🏷️ Likely Rental
8004 North Lake Blvd #5 · Kings Beach, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 85°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 25 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 31 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful lakefront community located on the North Shore of world-famous Lake Tahoe. Enter your 2-bedroom, 2 bath second floor condo, with a peek of the lake, and you will find everything you need for your stay, fully equipped kitchen, all Linens for beds and baths and beautifully decorated. Laundry facilities and BBQ just steps away, and a pathway to the white, sandy beach for your year-round enjoyment. This property is gated with an intimate feel with only 12 units’ total. This 1/6th shared ownership gives each owner 8 weeks’ use per year. You may rent out any unused weeks. You only pay HOA dues of $323 per month which cover everything except your personal property taxes and cleaning fee after your stay. Ten-minute drive to Northstar and thirty minutes to Palisades Tahoe. Across the street is the Brockway Springs golf course with an amazing restaurant. It is a very short walk to the center of Kings Beach, with shops and restaurants and Water Play Venders. Sellers have these weeks booked for 2026: 4/10-4/17, 6/26-7/10-(2 weeks), 8/21-8/28, 9/25-10/9- (2 weeks). Sorry, no pets allowed. There is no financing available, purchase must be all cash.
Key facts
- Laundry facilities
- Gated property
- Lakefront community
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath timeshare listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $846 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $99k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.0% vs local median 1.7% in Kings Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 54/100 on livability (#889 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Tahoe-Truckee Unified (town): math 44% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #136 of 517 in CA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,535 units permitted in Placer County in 2024 (689 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($726 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
- Placer County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 34.52%
- DSCR
- 2.54
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $636,337
- List price
- $105,000
- Delta
- -83.50%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
1.44% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.99×
- Total profit
- $58,366
- Equity at exit
- $38,266
- IRR
- 39.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.89×
- Total profit
- $143,797
- Equity at exit
- $52,780
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 96143
- Home prices YoY
- 0.5%
- Active inventory
- 36
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,436 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$131 /mo · $1,575/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$353
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$512
- Net cashflow
- $846
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7600 N Lake Blvd Tahoe Vista, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $2,200 | $3.10 | 14d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 426 Raccoon St Kings Beach, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $2,800 | $3.59 | 23d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1300 Regency Way #73 Tahoe Vista, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 656 | $2,200 | $3.35 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $353 · $4,236/yr
- Likely covers
- watersecurity
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $105,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $105,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $105,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $105,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $105,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $105,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $105,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $105,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $105,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $105,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $105,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-03-26$105,000 Active 1175-char remark
Show marketing remark (1175 chars)
Beautiful lakefront community located on the North Shore of world-famous Lake Tahoe. Enter your 2-bedroom, 2 bath second floor condo, with a peek of the lake, and you will find everything you need for your stay, fully equipped kitchen, all Linens for beds and baths and beautifully decorated. Laundry facilities and BBQ just steps away, and a pathway to the white, sandy beach for your year-round enjoyment. This property is gated with an intimate feel with only 12 units’ total. This 1/6th shared ownership gives each owner 8 weeks’ use per year. You may rent out any unused weeks. You only pay HOA dues of $323 per month which cover everything except your personal property taxes and cleaning fee after your stay. Ten-minute drive to Northstar and thirty minutes to Palisades Tahoe. Across the street is the Brockway Springs golf course with an amazing restaurant. It is a very short walk to the center of Kings Beach, with shops and restaurants and Water Play Venders. Sellers have these weeks booked for 2026: 4/10-4/17, 6/26-7/10-(2 weeks), 8/21-8/28, 9/25-10/9- (2 weeks). Sorry, no pets allowed. There is no financing available, purchase must be all cash.
-
2025-12-22soldstatus $95,000 Sold 1005-char remark
Show marketing remark (1005 chars)
Beautiful lakefront community located on the North Shore of world famous Lake Tahoe. Enter into your 2 bedroom, 2 bath second floor condo, with a peek of the lake, and you will find everything you need for your stay, fully equipped kitchen, all linens for beds and baths and beautifully decorated. Laundry facilities and BBQ just steps away, and a pathway to the white, sandy beach for your year round enjoyment. This property is gated with an intimate feel with only 12 units total. This 1/6th shared ownership gives each owner 8 weeks’ use per year. You may rent out any unused weeks. You only pay HOA dues of $323 per month which cover everything except your personal property taxes and cleaning fee after your stay. Ten-minute drive to Northstar and thirty minutes to Palisades Tahoe. Across the street is the Brockway Springs golf course with an amazing restaurant. It is a very short walk to the center of Kings Beach, with shops and restaurants and Water Play Venders. Sorry, no pets allowed.
