🏷️ Likely Rental
23702 Prince Lawrence Ct · Houston, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +6.7/30.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- DSCR +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$368,452
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
BUY DIRECT FROM OWNER, NO BANKS. There’s no need for SSN or credit score to qualify, just steady income and the desire to own. It’s that simple. At closing, you become the homeowner. Spacious 6-bedroom, 3.5-bath two-story grey brick home located in the Williamsburg Parish community in Katy. Ideal for large or growing families, this home offers a functional layout with ample living space. Property is being sold as-is, with a new roof to be installed prior to closing and recent AC work already completed. Situated in a quiet neighborhood featuring a community pool, park, and walking trails leading to a scenic pond. Located in the highly regarded Katy ISD with convenient access to nearby parks, shopping, and major employment hubs. Katy is a rapidly growing area known for strong schools and expanding opportunities. Seller is downsizing and open to working with buyers, including potential lease options.
Key facts
- Scenic pond
- Community pool
- Katy isd
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $368k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-585 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $265k (28.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $292k (20.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $265k (28.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 3.1% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Katy ISD (suburban): math 61% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #29 of 826 in TX (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 2728 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($346k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.80%
- DSCR
- 0.70
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $516,390
- List price
- $368,452
- Delta
- -28.65%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23315 Persimmon Creek Ln | 0.22mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 3,668 (-2%) | 4mo | $568,775 | $155 | 78 |
| 23507 Persimmon Creek Ln | 0.24mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 3,603 (-4%) | 7mo | $526,990 | $146 | 72 |
| 2515 Red Hickory Dr | 0.27mi | 5/4.5 | 4,023 (+8%) | 0mo | $589,000 | $146 | 70 |
| 23407 Persimmon Creek Ln | 0.22mi | 5/4.5 | 4,023 (+8%) | 5mo | $566,990 | $141 | 69 |
| 23411 Persimmon Creek Ln | 0.22mi | 4/4.5 (-1) | 3,525 (-6%) | 6mo | $545,590 | $155 | 66 |
| 2938 Belle Tree Ln | 0.63mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 3,668 (-2%) | 1mo | $564,990 | $154 | 62 |
| 2622 Red Hickory Dr | 0.38mi | 5/4.5 | 4,023 (+8%) | 6mo | $585,290 | $145 | 61 |
| 23714 Sweet Acacia Trl | 0.63mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 3,700 (-1%) | 4mo | $439,900 | $119 | 60 |
| 23342 Hemlock Tree Ln | 0.61mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 3,668 (-2%) | 4mo | $562,775 | $153 | 60 |
| 2606 Red Hickory Dr | 0.33mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 3,394 (-9%) | 6mo | $523,855 | $154 | 59 |
| 2527 Velvet Woods Ln | 0.43mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 3,358 (-10%) | 7mo | $499,900 | $149 | 53 |
| 24219 Camillia Ridge Way | 0.66mi | 5/3.5 | 3,410 (-9%) | 3mo | $310,000 | $91 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -32.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.02×
- Total profit
- $-105,243
- Equity at exit
- $54,937
- IRR
- -62.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.66×
- Total profit
- $-171,634
- Equity at exit
- $31,857
Cash invested: $103,167 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77493
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 2728
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,922 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,932
- Tax from tax record
- −$765 /mo · $9,182/yr
- Insurance
- −$154
- HOA
- −$42
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$614
- Net cashflow
- $-585
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-376 | -5% $-480 | +0% $-585 | +5% $-689 | +10% $-793 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-815 | -5% $-700 | +0% $-585 | +5% $-469 | +10% $-354 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-399 | -0.5pp $-491 | base $-585 | +0.5pp $-680 | +1.0pp $-777 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $92,113
- Closing costs
- $11,054
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2222 Princess Snow Cir Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2958 | $2,425 | $0.82 | 13d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 3106 Thicket Path Way Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 3086 | $2,121 | $0.69 | 13d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3222 Tall Sycamore Trl Katy, TX | 6.0 | 3.5 | 3761 | $3,200 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3235 Quarry Place Ln Katy, TX | 5.0 | 4.0 | 3988 | $3,400 | $0.85 | 0d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1739 Palmetto Park Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2998 | $3,100 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $42 · $504/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $368,452 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $368,452 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $368,452 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $368,452 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $368,452 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $368,452 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $368,452 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $368,452 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $368,452 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $368,452 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $368,452 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $368,452 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $368,452 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $368,452 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-04-17$368,452 Active 922-char remark
Show marketing remark (922 chars)
BUY DIRECT FROM OWNER, NO BANKS. There’s no need for SSN or credit score to qualify, just steady income and the desire to own. It’s that simple. At closing, you become the homeowner. Spacious 6-bedroom, 3.5-bath two-story grey brick home located in the Williamsburg Parish community in Katy. Ideal for large or growing families, this home offers a functional layout with ample living space. Property is being sold as-is, with a new roof to be installed prior to closing and recent AC work already completed. Situated in a quiet neighborhood featuring a community pool, park, and walking trails leading to a scenic pond. Located in the highly regarded Katy ISD with convenient access to nearby parks, shopping, and major employment hubs. Katy is a rapidly growing area known for strong schools and expanding opportunities. Seller is downsizing and open to working with buyers, including potential lease options.
