
    Show marketing remark (946 chars)

    Welcome to the Harris plan in the Caldwell Crossing community! This single-story home spans 1,831 sq. ft. and features 4 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage. Upon entering, you'll find two secondary bedrooms with access to a shared bathroom, each with carpet flooring, a bright window, and a tall closet. The bathroom has vinyl flooring and a tub/shower combo. Further down the foyer, you'll pass the powder room, utility room (with washer/dryer space), and a third secondary bedroom with carpet flooring and a tall closet. At the back of the home is the open-concept family room, dining room, and L-shaped kitchen, perfect for entertaining. The kitchen has stainless-steel appliances, a pantry, and vinyl floors. The primary bedroom features carpet flooring, two windows, and a walk-in closet. The primary bathroom includes double sinks, a tub/shower combo, and a separate toilet room. Enjoy the covered back patio and spacious backyard!

  2. 2026-05-05
    price $313,990 946-char remark
    Show marketing remark (946 chars)

    Welcome to the Harris plan in the Caldwell Crossing community! This single-story home spans 1,831 sq. ft. and features 4 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage. Upon entering, you'll find two secondary bedrooms with access to a shared bathroom, each with carpet flooring, a bright window, and a tall closet. The bathroom has vinyl flooring and a tub/shower combo. Further down the foyer, you'll pass the powder room, utility room (with washer/dryer space), and a third secondary bedroom with carpet flooring and a tall closet. At the back of the home is the open-concept family room, dining room, and L-shaped kitchen, perfect for entertaining. The kitchen has stainless-steel appliances, a pantry, and vinyl floors. The primary bedroom features carpet flooring, two windows, and a walk-in closet. The primary bathroom includes double sinks, a tub/shower combo, and a separate toilet room. Enjoy the covered back patio and spacious backyard!

  3. 2026-04-28
    price $314,490 946-char remark
    Show marketing remark (946 chars)

    Welcome to the Harris plan in the Caldwell Crossing community! This single-story home spans 1,831 sq. ft. and features 4 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage. Upon entering, you'll find two secondary bedrooms with access to a shared bathroom, each with carpet flooring, a bright window, and a tall closet. The bathroom has vinyl flooring and a tub/shower combo. Further down the foyer, you'll pass the powder room, utility room (with washer/dryer space), and a third secondary bedroom with carpet flooring and a tall closet. At the back of the home is the open-concept family room, dining room, and L-shaped kitchen, perfect for entertaining. The kitchen has stainless-steel appliances, a pantry, and vinyl floors. The primary bedroom features carpet flooring, two windows, and a walk-in closet. The primary bathroom includes double sinks, a tub/shower combo, and a separate toilet room. Enjoy the covered back patio and spacious backyard!

  4. 2026-04-21
    price $314,990 946-char remark
    Show marketing remark (946 chars)

    Welcome to the Harris plan in the Caldwell Crossing community! This single-story home spans 1,831 sq. ft. and features 4 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage. Upon entering, you'll find two secondary bedrooms with access to a shared bathroom, each with carpet flooring, a bright window, and a tall closet. The bathroom has vinyl flooring and a tub/shower combo. Further down the foyer, you'll pass the powder room, utility room (with washer/dryer space), and a third secondary bedroom with carpet flooring and a tall closet. At the back of the home is the open-concept family room, dining room, and L-shaped kitchen, perfect for entertaining. The kitchen has stainless-steel appliances, a pantry, and vinyl floors. The primary bedroom features carpet flooring, two windows, and a walk-in closet. The primary bathroom includes double sinks, a tub/shower combo, and a separate toilet room. Enjoy the covered back patio and spacious backyard!

  5. 2026-04-10
    price $315,490 946-char remark
    Show marketing remark (946 chars)

    Welcome to the Harris plan in the Caldwell Crossing community! This single-story home spans 1,831 sq. ft. and features 4 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage. Upon entering, you'll find two secondary bedrooms with access to a shared bathroom, each with carpet flooring, a bright window, and a tall closet. The bathroom has vinyl flooring and a tub/shower combo. Further down the foyer, you'll pass the powder room, utility room (with washer/dryer space), and a third secondary bedroom with carpet flooring and a tall closet. At the back of the home is the open-concept family room, dining room, and L-shaped kitchen, perfect for entertaining. The kitchen has stainless-steel appliances, a pantry, and vinyl floors. The primary bedroom features carpet flooring, two windows, and a walk-in closet. The primary bathroom includes double sinks, a tub/shower combo, and a separate toilet room. Enjoy the covered back patio and spacious backyard!

