27 W Orchard Pl · Muncie, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Lots of space in this 3 bedroom 2 full bath home with a large detached garage. This home has tons of potential and is a great location in downtown Muncie only one block from the Horizon Convention Center. Day of closing possession.
Key facts
- Great location
- Detached garage
- 4,792 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with about 2.5 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family site-built home; 2 stories
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 45 x 111
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating with forced air; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Fireplace in the family room; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $489 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 6.0% in Muncie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#18 in IN, #1,654 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Muncie Community Schools (urban): math 18% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #275 of 301 in IN (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Northside Middle School (math 17% / reading 36%, grade F, #236 of 330 statewide, top 72%, 583 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools at 70% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 26 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 171 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (57 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($36k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.3% local appreciation)).
- Delaware County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.3% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $55k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.84% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.01%
- DSCR
- 2.34
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $54,142
- List price
- $69,900
- Delta
- 29.10%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 725 W Charles St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,548 (-9%) | 6mo | $140,000 | $55 | 65 |
| 517 E Charles St | 0.53mi | 4/1.5 | 2,794 (-0%) | 17mo | $189,900 | $68 | 58 |
| 1201 S Elm St | 0.52mi | 5/1.5 (+1) | 2,524 (-10%) | 12mo | $90,000 | $36 | 42 |
| 610 W Beechwood Ave | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 | 2,632 (-6%) | 18mo | $135,000 | $51 | 41 |
| 625 N Mulberry St | 0.72mi | 4/3.5 | 2,700 (-4%) | 18mo | $210,000 | $78 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.27% appreciation · 3.27% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.49×
- Total profit
- $48,775
- Equity at exit
- $40,782
- IRR
- 37.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.17×
- Total profit
- $120,790
- Equity at exit
- $71,372
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47305
- Home prices YoY
- 2.0%
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 26
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,283 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$128 /mo · $1,542/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$269
- Net cashflow
- $489
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $529 | -5% $509 | +0% $489 | +5% $470 | +10% $450 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $388 | -5% $439 | +0% $489 | +5% $540 | +10% $591 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $525 | -0.5pp $507 | base $489 | +0.5pp $471 | +1.0pp $453 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-07status Pending 231-char remark
-
2026-04-30$69,900 Active 231-char remark
-
2026-01-05status Pending
-
2025-09-27$77,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,542 · $128/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,542 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,396
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$1,542
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,232
- − Management
- −$1,232
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $5,092
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,222
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,651/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Muncie Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1807320
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,052
- Composite
- 17.22/100
- National rank
- #9099
- State rank
- #275 of 301 in IN
Livability — Muncie
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #1654
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Muncie, IN
- County
- Delaware County · 84,658 people
- City population
- 84,658
- Metro
- Muncie, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,556
- Household income
- $36,389
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 336.0
Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 113,036 people
- By 2030
- 111,313 · -1.5%
- By 2040
- 106,432 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 100,747 · -10.9%
- By 2075
- 91,000 · -19.5%
- By 2100
- 80,687 · -28.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Two or more races 24% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Delaware
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.8) · D 41.2% · R 57.0% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.8pp toward R · 2008: 15.0pp · 2024: -15.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.8 2020: R+13.2 2016: R+13.7 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+15.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.27%
- Current HPI
- 269.888
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.27%
- Metro
- Muncie, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-29.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Sold (MLS) $55,000 IRMLS
- 2026-05-07 Pending — IRMLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $69,900 IRMLS
- 2026-01-05 Pending — IRMLS
- 2025-09-27 Listed $77,900 IRMLS
Property tax history
-0.5%/yrLatest (2024): $1,542 · +9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…