-
2026-04-09soldstatus
-
2021-12-30soldstatus
-
2021-05-28soldstatus
-
2021-05-12soldstatus Sold 893-char remark
Show marketing remark (893 chars)
Welcome home to 23702 Prince Lawerence Court located in the community of Williamsburg Parish and zoned to Katy ISD. This stunning home features 6 bedrooms, 3 full baths, 1 half bath and an attached 3 car garage. Entertain your guests and family in the formal dining. The chef's kitchen features white cabinetry with quartz countertops, separate kitchen island and SS appliances. The family room includes a gorgeous fireplace with mantel, and large windows allowing the natural light to shine through. End your days in the spacious master suite. The master bath includes a large walk-in shower, double sinks and walk-in closet with shelving. Come upstairs where you will find 5 secondary bedrooms and game room. Don't forget to step out back for a view of the extended patio and backyard. You don't want to miss all this home has to offer! Check out the 3D tour and schedule your showing today!
-
2021-05-07status Pending 893-char remark
Show marketing remark (893 chars)
Welcome home to 23702 Prince Lawerence Court located in the community of Williamsburg Parish and zoned to Katy ISD. This stunning home features 6 bedrooms, 3 full baths, 1 half bath and an attached 3 car garage. Entertain your guests and family in the formal dining. The chef's kitchen features white cabinetry with quartz countertops, separate kitchen island and SS appliances. The family room includes a gorgeous fireplace with mantel, and large windows allowing the natural light to shine through. End your days in the spacious master suite. The master bath includes a large walk-in shower, double sinks and walk-in closet with shelving. Come upstairs where you will find 5 secondary bedrooms and game room. Don't forget to step out back for a view of the extended patio and backyard. You don't want to miss all this home has to offer! Check out the 3D tour and schedule your showing today!
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2021-04-28status Option Pending 893-char remark
Show marketing remark (893 chars)
Welcome home to 23702 Prince Lawerence Court located in the community of Williamsburg Parish and zoned to Katy ISD. This stunning home features 6 bedrooms, 3 full baths, 1 half bath and an attached 3 car garage. Entertain your guests and family in the formal dining. The chef's kitchen features white cabinetry with quartz countertops, separate kitchen island and SS appliances. The family room includes a gorgeous fireplace with mantel, and large windows allowing the natural light to shine through. End your days in the spacious master suite. The master bath includes a large walk-in shower, double sinks and walk-in closet with shelving. Come upstairs where you will find 5 secondary bedrooms and game room. Don't forget to step out back for a view of the extended patio and backyard. You don't want to miss all this home has to offer! Check out the 3D tour and schedule your showing today!
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2021-04-22$330,000 Active 893-char remark
Show marketing remark (893 chars)
Welcome home to 23702 Prince Lawerence Court located in the community of Williamsburg Parish and zoned to Katy ISD. This stunning home features 6 bedrooms, 3 full baths, 1 half bath and an attached 3 car garage. Entertain your guests and family in the formal dining. The chef's kitchen features white cabinetry with quartz countertops, separate kitchen island and SS appliances. The family room includes a gorgeous fireplace with mantel, and large windows allowing the natural light to shine through. End your days in the spacious master suite. The master bath includes a large walk-in shower, double sinks and walk-in closet with shelving. Come upstairs where you will find 5 secondary bedrooms and game room. Don't forget to step out back for a view of the extended patio and backyard. You don't want to miss all this home has to offer! Check out the 3D tour and schedule your showing today!
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2001-01-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $9,182 · $765/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,182 · $765/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,063
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,639
- − Property taxes
- −$9,182
- − Insurance
- −$1,842
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,805
- − Management
- −$2,805
- − HOA
- −$504
- − Depreciation
- −$10,719
- Taxable loss
- −$13,433
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,224
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,791/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Katy ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4825170
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $90,312
- Composite
- 56.59/100
- National rank
- #1146
- State rank
- #29 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 71,484
- Household income
- $118,464
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 913.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 36% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 16% Black 15% Asian 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 22% Vietnamese 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -140.65%
- Current HPI
- 233.1683
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.80%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+11.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Listed $368,452 HARMLS
- 2026-04-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-12-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-05-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-05-12 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2021-05-07 Pending — HARMLS
- 2021-04-28 Pending — HARMLS
- 2021-04-22 Listed $330,000 HARMLS
- 2001-01-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $9,182 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…