  6. 2026-03-25
    price $334,490 946-char remark
    Show marketing remark (946 chars)

    Welcome to the Harris plan in the Caldwell Crossing community! This single-story home spans 1,831 sq. ft. and features 4 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage. Upon entering, you'll find two secondary bedrooms with access to a shared bathroom, each with carpet flooring, a bright window, and a tall closet. The bathroom has vinyl flooring and a tub/shower combo. Further down the foyer, you'll pass the powder room, utility room (with washer/dryer space), and a third secondary bedroom with carpet flooring and a tall closet. At the back of the home is the open-concept family room, dining room, and L-shaped kitchen, perfect for entertaining. The kitchen has stainless-steel appliances, a pantry, and vinyl floors. The primary bedroom features carpet flooring, two windows, and a walk-in closet. The primary bathroom includes double sinks, a tub/shower combo, and a separate toilet room. Enjoy the covered back patio and spacious backyard!

  7. 2026-03-19
    price $334,990 946-char remark
    Show marketing remark (946 chars)

    Welcome to the Harris plan in the Caldwell Crossing community! This single-story home spans 1,831 sq. ft. and features 4 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage. Upon entering, you'll find two secondary bedrooms with access to a shared bathroom, each with carpet flooring, a bright window, and a tall closet. The bathroom has vinyl flooring and a tub/shower combo. Further down the foyer, you'll pass the powder room, utility room (with washer/dryer space), and a third secondary bedroom with carpet flooring and a tall closet. At the back of the home is the open-concept family room, dining room, and L-shaped kitchen, perfect for entertaining. The kitchen has stainless-steel appliances, a pantry, and vinyl floors. The primary bedroom features carpet flooring, two windows, and a walk-in closet. The primary bathroom includes double sinks, a tub/shower combo, and a separate toilet room. Enjoy the covered back patio and spacious backyard!

  8. 2026-03-02
    price $338,990 946-char remark
    Show marketing remark (946 chars)

    Welcome to the Harris plan in the Caldwell Crossing community! This single-story home spans 1,831 sq. ft. and features 4 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage. Upon entering, you'll find two secondary bedrooms with access to a shared bathroom, each with carpet flooring, a bright window, and a tall closet. The bathroom has vinyl flooring and a tub/shower combo. Further down the foyer, you'll pass the powder room, utility room (with washer/dryer space), and a third secondary bedroom with carpet flooring and a tall closet. At the back of the home is the open-concept family room, dining room, and L-shaped kitchen, perfect for entertaining. The kitchen has stainless-steel appliances, a pantry, and vinyl floors. The primary bedroom features carpet flooring, two windows, and a walk-in closet. The primary bathroom includes double sinks, a tub/shower combo, and a separate toilet room. Enjoy the covered back patio and spacious backyard!

  9. 2026-02-25
    listed $339,490 Active 946-char remark
    Show marketing remark (946 chars)

    Welcome to the Harris plan in the Caldwell Crossing community! This single-story home spans 1,831 sq. ft. and features 4 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage. Upon entering, you'll find two secondary bedrooms with access to a shared bathroom, each with carpet flooring, a bright window, and a tall closet. The bathroom has vinyl flooring and a tub/shower combo. Further down the foyer, you'll pass the powder room, utility room (with washer/dryer space), and a third secondary bedroom with carpet flooring and a tall closet. At the back of the home is the open-concept family room, dining room, and L-shaped kitchen, perfect for entertaining. The kitchen has stainless-steel appliances, a pantry, and vinyl floors. The primary bedroom features carpet flooring, two windows, and a walk-in closet. The primary bathroom includes double sinks, a tub/shower combo, and a separate toilet room. Enjoy the covered back patio and spacious backyard!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,451
− Mortgage interest
−$17,588
− Property taxes
−$4,710
− Insurance
−$1,570
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,596
− Management
−$2,596
− HOA
−$900
− Depreciation
−$9,134
Taxable loss
−$6,644
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,595
After-tax cash flow
$292/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This single-story home in Caldwell Crossing is in excellent condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. It's move-in ready and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint on the exterior trim to enhance curb appeal.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal
  • Rental Clean gutters — Keeps home in good condition

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal
  • Rental Clean gutters — Keeps home in good condition

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alvin ISD
NCES district ID
4808090
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$66,740
Composite
38.96/100
National rank
#4080
State rank
#255 of 826 in TX

Livability — Iowa Colony

Score
64/100
State rank
#757
US rank
#13904

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Iowa Colony, TX
County
Brazoria County · 374,982 people
City population
142,397
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
52,747
Household income
$119,287
Rent vs Own
9.8% rent · 90.2% own
Severe rent burden
251.0

Population outlook (Brazoria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,414 people
By 2030
457,585 · +8.8%
By 2040
532,232 · +26.6%
By 2050
605,399 · +44.0%
By 2075
779,358 · +85.4%
By 2100
883,759 · +110.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 38% Black 34% White 20% Two or more races 18% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 31% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
64% English-only · Spanish 28% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Brazoria

2024 margin
R (+19.7) · D 39.5% · R 59.2% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
+9.9pp toward D · 2008: -29.6pp · 2024: -19.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.2 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+29.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -120.19%
Current HPI
198.6559
Rent YoY
▲ 0.44%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.5% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $313,990 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $314,490 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $314,990 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $315,490 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $334,490 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $334,990 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-02 Price Changed $338,990 HARMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Listed $339,490 HARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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