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2939 Merrick St
B Composite 74.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$40,000

2939 Merrick St · Detroit, MI 48208
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,081 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 45 Days on market
Built 1910 3,049 sqft lot $37/sqft · 29% below area Est $57k · 29% under ↓ 20% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Here is an investment opportunity in Detroit's Core City. 3BR bungalow in need of full rehab. Good candidate to flip or fix up and rent. Verdant block with very few structures. Lots of development happening in this area. Minutes from Corktown, Midtown, Downtown Detroit.

Key facts

  • Full rehab
  • Midtown
  • Candidate to flip

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYFULL REHABCANDIDATE TO FLIPDEVELOPMENT HAPPENINGMINUTES FROM CORKTOWNMIDTOWN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer and water available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 30 x 100.6 (0.07 acres)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; Total of 5 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $802 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 30.4% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 184 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,503/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 601% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.8% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $38,800 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.76%
Cap rate
30.36%
Cash-on-cash
85.95%
DSCR
4.82
GRM
2.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$56,555
List price
$40,000
Delta
-29.27%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5261 24th St 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,132 (+5%) 12mo $87,000 $77 67
6419 Roosevelt St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,143 (+6%) 1mo $15,000 $13 63
5043 Rosa Parks Blvd 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,100 (+2%) 9mo $124,900 $114 58
3532 Moore Pl Pl 0.54mi 3/1.5 1,181 (+9%) 1mo $12,000 $10 56
6050 16th St 0.65mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,086 (+0%) 23mo $265,000 $244 40
6080 16th St 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,160 (+7%) 23mo $119,000 $103 37
2681 Nebraska St 0.65mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,238 (+14%) 20mo $189,700 $153 18

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
86.5%
Equity multiple
4.99×
Total profit
$44,703
Equity at exit
$5,964
10-year hold
IRR
89.6%
Equity multiple
10.38×
Total profit
$105,083
Equity at exit
$3,458

Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48208

Home prices YoY
-5.9%
Active inventory
184
Price-to-rent
2.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,503 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$210
Tax from tax record
$159 /mo · $1,903/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$316
Net cashflow
$802

Break-even live

Break-even rent $487
Max offer price $40,000
Occupancy floor 42%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,000
Closing costs
$1,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4619 16th St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 2d 1 0.46mi
6077 Linwood St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1200 $2,000 $1.67 43d 1 0.55mi
1493 W Grand Blvd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1250 $1,145 $0.92 43d 1 0.70mi
1565 W Grand Blvd Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 910 $700 $0.77 21d 1 0.71mi
1565 W Grand Blvd Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 910 $700 $0.77 24d 1 0.71mi
6144 16th St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1284 $1,200 $0.93 43d 1 0.71mi
3998 15th St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,300 $1.08 43d 1 0.72mi
4848 Commonwealth St Unit 4 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 710 $1,245 $1.75 43d 1 0.86mi
6183 Hecla St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 24d 1 0.97mi
4426 McGraw Ave Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,200 $0.86 43d 1 0.99mi
3984 Commonwealth St Unit B Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,400 $2.18 24d 1 1.06mi
3309 14th St Detroit, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 942 $2,230 $2.37 1d 11 1.11mi
4016 Hogarth St Unit 4018 Hogarth Lower Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 3d 1 1.11mi
6307 Woodrow St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $750 $0.75 43d 1 1.13mi
7340 Churchill St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1046 $1,100 $1.05 24d 1 1.14mi
2835 23rd St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,450 $1.32 16d 1 1.21mi
1800 W Bethune St Unit 1228665P Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 904 $3,135 $3.47 43d 1 1.24mi
4566 Seebaldt St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 21d 1 1.24mi
1800 W Bethune St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 656 $1,645 $2.51 24d 3 1.24mi
1800 W Bethune St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,850 $2.31 43d 1 1.24mi
2047 Seward St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1421 $1,523 $1.07 5d 1 1.30mi
7640 Woodrow Wilson St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1095 $1,400 $1.28 43d 1 1.31mi
2504 W Euclid St Unit 2504 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1475 $1,650 $1.12 43d 1 1.36mi
944 W Alexandrine St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,950 $1.77 43d 1 1.36mi
2506 W Euclid St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1475 $1,675 $1.14 43d 1 1.36mi
2504 W Euclid St Unit 2506 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1475 $1,675 $1.14 43d 1 1.36mi
3143 Trumbull Unit 301 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,650 $1.65 21d 1 1.37mi
3259 W Philadelphia St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1293 $1,400 $1.08 16d 1 1.38mi
5440 Milford St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,150 $1.35 43d 1 1.41mi
1974 Virginia Park St Detroit, MI 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,995 $1.66 43d 1 1.42mi
701 W Canfield St Unit 4 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 1094 $3,000 $2.74 43d 1 1.43mi
701 W Canfield St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 1144 $3,250 $2.84 43d 1 1.43mi
677 W Canfield St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 1200 $2,750 $2.29 17d 1 1.45mi
4345 W Euclid St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,450 $1.12 24d 1 1.45mi
4345 W Euclid St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,400 $1.08 24d 1 1.45mi
669 W Canfield St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 2.0 1500 $2,400 $1.60 43d 1 1.46mi
2531 Pingree St Unit 2 (FL 2) Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 893 $1,100 $1.23 2d 1 1.46mi
4709 2nd Ave Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 672 $1,350 $2.01 1d 2 1.46mi
1710 Virginia Park St Detroit, MI 2.0 2.0 1350 $1,300 $0.96 5d 1 1.48mi
675 W Willis St Detroit, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0 631 $1,695 $2.69 1d 4 1.48mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $40,000 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $40,000 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $40,000 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $40,000 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $40,000 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $40,000 Active 36 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $40,000 Active 35 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $40,000 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $40,000 Active 31 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $40,000 Active 30 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $40,000 Active 29 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $40,000 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $40,000 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-05-04
    listed $40,000 Active 270-char remark
    Show marketing remark (270 chars)

    Here is an investment opportunity in Detroit's Core City. 3BR bungalow in need of full rehab. Good candidate to flip or fix up and rent. Verdant block with very few structures. Lots of development happening in this area. Minutes from Corktown, Midtown, Downtown Detroit.

  15. 2026-05-04
    listed $40,000 Active 270-char remark
    Show marketing remark (270 chars)

    Here is an investment opportunity in Detroit's Core City. 3BR bungalow in need of full rehab. Good candidate to flip or fix up and rent. Verdant block with very few structures. Lots of development happening in this area. Minutes from Corktown, Midtown, Downtown Detroit.

  16. 2019-04-16
    soldstatus $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,903 · $159/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,903 · $159/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,035
− Mortgage interest
−$2,241
− Property taxes
−$1,903
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,443
− Management
−$1,443
− Depreciation
−$1,164
Taxable income
$9,642
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,314
After-tax cash flow
$7,313/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
8,037
Household income
$36,194
Rent vs Own
65.7% rent · 34.3% own
Severe rent burden
601.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 23% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -10.56%
Current HPI
168.8907
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-20.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $40,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $40,000 REALCOMP
  • 2019-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+11.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,903 · +38.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…