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8611 Auburn St
C Composite 59.38
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$74,999

8611 Auburn St · Detroit, MI 48228
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 877 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1945 5,227 sqft lot Est $53k · 40% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor Special on the westside of Detroit! Great opportunity for investors, flippers, or buy-and-hold buyers looking to add to their portfolio. This property offers strong upside potential with an estimated After Repair Value (ARV) of $125,000. Home needs renovation and is priced accordingly, making it an ideal project for a full rehab or long-term investment strategy. Located in an area experiencing continued redevelopment and rental demand. Spacious layout with solid potential to restore and maximize value. Property is being sold as-is. Don't miss the chance to capitalize on this value-add opportunity!

Key facts

  • Needs renovation
  • Westside of detroit
  • Spacious layout

Tags

WESTSIDE OF DETROITNEEDS RENOVATIONSPACIOUS LAYOUT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.12 acres (40 x 130.93)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 2 rooms (includes living spaces and bedrooms)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $353 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 363 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 68% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($31k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 11 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $351; list at $75k implies a 21267% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $74,999

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.51%
Cap rate
11.95%
Cash-on-cash
20.20%
DSCR
1.90
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$53,497
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8225 Grandville Ave 0.30mi 2/1.0 906 (+3%) 2mo $36,500 $40 79
8277 Stout St 0.36mi 3/1.0 (+1) 879 (+0%) 0mo $45,000 $51 77
8686 Artesian St 0.41mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (-2%) 2mo $35,000 $41 72
7756 Westwood St 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 871 (-1%) 2mo $90,000 $103 69
8309 Brace St 0.53mi 3/1.5 (+1) 864 (-2%) 1mo $28,500 $33 65
9244 Heyden 0.48mi 2/1.0 801 (-9%) 0mo $35,000 $44 63
9012 Pierson St 0.59mi 3/1.0 (+1) 910 (+4%) 0mo $60,000 $66 61
9072 Burt Rd 0.67mi 3/1.0 (+1) 906 (+3%) 2mo $57,000 $63 57
9221 Grandville Ave 0.44mi 3/1.0 (+1) 971 (+11%) 2mo $135,000 $139 55
8651 Brace Street St 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 987 (+12%) 2mo $60,000 $61 49
9317 Artesian St 0.62mi 2/1.0 994 (+13%) 1mo $25,000 $25 48
7730 Braile St 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 768 (-12%) 2mo $68,000 $89 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.9%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$7,067
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
15.3%
Equity multiple
2.07×
Total profit
$22,435
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48228

Rents YoY
-2.3%
Active inventory
363
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,133 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$117 /mo · $1,405/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$238
Net cashflow
$353

Break-even live

Break-even rent $686
Max offer price $74,999
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 37 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19301 Joy Rd Apt 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 43d 1 0.22mi
8283 Vaughan St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1058 $1,294 $1.22 4d 1 0.25mi
7794 Vaughan St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 16d 1 0.46mi
20431 Tireman St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,350 $1.32 17d 1 0.51mi
9090 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 787 $1,250 $1.59 43d 1 0.58mi
19449 W Chicago St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 950 $1,500 $1.58 43d 1 0.60mi
7635 Evergreen Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 690 $1,350 $1.96 43d 1 0.60mi
20237 W Chicago Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 650 $850 $1.31 43d 1 0.64mi
8270 Trinity St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 806 $1,528 $1.90 43d 1 0.67mi
9059 Burt Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 980 $1,400 $1.43 43d 1 0.67mi
9401 Fielding St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 43d 1 0.69mi
20529 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 43d 1 0.70mi
9410 Patton St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 43d 1 0.70mi
18401 Joy Rd Unit 8 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 600 $875 $1.46 43d 1 0.70mi
20541 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 43d 1 0.70mi
9404 Patton St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 43d 1 0.70mi
20545 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 43d 1 0.71mi
20547 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 43d 1 0.71mi
20522 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 43d 1 0.72mi
20619 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 43d 1 0.73mi
20550 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 43d 1 0.73mi
7411 Stout St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 888 $1,428 $1.61 12d 1 0.73mi
8451 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 867 $1,150 $1.33 43d 1 0.77mi
8850 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 933 $1,100 $1.18 17d 1 0.81mi
8262 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 836 $1,200 $1.44 4d 1 0.81mi
20921 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 43d 1 0.86mi
20935 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 43d 1 0.87mi
20937 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 43d 1 0.88mi
9416 Trinity St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 43d 1 0.88mi
20945 W Chicago Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 43d 1 0.88mi
18450 W Chicago Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 687 $1,117 $1.62 1d 15 0.91mi
9108 Archdale St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 4d 1 1.04mi
6980 Town Ln Dearborn Heights, MI 1.0 1.0 600 $895 $1.49 17d 1 1.13mi
11652 Fielding St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,386 $1.39 43d 1 1.21mi
6490 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 960 $1,299 $1.35 16d 1 1.30mi
12084 Vaughan St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 16d 1 1.34mi
11741 Penrod St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1124 $1,400 $1.25 16d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,999 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 659-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,999 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    remarks 613-char remark
  5. 2026-06-16
    listed $74,999 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,405 · $117/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,405 · $117/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,596
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,405
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,088
− Management
−$1,088
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$3,258
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$782
After-tax cash flow
$3,459/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
50,117
Household income
$30,680
Rent vs Own
50.7% rent · 49.3% own
Severe rent burden
4144.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Arab 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Arabic 11% Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -160.81%
Current HPI
168.6843
Rent YoY
▼ -2.30%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+226.1% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $74,999 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $74,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-10-14 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-10-13 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2014-02-27 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2014-02-27 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-02-27 Listed $4,750 REALCOMP
  • 2014-02-27 Listed $4,750 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-11-13 Listed $4,750 REALCOMP
  • 2013-11-13 Listed $4,750 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-01-30 Sold (MLS) $351 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-01-30 Sold (MLS) $351 REALCOMP
  • 2013-01-30 Sold (MLS) $351 REALCOMP
  • 2012-12-21 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-12-21 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2012-10-05 Listed $1,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-10-05 Listed $1,000 REALCOMP
  • 2012-10-05 Listed $1,000 REALCOMP
  • 2002-11-22 Sold (MLS) $51,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-11-22 Sold (MLS) $51,999 REALCOMP
  • 2002-10-30 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-10-28 Listed $52,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2002-10-28 Listed $52,900 REALCOMP
  • 1992-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,405 · -11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…