1103 Bryan Ave · Columbus, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 69.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.8/30.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$87,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move in 2 Bedroom 1 Bathroom home. This home features a great sized living room, dining room, kitchen and a bonus/flex space too. Newer appliances and LVP flooring. New vanity in bathroom. Fireplace in living room for decorative purposes only.
Key facts
- Kitchen
- Living room
- Newer appliances
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $88k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $268 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $88k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 4.7% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#254 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities D+, schools F, crime F.
- Muscogee County (urban): math 21% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #120 of 174 in GA (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 118 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 291 units permitted in Muscogee County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $605 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Muscogee County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.12%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $62,204
- List price
- $87,500
- Delta
- 40.67%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2309 Bell St | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,187 (-4%) | 1mo | $32,000 | $27 | 82 |
| 2427 Marion St | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (+9%) | 5mo | $104,000 | $77 | 68 |
| 2801 8th St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,245 (+0%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $100 | 63 |
| 2812 8th St | 0.69mi | 3/2.5 | 1,257 (+1%) | 2mo | $149,000 | $119 | 58 |
| 2505 Heard St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,158 (-7%) | 2mo | $42,000 | $36 | 56 |
| 2810 Thomas St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,161 (-7%) | 5mo | $90,000 | $78 | 54 |
| 1081 Rigdon Rd | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,342 (+8%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $48 | 54 |
| 2716 Marion St | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,414 (+14%) | 5mo | $80,000 | $57 | 50 |
| 2416 Amos St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,421 (+14%) | 3mo | $56,000 | $39 | 48 |
| 2822 Colorado St | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,120 (-10%) | 2mo | $41,000 | $37 | 46 |
| 2911 Thomas St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+13%) | 4mo | $35,000 | $25 | 41 |
| 2415 - 2417 6th St | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,377 (+11%) | 4mo | $156,000 | $113 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $5,017
- Equity at exit
- $13,047
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.45×
- Total profit
- $35,433
- Equity at exit
- $7,565
Cash invested: $24,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31906
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 118
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,131 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$459
- Tax from tax record
- −$130 /mo · $1,561/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$237
- Net cashflow
- $268
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $317 | -5% $293 | +0% $268 | +5% $243 | +10% $218 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $179 | -5% $223 | +0% $268 | +5% $312 | +10% $357 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $312 | -0.5pp $290 | base $268 | +0.5pp $245 | +1.0pp $222 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,875
- Closing costs
- $2,625
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1111 Henry Ave Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1407 | $1,200 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 1219 Eberhart Ave Unit 2 Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1258 Cedar Ave Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,400 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2724 9th St Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $875 | $0.97 | 14d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2728 9th St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $865 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1514 Forest Ave Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1128 | $840 | $0.74 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2801 Fern St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $975 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2201 Heard St Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1005 | $975 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2750 Mimosa St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1357 | $1,250 | $0.92 | 14d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1521 Dixon Dr Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2834 Mimosa St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1257 | $1,100 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 564 Chesterfield Ave Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,100 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1401 Coffee Ct Columbus, GA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1444 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 21d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 822 Ragland Ct Unit B Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $875 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3128 Carver St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $925 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3128 Carver St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,000 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3309 10th St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $950 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2983 Buena Vista Rd Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $735 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1815 17th Ave Apt 7 Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 937 | $1,040 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1021 Adair Ave Unit 12 Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,050 | $1.18 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1345 18th St Unit 3 Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $700 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1033 Martin Luther King Junior Blvd Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 935 | $1,000 | $1.07 | 14d | 3 | 1.19mi |
| 3503 Ruben St Columbus, GA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1054 | $1,100 | $1.04 | 14d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1540 11th Ave Unit 1540 Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $750 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1503 11th Ave Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $1,200 | $0.88 | 14d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1527 11th Ave Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,000 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1400 Boxwood Blvd Columbus, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1262 | $1,355 | $1.07 | 14d | 6 | 1.36mi |
| 2602 Garden Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,175 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 2630 Garden Dr Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $755 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1344 24th St Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $775 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $87,500 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $87,500 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $87,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $87,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $87,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $87,500 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $87,500 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $87,500 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $87,500 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $87,500 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $87,500 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $87,500 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $87,500 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $87,500 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $87,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $87,500 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $87,500 243-char remark
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
Move in 2 Bedroom 1 Bathroom home. This home features a great sized living room, dining room, kitchen and a bonus/flex space too. Newer appliances and LVP flooring. New vanity in bathroom. Fireplace in living room for decorative purposes only.