-
2025-11-21historical Contingent 1005-char remark
Show marketing remark (1005 chars)
Beautiful lakefront community located on the North Shore of world famous Lake Tahoe. Enter into your 2 bedroom, 2 bath second floor condo, with a peek of the lake, and you will find everything you need for your stay, fully equipped kitchen, all linens for beds and baths and beautifully decorated. Laundry facilities and BBQ just steps away, and a pathway to the white, sandy beach for your year round enjoyment. This property is gated with an intimate feel with only 12 units total. This 1/6th shared ownership gives each owner 8 weeks’ use per year. You may rent out any unused weeks. You only pay HOA dues of $323 per month which cover everything except your personal property taxes and cleaning fee after your stay. Ten-minute drive to Northstar and thirty minutes to Palisades Tahoe. Across the street is the Brockway Springs golf course with an amazing restaurant. It is a very short walk to the center of Kings Beach, with shops and restaurants and Water Play Venders. Sorry, no pets allowed.
-
2025-07-17$105,000 Active 1005-char remark
Show marketing remark (1005 chars)
Beautiful lakefront community located on the North Shore of world famous Lake Tahoe. Enter into your 2 bedroom, 2 bath second floor condo, with a peek of the lake, and you will find everything you need for your stay, fully equipped kitchen, all linens for beds and baths and beautifully decorated. Laundry facilities and BBQ just steps away, and a pathway to the white, sandy beach for your year round enjoyment. This property is gated with an intimate feel with only 12 units total. This 1/6th shared ownership gives each owner 8 weeks’ use per year. You may rent out any unused weeks. You only pay HOA dues of $323 per month which cover everything except your personal property taxes and cleaning fee after your stay. Ten-minute drive to Northstar and thirty minutes to Palisades Tahoe. Across the street is the Brockway Springs golf course with an amazing restaurant. It is a very short walk to the center of Kings Beach, with shops and restaurants and Water Play Venders. Sorry, no pets allowed.
-
2018-10-25soldstatus $63,000 Sold
-
2018-10-17soldstatus $75,000 Sold
-
2018-09-04historical Contingent
-
2018-08-10$75,000 Active
-
2014-10-30historical
-
2014-04-04$65,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 1/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥85°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 25 unhealthy d/yr today · 31 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,233
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,575
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,339
- − Management
- −$2,339
- − HOA
- −$4,236
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $9,283
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,228
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,922/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tahoe-Truckee Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0638770
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,136
- Composite
- 44.38/100
- National rank
- #2816
- State rank
- #136 of 517 in CA
Livability — Kings Beach
- Score
- 54/100
- State rank
- #889
- US rank
- #23842
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kings Beach, CA
- City population
- 2,852
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,852
Population outlook (Placer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 422,709 people
- By 2030
- 444,249 · +5.1%
- By 2040
- 480,192 · +13.6%
- By 2050
- 506,390 · +19.8%
- By 2075
- 550,219 · +30.2%
- By 2100
- 547,760 · +29.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (54%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 41%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 7% Portuguese 3% Scotch-Irish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 32% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Placer
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.5) · D 44.3% · R 52.8% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.8pp toward D · 2008: -11.3pp · 2024: -8.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.5 2020: R+6.7 2016: R+11.3 2012: R+20.1 2008: R+11.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.44%
- Current HPI
- 274.6145
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+61.5% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Listed $105,000 TSMLS
- 2025-12-22 Sold (MLS) $95,000 TSMLS
- 2025-11-21 Contingent — TSMLS
- 2025-07-17 Listed $105,000 TSMLS
- 2018-10-25 Sold (MLS) $63,000 TSMLS
- 2018-10-17 Sold (MLS) $75,000 TSMLS
- 2018-09-04 Contingent — TSMLS
- 2018-08-10 Listed $75,000 TSMLS
- 2014-10-30 Delisted — TSMLS
- 2014-04-04 Listed $65,000 TSMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…