263 SW Dante Ter · Lake City, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +7.3/30.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- ARV discount +3.9/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.5/10.0
- DSCR +1.4/10.0
$258,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well built brick home, located in a very quiet neighborhood. Home is ideally suited for the first time home buyer or small family. Conveniently located to I-75, Lake City or Gainesville. Solid floors throughout, either ceramic tile or laminate. Large fenced in back yard with a storage building. This is a home you will want to see!
Key facts
- Almost half an acre
- Mother-in-law suite
- Fenced area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking
- Utilities: Other utilities
- Home design: Single Family Residence
- Exterior features: No private pool; Residential single-family property
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $258k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-349 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $196k (23.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $168k (34.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $168k (34.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.7% in Lake City — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#304 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, employment F.
- Columbia (town): math 53% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #25 of 73 in FL (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 206 active listings in the ZIP; 178 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Columbia County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($250k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $186k; 39% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.65% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.81%
- DSCR
- 0.74
- GRM
- 12.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $238,872
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 422 SW Brandy Way | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,127 (+5%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $213 | 77 |
| 576 SW Dante Ter | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,146 (+6%) | 10mo | $281,000 | $245 | 61 |
| 537 SW Brandy Way | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,170 (+9%) | 11mo | $242,000 | $207 | 58 |
| 420 SW Dante Ter | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,170 (+9%) | 23mo | $259,900 | $222 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.64×
- Total profit
- $118,215
- Equity at exit
- $232,427
- IRR
- 18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.06×
- Total profit
- $365,547
- Equity at exit
- $501,237
Cash invested: $72,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32024
- Home prices YoY
- 7.6%
- Active inventory
- 206
- Price-to-rent
- 12.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,679 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,353
- Tax from tax record
- −$215 /mo · $2,581/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$353
- Net cashflow
- $-349
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,500
- Closing costs
- $7,740
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 33 events
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2026-06-19days on market $258,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $258,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-17price $258,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $262,500 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $262,500 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $262,500 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $262,500 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $262,500 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $262,500 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $262,500 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $262,500 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $262,500 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $265,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $265,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $265,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $265,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $265,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-05-14$265,000 Active
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2023-03-07soldstatus $186,000
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2023-03-06soldstatus $186,000 Closed 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
Well built brick home, located in a very quiet neighborhood. Home is ideally suited for the first time home buyer or small family. Conveniently located to I-75, Lake City or Gainesville. Solid floors throughout, either ceramic tile or laminate. Large fenced in back yard with a storage building. This is a home you will want to see!
-
2023-01-25soldstatus $186,000 Closed 330-char remark
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
Well built brick home, located in a very quiet neighborhood. Home is ideally suited for the first time home buyer or small family. Conveniently located to I-75, Lake City or Gainesville. Solid floors throughout, either ceramic tile or laminate. Large fenced in back yard with storage building. This is a home you will want to see!
-
2023-01-24status Pending 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
Well built brick home, located in a very quiet neighborhood. Home is ideally suited for the first time home buyer or small family. Conveniently located to I-75, Lake City or Gainesville. Solid floors throughout, either ceramic tile or laminate. Large fenced in back yard with a storage building. This is a home you will want to see!
-
2022-12-20status Active 330-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
Well built brick home, located in a very quiet neighborhood. Home is ideally suited for the first time home buyer or small family. Conveniently located to I-75, Lake City or Gainesville. Solid floors throughout, either ceramic tile or laminate. Large fenced in back yard with a storage building. This is a home you will want to see!
-
2022-12-20status Active 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
Well built brick home, located in a very quiet neighborhood. Home is ideally suited for the first time home buyer or small family. Conveniently located to I-75, Lake City or Gainesville. Solid floors throughout, either ceramic tile or laminate. Large fenced in back yard with a storage building. This is a home you will want to see!
-
2022-12-10status Pending 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
Well built brick home, located in a very quiet neighborhood. Home is ideally suited for the first time home buyer or small family. Conveniently located to I-75, Lake City or Gainesville. Solid floors throughout, either ceramic tile or laminate. Large fenced in back yard with a storage building. This is a home you will want to see!
-
2022-12-01$200,000 Active 330-char remark
Show marketing remark (330 chars)
Well built brick home, located in a very quiet neighborhood. Home is ideally suited for the first time home buyer or small family. Conveniently located to I-75, Lake City or Gainesville. Solid floors throughout, either ceramic tile or laminate. Large fenced in back yard with storage building. This is a home you will want to see!
-
2022-11-28$200,000 Active 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
Well built brick home, located in a very quiet neighborhood. Home is ideally suited for the first time home buyer or small family. Conveniently located to I-75, Lake City or Gainesville. Solid floors throughout, either ceramic tile or laminate. Large fenced in back yard with a storage building. This is a home you will want to see!
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2019-07-29soldstatus $118,500
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2019-06-23soldstatus $118,500
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2007-09-05soldstatus $115,000
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2004-10-04soldstatus $83,500
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2003-02-06soldstatus $76,200
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2001-11-27soldstatus $67,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,581 · $215/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,581 · $215/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,143
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,452
- − Property taxes
- −$2,581
- − Insurance
- −$1,290
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,611
- − Management
- −$1,611
- − Depreciation
- −$7,505
- Taxable loss
- −$8,908
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,138
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,056/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbia
- NCES district ID
- 1200360
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,053
- Composite
- 44.74/100
- National rank
- #2750
- State rank
- #25 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lake City
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #304
- US rank
- #5154
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 40,507
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,644
Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,129 people
- By 2030
- 67,501 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 65,465 · -3.9%
- By 2050
- 63,058 · -7.4%
- By 2075
- 56,291 · -17.4%
- By 2100
- 45,243 · -33.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Black 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Columbia
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.2) · D 24.6% · R 74.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.8pp · 2024: -50.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.2 2020: R+45.2 2016: R+44.5 2012: R+36.7 2008: R+33.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 19.05%
- Current HPI
- 269.4659
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+292.6% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $265,000 realMLS
- 2023-03-07 Sold (Public Records) $186,000 Public Records
- 2023-03-06 Sold (MLS) $186,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-25 Sold (MLS) $186,000 NFMLS
- 2023-01-24 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-20 Relisted — NFMLS
- 2022-12-20 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-10 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-01 Listed $200,000 NFMLS
- 2022-11-28 Listed $200,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $118,500 Public Records
- 2019-06-23 Sold (MLS) $118,500 NFMLS
- 2007-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2004-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $83,500 Public Records
- 2003-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $76,200 Public Records
- 2001-11-27 Sold (Public Records) $67,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,581 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…