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12375 Mill House Dr
D+ Composite 46.02
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.3/15.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$334,900

12375 Mill House Dr · Prairieville, LA 70734
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,909 sqft · SingleFamily · 4 Days on market
Built 2004 10,018 sqft lot Est $326k · at est. $38/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to this beautiful 4-bedroom, 3-bath residence featuring a desirable triple-split floor plan in a fantastic location! Freshly painted inside and out with new landscaping, this move-in-ready home offers peace of mind with a newer roof (2020) and AC (2022). New carpet in all bedrooms and a new microwave add to the home's fresh appeal. The open-concept design is perfect for entertaining, featuring a spacious living area that flows seamlessly into the kitchen, complete with a large center island, abundant cabinetry, and ample counter space. The triple-split floor plan provides privacy and flexibility for families, guests, or a home office setup. Step outside and enjoy all the neighborhood amenities, including a community pool and clubhouse. Conveniently located near top-rated schools, shopping, dining, and easy interstate access, this home truly has it all.

Key facts

  • Open-concept design
  • New landscaping
  • New carpet

Tags

TRIPLE-SPLIT FLOOR PLANNEW LANDSCAPINGNEWER ROOFNEW ACNEW CARPETOPEN-CONCEPT DESIGN

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: Old Mill; Lot dimensions approximately 73 x 137 (about 0.23 acres)
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee ($450); HOA covers maintenance and management; Community pool; Community clubhouse; Playground; Gated community

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces; Garage with garage door opener; Driveway; Concrete surfaces
  • Security: Smoke detector(s); Gated community
  • Utilities: Public water; Cable connected
  • Home design: Detached single-family residence; Residential property; Level lot
  • Construction: Wood siding; Brick; Frame; Masonite; Stucco; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built around 2795 square feet
  • Exterior features: Exterior lighting; Covered patio; Covered porch; Privacy fencing (full)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Cooktop; Range; Oven; Range hood; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Breakfast bar
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms with walk-in closet(s)
  • Flooring: Tile; Ceramic tile; Wood; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Breakfast bar; Built-in features; Crown molding; High ceilings; Gas log fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup inside; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $335k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $246 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $295k (11.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $295k (11.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.4% in Prairieville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#70 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Ascension Parish (suburban): math 48% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #7 of 98 in LA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Dutchtown Primary School (math 65% / reading 73%, grade A-, #32 of 646 statewide, top 5%, 603 students, 43% FRL); Dutchtown Middle School (math 56% / reading 70%, grade B+, #10 of 218 statewide, top 5%, 657 students, 36% FRL); Dutchtown High School (math 70% / reading 68%, grade B, #9 of 265 statewide, top 3%, 2,643 students, 30% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 67% at this address vs 53% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Ascension Parish average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 139 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 579 units permitted in Ascension Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ascension County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $248k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $295,295 (11.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
7.17%
Cash-on-cash
3.15%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$326,439
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12412 Mill House Dr 0.08mi 4/3.0 1,878 (-2%) 8mo $330,000 $176 87
37069 Mill Run Ave 0.20mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,911 (+0%) 4mo $350,000 $183 78
37052 Mill Wood Ave 0.23mi 4/3.0 1,933 (+1%) 11mo $330,000 $171 78
12387 Old Millstone Dr 0.06mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,875 (-2%) 9mo $349,900 $187 77
37038 Mill Wood Ave 0.23mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,876 (-2%) 11mo $295,000 $157 68
12410 Sugarmill Dr 0.06mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,676 (-12%) 10mo $325,000 $194 60
37188 Audubon Park Ave 0.40mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,827 (-4%) 10mo $289,900 $159 57
12459 Arceneaux Ln 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,807 (-5%) 7mo $177,000 $98 47
12214 Deventer Dr 0.63mi 4/3.0 2,102 (+10%) 8mo $424,900 $202 47
12237 Spring Valley Dr 0.27mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,623 (-15%) 8mo $260,000 $160 47
37055 John St 0.56mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,716 (-10%) 7mo $285,000 $166 44
12371 Dutchtown Villa Dr 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,656 (-13%) 6mo $259,900 $157 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.4%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-38,692
Equity at exit
$49,935
10-year hold
IRR
-2.2%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-13,899
Equity at exit
$28,956

Cash invested: $93,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70734

Home prices YoY
-21.6%
Active inventory
139
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,953 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,756
Tax from tax record
$153 /mo · $1,836/yr
Insurance
$140
HOA
$38
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$620
Net cashflow
$246

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,641
Max offer price $334,900
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $436 -5% $341 +0% $246 +5% $151 +10% $56
Rent -10% $13 -5% $129 +0% $246 +5% $363 +10% $479
Rate -1.0pp $415 -0.5pp $331 base $246 +0.5pp $159 +1.0pp $71

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$83,725
Closing costs
$10,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
37393 Preserve Trl Gonzales, LA 3.0 2.5 1956 $2,500 $1.28 16d 2 0.77mi
37313 Mindy Way Ave Prairieville, LA 4.0 3.0 2517 $4,050 $1.61 45d 1 1.45mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$38 · $456/yr
Likely covers
landscapingpool

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $334,900 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    remarks 699-char remark
  3. 2026-06-18
    listed $334,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,836 · $153/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,842 · $153/mo
Expected delta
+$6/yr (+$1/mo · 0.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,435
− Mortgage interest
−$18,760
− Property taxes
−$1,836
− Insurance
−$1,674
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,835
− Management
−$2,835
− HOA
−$456
− Depreciation
−$9,743
Taxable loss
−$2,703
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$649
After-tax cash flow
$3,601/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ascension Parish
NCES district ID
2200090
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -31.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -25.00%
Median HH income
$68,423
Composite
47.0/100
National rank
#2347
State rank
#7 of 98 in LA

Livability — Prairieville

Score
69/100
State rank
#70
US rank
#8507

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
49,278
Population (ZIP)
9,880

Population outlook (Ascension County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
145,480 people
By 2030
158,329 · +8.8%
By 2040
183,741 · +26.3%
By 2050
207,615 · +42.7%
By 2075
260,244 · +78.9%
By 2100
289,576 · +99.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 17% Two or more races 14% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ascension

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.2% · R 66.1% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+1.7pp toward D · 2008: -35.7pp · 2024: -34.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.0 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+36.0 2012: R+34.3 2008: R+35.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -40.70%
Current HPI
148.0987
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+74.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $334,900 GBRMLS
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $334,900 AcadianaMLS
  • 2006-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $248,400 Public Records
  • 2006-02-12 Listed $249,900 AcadianaMLS
  • 2004-02-11 Listed $191,800 AcadianaMLS

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,836 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…