1258 S Blackhawk Ave · Freeport, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.7/30.0
- ARV discount +9.2/15.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Sharp Home with 3 Levels - Great Kitchen - 2 Amazing Bathrooms - 2 Bedrooms are Tandem, Basement is Usable, Fenced Yard, Updated Windows, Fresh Paint, 3 Spaces Wide Concrete Driveway, Great Landscaping. Must See!
Key facts
- Great sized kitchen
- Fenced yard
- Good outdoor space
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area source: Assessor; Approximate total finished area reported as 1,781 sq ft; Lower level approx. 220 sq ft, main level approx. 1,041 sq ft, upper level approx. 520 sq ft; Parcel number 18143138401800
- Financial info: Special service area: No
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (concrete) — 1 garage space, 1 total parking space; Garage owned
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story layout; Fee simple ownership; Built over 100 years ago; Asphalt roof; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof; Home built before 1978
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 78 x 105; Lot smaller than 0.25 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (Master bedroom on main level); Second-level bedrooms include two bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Basement has a bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Unfinished and partial basement; 8 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $260 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 5.8% in Freeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#302 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, commute F, employment F.
- Freeport SD 145 (town): math 11% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #565 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 197 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7 units permitted in Stephenson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Stephenson County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $79k; list at $125k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.91%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $130,013
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1442 S Blackhawk Ave | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,720 (-3%) | 2mo | $66,250 | $39 | 78 |
| 1437 S Walnut Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,700 (-4%) | 1mo | $153,000 | $90 | 72 |
| 1427 S Blackhawk | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,892 (+6%) | 1mo | $138,000 | $73 | 71 |
| 327 W Garfield St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,650 (-7%) | 2mo | $124,900 | $76 | 64 |
| 19 E Pershing St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,784 (+0%) | 6mo | $53,025 | $30 | 64 |
| 1413 S Locust Ave | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 2,013 (+13%) | 6mo | $155,000 | $77 | 56 |
| 1506 S Walnut Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,534 (-14%) | 2mo | $144,900 | $94 | 54 |
| 1231 S Float Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,734 (-3%) | 1mo | $43,000 | $25 | 53 |
| 509 W Roosevelt St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,992 (+12%) | 7mo | $165,000 | $83 | 50 |
| 1468 S Float Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,682 (-6%) | 4mo | $65,000 | $39 | 45 |
| 826 W Chestnut St | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,526 (-14%) | 5mo | $51,500 | $34 | 42 |
| 1614 S Carroll Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,980 (+11%) | 2mo | $95,000 | $48 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-3,676
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $18,224
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61032
- Home prices YoY
- -19.5%
- Active inventory
- 197
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,435 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$166 /mo · $1,994/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$301
- Net cashflow
- $260
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $331 | -5% $295 | +0% $260 | +5% $224 | +10% $189 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $147 | -5% $203 | +0% $260 | +5% $317 | +10% $373 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $323 | -0.5pp $292 | base $260 | +0.5pp $227 | +1.0pp $195 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 742 W Homer St Freeport, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1434 | $1,325 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 404 E Prospect Ter Freeport, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2560 | $1,525 | $0.60 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 434 1/2 S State Ave Freeport, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2544 | $1,595 | $0.63 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 320 W Clark St Freeport, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1509 | $1,395 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 435 N Apple Ave Freeport, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,450 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending
-
2026-05-11$125,000 Active
-
2021-09-08soldstatus $78,850
-
2021-09-03soldstatus $83,000 Closed 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Sharp Home with 3 Levels - Great Kitchen - 2 Amazing Bathrooms - 2 Bedrooms are Tandem, Basement is Usable, Fenced Yard, Updated Windows, Fresh Paint, 3 Spaces Wide Concrete Driveway, Great Landscaping. Must See!
-
2021-09-03soldstatus $83,000 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Sharp Home with 3 Levels - Great Kitchen - 2 Amazing Bathrooms - 2 Bedrooms are Tandem, Basement is Usable, Fenced Yard, Updated Windows, Fresh Paint, 3 Spaces Wide Concrete Driveway, Great Landscaping. Must See!
-
2021-07-15status Pending 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Sharp Home with 3 Levels - Great Kitchen - 2 Amazing Bathrooms - 2 Bedrooms are Tandem, Basement is Usable, Fenced Yard, Updated Windows, Fresh Paint, 3 Spaces Wide Concrete Driveway, Great Landscaping. Must See!
-
2021-07-14price $79,900 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Sharp Home with 3 Levels - Great Kitchen - 2 Amazing Bathrooms - 2 Bedrooms are Tandem, Basement is Usable, Fenced Yard, Updated Windows, Fresh Paint, 3 Spaces Wide Concrete Driveway, Great Landscaping. Must See!
-
2021-07-02$82,500 New 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Sharp Home with 3 Levels - Great Kitchen - 2 Amazing Bathrooms - 2 Bedrooms are Tandem, Basement is Usable, Fenced Yard, Updated Windows, Fresh Paint, 3 Spaces Wide Concrete Driveway, Great Landscaping. Must See!
-
2021-07-02$79,900 213-char remark
Show marketing remark (213 chars)
Sharp Home with 3 Levels - Great Kitchen - 2 Amazing Bathrooms - 2 Bedrooms are Tandem, Basement is Usable, Fenced Yard, Updated Windows, Fresh Paint, 3 Spaces Wide Concrete Driveway, Great Landscaping. Must See!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,994 · $166/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,416 · $201/mo
- Expected delta
- +$422/yr (+$35/mo · 21.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,220
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,994
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,378
- − Management
- −$1,378
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $1,207
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$290
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,829/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Freeport SD 145
- NCES district ID
- 1715900
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,803
- Composite
- 9.89/100
- National rank
- #9821
- State rank
- #565 of 620 in IL
Livability — Freeport
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #302
- US rank
- #5927
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Freeport, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,072
Population outlook (Stephenson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 41,802 people
- By 2030
- 39,487 · -5.5%
- By 2040
- 34,534 · -17.4%
- By 2050
- 29,693 · -29.0%
- By 2075
- 21,196 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 14,596 · -65.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 12% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Stephenson
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.4) · D 39.5% · R 58.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.1pp toward R · 2008: 6.7pp · 2024: -19.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.4 2020: R+15.7 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+4.6 2008: D+6.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.75%
- Current HPI
- 163.677
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+56.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-11 Listed $125,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-09-08 Sold (Public Records) $78,850 Public Records
- 2021-09-03 Sold (MLS) $83,000 NWIAR
- 2021-09-03 Sold (MLS) $83,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-15 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-14 Price Changed $79,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-02 Listed $82,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-02 Listed $79,900 NWIAR
Property tax history
+7.7%/yrLatest (2024): $1,994 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…