CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
3037 SW Wenonah Rd
C+ Composite 63.79
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.6/15.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,900

3037 SW Wenonah Rd · Birmingham, AL 35211
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,611 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 127 Days on market
Built 1966 10,018 sqft lot $58/sqft · 40% above area Est $174k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This spacious all-brick home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, providing plenty of room for comfortable living. A Spacious lot with storage unit. located at the back of the property adds extra flexibility—ideal for a home office, playroom, or additional living space. Additional driveway for parking multiple vehicles for your convenience. great for first-time buyers” or “investment opportunity”

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1966

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $151k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $380 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $151k).
  • Recommended offer: $133k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.0%/yr); 152 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,660/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 2161% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 127 days — a 12% lower offer ($133k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $86k; list at $151k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,792 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 127 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
9.32%
Cash-on-cash
10.80%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$174,485
List price
$150,900
Delta
-13.52%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3063 Wenonah Park Pl 0.25mi 3/2.5 2,442 (-6%) 22mo $177,380 $73 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.3%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-5,134
Equity at exit
$22,500
10-year hold
IRR
2.9%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$7,748
Equity at exit
$13,047

Cash invested: $42,252 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35211

Rents YoY
-0.0%
Active inventory
152
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,660 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$791
Tax from tax record
$77 /mo · $920/yr
Insurance
$63
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$349
Net cashflow
$380

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,178
Max offer price $150,900
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $466 -5% $423 +0% $380 +5% $338 +10% $295
Rent -10% $249 -5% $315 +0% $380 +5% $446 +10% $511
Rate -1.0pp $456 -0.5pp $419 base $380 +0.5pp $341 +1.0pp $301

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,725
Closing costs
$4,527
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3020 Wenonah Park Pl SW Birmingham, AL 4.0 2.5 2200 $1,999 $0.91 2d 1 0.28mi
3225 Wenonah Rd SW Birmingham, AL 4.0 3.0 2154 $1,550 $0.72 2d 1 0.29mi
2548 28th St SW Birmingham, AL 3.0 2.0 1762 $1,000 $0.57 2d 1 0.67mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,900 Active 127 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,900 Active 126 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,900 Active 125 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,900 Active 124 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,900 Active 122 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $150,900 Active 119 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,900 Active 118 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,900 Active 117 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,900 Active 116 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,900 Active 112 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,900 Active 111 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,900 Active 110 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,900 Active 109 DOM
  14. 2026-02-12
    listed $150,900 Active 426-char remark
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    This spacious all-brick home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, providing plenty of room for comfortable living. A Spacious lot with storage unit. located at the back of the property adds extra flexibility—ideal for a home office, playroom, or additional living space. Additional driveway for parking multiple vehicles for your convenience. great for first-time buyers” or “investment opportunity”

  15. 2026-01-31
    historical $150,900 426-char remark
    Show marketing remark (426 chars)

    This spacious all-brick home offers 4 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, providing plenty of room for comfortable living. A Spacious lot with storage unit. located at the back of the property adds extra flexibility—ideal for a home office, playroom, or additional living space. Additional driveway for parking multiple vehicles for your convenience. great for first-time buyers” or “investment opportunity”

  16. 2025-09-16
    price $140,000
  17. 2018-12-12
    soldstatus $85,950
  18. 2018-12-07
    soldstatus $85,500 Sold
  19. 2018-10-13
    historical Contingent
  20. 2018-09-13
    listed $89,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$920 · $77/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$920 · $77/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,918
− Mortgage interest
−$8,453
− Property taxes
−$920
− Insurance
−$754
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,593
− Management
−$1,593
− Depreciation
−$4,390
Taxable income
$2,214
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$531
After-tax cash flow
$4,033/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Birmingham City
NCES district ID
0100390
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$31,988
Composite
9.49/100
National rank
#9850
State rank
#116 of 129 in AL

Livability — Birmingham

Score
67/100
State rank
#78
US rank
#10412

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Birmingham, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
210,422
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
24,924
Household income
$34,884
Rent vs Own
59.7% rent · 40.3% own
Severe rent burden
2161.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (77%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 77% White 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -49.29%
Current HPI
91.2903
Rent YoY
▬ -0.01%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+67.9% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-12 Listed $150,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-01-31 Coming Soon $150,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-09-16 Price Changed $140,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2018-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $85,950 Public Records
  • 2018-12-07 Sold (MLS) $85,500 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2018-10-13 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2018-09-13 Listed $89,900 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $920 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…