19216 NE 25th Ave Unit 291C · Ojus, FL 33180

$300,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,579 sqft · Condo public records · 60 Days on market

Built 1974 $898/mo HOA · 18% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +27.7/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +9.8/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +4.2/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.1/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Discover an incredible opportunity to customize a spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath townhome in one of Aventura’s most desirable gated communities. This 1579 sq ft residence offers soaring ceilings, generous room sizes, and a layout with endless potential for a full modern transformation. The home currently requires renovations — including a new kitchen and completion of bathroom updates — making it ideal for buyers seeking value and the chance to design their own dream space. Enjoy the privacy of your own front and rear green areas, plus easy access to the community’s pool, playground, basketball court, and scenic waterways that connect to Oleta River State Park. With Aven

Key facts

• New kitchen
• Community pool
• Basketball court

Tags

• NEW KITCHEN
• BATHROOM UPDATES
• FRONT AND REAR GREEN AREAS
• COMMUNITY POOL
• PLAYGROUND
• BASKETBALL COURT

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $300k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $483 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $300k).
• Recommended offer: $291k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 83/100 on livability (#58 in FL, #1,031 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F.
• Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Virginia A Boone-Highland Oaks School (math 50% / reading 60%, grade C, #872 of 2,144 statewide, top 42%, 600 students, 40% FRL); Highland Oaks Middle School (math 28% / reading 51%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 774 students, 50% FRL); Dr. Michael M. Krop Senior High (math 21% / reading 46%, grade F, #400 of 667 statewide, top 61%, 2,235 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 47% FRL vs 64% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 993 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $4,927/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($91k/yr) (locally 1838% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $78k; list at $300k implies a 282% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $291,000 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.64% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.93%
• Cash-on-cash: 12.99%
• DSCR: 1.58
• GRM: 5.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -10.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.63×
• Total profit: $-31,389
• Equity at exit: $44,731

10-year hold

• IRR: -9.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.53×
• Total profit: $-39,881
• Equity at exit: $25,939

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33180

• Rents YoY: -1.5%
• Active inventory: 993
• Price-to-rent: 5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $4,927 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,573
• Tax from tax record: −$387 /mo · $4,639/yr
• Insurance: −$125
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
• HOA: −$898
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,035
• Net cashflow: $483

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,316

Max offer price $300,000

Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $653	-5% $568	+0% $483	+5% $398	+10% $313
Rent	-10% $94	-5% $288	+0% $483	+5% $678	+10% $872
Rate	-1.0pp $634	-0.5pp $559	base $483	+0.5pp $405	+1.0pp $326

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $75,000
• Closing costs: $9,000
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $898 · $10,776/yr
• Likely covers: waterpoolsecurity
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-03-10
   status Pending
2. 2026-02-06
   historical Active Under Contract
3. 2026-01-09
   listed $300,000 Active
4. 1995-07-06
   soldstatus $78,500
5. 1980-08-01
   soldstatus $91,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $4,639 · $387/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $4,639 · $387/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 73% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $59,126
• − Mortgage interest: −$16,805
• − Property taxes: −$4,639
• − Insurance: −$6,619
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$4,730
• − Management: −$4,730
• − HOA: −$10,776
• − Depreciation: −$8,727
• Taxable income: $2,100
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$504
• After-tax cash flow: $5,293/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Miami-Dade
• NCES district ID: 1200390
• Math proficiency: 45% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 54% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $43,928
• Composite: 41.76/100
• National rank: #3397
• State rank: #40 of 73 in FL

Livability — Ojus

• Score: 83/100
• State rank: #58
• US rank: #1031

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime B+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Ojus, FL
• County: Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• Population (ZIP): 34,147
• Household income: $91,055
• Rent vs Own: 38.7% rent · 61.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 1838.0

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 3,126,439 people
• By 2030: 3,325,765 · +6.4%
• By 2040: 3,697,561 · +18.3%
• By 2050: 4,012,134 · +28.3%
• By 2075: 4,605,612 · +47.3%
• By 2100: 4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
• Race & ethnicity: White 46% Hispanic / Latino 45% Two or more races 28% Black 2% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 7% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 6%
• Common ancestry: Scotch-Irish 5% Romanian 5% Italian 3%
• Foreign-born: 52% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 30% English-only · Spanish 49% Other Indo-European 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

• 2024 margin: R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -343.81%
• Current HPI: 234.7715
• Rent YoY: ▼ -1.51%
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+226.4% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-10 Pending — MARMLS
• 2026-02-06 Contingent — MARMLS
• 2026-01-09 Listed $300,000 MARMLS
• 1995-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $78,500 Public Records
• 1980-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $91,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,639 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.