-
2026-05-18price $87,500 243-char remark
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
Move in 2 Bedroom 1 Bathroom home. This home features a great sized living room, dining room, kitchen and a bonus/flex space too. Newer appliances and LVP flooring. New vanity in bathroom. Fireplace in living room for decorative purposes only.
-
2026-04-14status Active 243-char remark
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
Move in 2 Bedroom 1 Bathroom home. This home features a great sized living room, dining room, kitchen and a bonus/flex space too. Newer appliances and LVP flooring. New vanity in bathroom. Fireplace in living room for decorative purposes only.
-
2026-04-14$90,000 New 243-char remark
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
Move in 2 Bedroom 1 Bathroom home. This home features a great sized living room, dining room, kitchen and a bonus/flex space too. Newer appliances and LVP flooring. New vanity in bathroom. Fireplace in living room for decorative purposes only.
-
2026-03-28historical 243-char remark
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
Move in 2 Bedroom 1 Bathroom home. This home features a great sized living room, dining room, kitchen and a bonus/flex space too. Newer appliances and LVP flooring. New vanity in bathroom. Fireplace in living room for decorative purposes only.
-
2026-03-24status Pending 243-char remark
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
Move in 2 Bedroom 1 Bathroom home. This home features a great sized living room, dining room, kitchen and a bonus/flex space too. Newer appliances and LVP flooring. New vanity in bathroom. Fireplace in living room for decorative purposes only.
-
2026-03-20$90,000 Active 243-char remark
Show marketing remark (243 chars)
Move in 2 Bedroom 1 Bathroom home. This home features a great sized living room, dining room, kitchen and a bonus/flex space too. Newer appliances and LVP flooring. New vanity in bathroom. Fireplace in living room for decorative purposes only.
-
2024-11-26historical $1,100
-
2024-10-27$1,100
-
2024-01-01historical $950
-
2023-12-18price $950
-
2023-09-23price $1,000
-
2023-06-22soldstatus $115,000 Closed
-
2023-06-06historical
-
2023-06-06$115,000
-
2018-06-12soldstatus $170,000
-
2018-02-01$42,600
-
2013-12-24soldstatus $142,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,561 · $130/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,561 · $130/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,568
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,901
- − Property taxes
- −$1,561
- − Insurance
- −$438
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,085
- − Management
- −$1,085
- − Depreciation
- −$2,545
- Taxable income
- $1,952
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$468
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,746/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Muscogee County
- NCES district ID
- 1303870
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,176
- Composite
- 21.6/100
- National rank
- #8297
- State rank
- #120 of 174 in GA
Livability — Columbus
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #254
- US rank
- #14102
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbus, GA
- County
- Muscogee County · 180,764 people
- City population
- 180,764
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,400
- Household income
- $44,965
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1003.0
Population outlook (Muscogee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 216,729 people
- By 2030
- 224,504 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 238,318 · +10.0%
- By 2050
- 249,027 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 264,862 · +22.2%
- By 2100
- 254,786 · +17.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 64% White 28% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Muscogee
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 61.4% · R 38.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.7pp toward D · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+18.6 2012: D+21.3 2008: D+19.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.49%
- Current HPI
- 113.2749
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.82%
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
-38.4% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $87,500 CBOR
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $87,500 GAMLS
- 2026-04-14 Relisted — CBOR
- 2026-04-14 Listed $90,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-28 Delisted — CBOR
- 2026-03-24 Pending — CBOR
- 2026-03-20 Listed $90,000 CBOR
- 2024-11-26 Rental Removed $1,100 RENT.
- 2024-10-27 Listed for Rent $1,100 RENT.
- 2024-01-01 Rental Removed $950 APPFOLIO
- 2023-12-18 Price Changed $950 APPFOLIO
- 2023-09-23 Price Changed $1,000 APPFOLIO
- 2023-06-22 Sold (MLS) $115,000 CGMLS
- 2023-06-06 Listed $115,000 CGMLS
- 2023-06-06 Delisted — CGMLS
- 2018-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
- 2018-02-01 Listed $42,600 CBOR
- 2013-12-24 Sold (Public Records) $142,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,561 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…