6623 Sleepy Hollow Blvd · Springfield, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
November promo ? No Rent Until 1/1! Ends Nov 30th, 2025!This home is available for immediate occupancy. Apply today and enjoy waived application fees with promo code 930RENT50OFF. Plus, pay no rent until Jan 1st, 2026 ? but hurry, this special offer ends November 30th, 2025!Looking to purchase instead of rent?Homeowners receive:No site rent until 2026$0 security depositWaived application feesIn-house financing to make the process simple and stress-freeAll homes are located in the beautiful Oak Hill Estates community in Holly, Michigan. Interested in this home? Contact us today:mshewmaker@yescommunities. com248-634-4444 ext. 1
Key facts
- Built 2025
- Listed 231 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#472 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Holly Area School District (town): math 31% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #165 of 540 in MI (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 157 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 231 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 231 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 41.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 125.98%
- DSCR
- 6.61
- GRM
- 1.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.11×
- Total profit
- $68,433
- Equity at exit
- $5,964
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 14.94×
- Total profit
- $156,131
- Equity at exit
- $3,458
Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48442
- Active inventory
- 157
- Price-to-rent
- 1.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,838 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$210
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$50 /mo · $600/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$386
- Net cashflow
- $1,176
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,203 | -5% $1,190 | +0% $1,176 | +5% $1,162 | +10% $1,148 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,031 | -5% $1,103 | +0% $1,176 | +5% $1,248 | +10% $1,321 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,196 | -0.5pp $1,186 | base $1,176 | +0.5pp $1,165 | +1.0pp $1,155 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,000
- Closing costs
- $1,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16971 Sleepy Hollow Blvd Holly, MI | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1246 | $1,449 | $1.16 | 0d | 1 | 0.07mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-08days on market $39,999 Active 231 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $39,999 Active 230 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $39,999 Active 227 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $39,999 Active 226 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $39,999 Active 225 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $39,999 Active 224 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $39,999 Active 223 DOM
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2025-12-05status Active 633-char remark
Show marketing remark (633 chars)
November promo ? No Rent Until 1/1! Ends Nov 30th, 2025!This home is available for immediate occupancy. Apply today and enjoy waived application fees with promo code 930RENT50OFF. Plus, pay no rent until Jan 1st, 2026 ? but hurry, this special offer ends November 30th, 2025!Looking to purchase instead of rent?Homeowners receive:No site rent until 2026$0 security depositWaived application feesIn-house financing to make the process simple and stress-freeAll homes are located in the beautiful Oak Hill Estates community in Holly, Michigan. Interested in this home? Contact us today:mshewmaker@yescommunities. com248-634-4444 ext. 1
-
2025-12-05historical 633-char remark
Show marketing remark (633 chars)
November promo ? No Rent Until 1/1! Ends Nov 30th, 2025!This home is available for immediate occupancy. Apply today and enjoy waived application fees with promo code 930RENT50OFF. Plus, pay no rent until Jan 1st, 2026 ? but hurry, this special offer ends November 30th, 2025!Looking to purchase instead of rent?Homeowners receive:No site rent until 2026$0 security depositWaived application feesIn-house financing to make the process simple and stress-freeAll homes are located in the beautiful Oak Hill Estates community in Holly, Michigan. Interested in this home? Contact us today:mshewmaker@yescommunities. com248-634-4444 ext. 1
-
2025-10-25status Active 633-char remark
Show marketing remark (633 chars)
November promo ? No Rent Until 1/1! Ends Nov 30th, 2025!This home is available for immediate occupancy. Apply today and enjoy waived application fees with promo code 930RENT50OFF. Plus, pay no rent until Jan 1st, 2026 ? but hurry, this special offer ends November 30th, 2025!Looking to purchase instead of rent?Homeowners receive:No site rent until 2026$0 security depositWaived application feesIn-house financing to make the process simple and stress-freeAll homes are located in the beautiful Oak Hill Estates community in Holly, Michigan. Interested in this home? Contact us today:mshewmaker@yescommunities. com248-634-4444 ext. 1
-
2025-10-08historical 633-char remark
Show marketing remark (633 chars)
November promo ? No Rent Until 1/1! Ends Nov 30th, 2025!This home is available for immediate occupancy. Apply today and enjoy waived application fees with promo code 930RENT50OFF. Plus, pay no rent until Jan 1st, 2026 ? but hurry, this special offer ends November 30th, 2025!Looking to purchase instead of rent?Homeowners receive:No site rent until 2026$0 security depositWaived application feesIn-house financing to make the process simple and stress-freeAll homes are located in the beautiful Oak Hill Estates community in Holly, Michigan. Interested in this home? Contact us today:mshewmaker@yescommunities. com248-634-4444 ext. 1
-
2025-10-03$39,999 Active 633-char remark
Show marketing remark (633 chars)
November promo ? No Rent Until 1/1! Ends Nov 30th, 2025!This home is available for immediate occupancy. Apply today and enjoy waived application fees with promo code 930RENT50OFF. Plus, pay no rent until Jan 1st, 2026 ? but hurry, this special offer ends November 30th, 2025!Looking to purchase instead of rent?Homeowners receive:No site rent until 2026$0 security depositWaived application feesIn-house financing to make the process simple and stress-freeAll homes are located in the beautiful Oak Hill Estates community in Holly, Michigan. Interested in this home? Contact us today:mshewmaker@yescommunities. com248-634-4444 ext. 1
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,059
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,241
- − Property taxes
- −$600
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,765
- − Management
- −$1,765
- − Depreciation
- −$1,164
- Taxable income
- $14,325
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,438
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,671/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos
This manufactured home is in good condition with new finishes and appliances, making it a solid investment opportunity. Potential buyers or renters will appreciate the fresh paint and new flooring.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/renters.
- Both Add a smart home system — A smart home system can increase the home's value by making it more energy-efficient and convenient for potential buyers/renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers/renters. ↑
- Both Add a smart home system — A smart home system can increase the home's value by making it more energy-efficient and convenient for potential buyers/renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Holly Area School District
- NCES district ID
- 2618450
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,137
- Composite
- 37.1/100
- National rank
- #4496
- State rank
- #165 of 540 in MI
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #472
- US rank
- #13384
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,788
- Household income
- $86,575
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 532.0
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -229.30%
- Current HPI
- 227.7078
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
5 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-05 Relisted — Zillow
- 2025-12-05 Delisted — Zillow
- 2025-10-25 Relisted — Zillow
- 2025-10-08 Delisted — Zillow
- 2025-10-03 Listed $39,999 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…