1023 Cogswell St NW · Walker, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Situated on a spacious 0.559-acre lot with a wooded backdrop, this property offers room to spread out both inside and out. Features include hardwood floors, a formal dining room, and two fireplaces that add warmth and character. The fenced backyard provides a great space for pets, play, or entertaining. An oversized two-stall garage with electricity, a large driveway, and a 24' x 30' outbuilding offer abundant storage, workshop, and hobby space. Major mechanical updates include a furnace installed in 2022 and a water heater replaced in 2020. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday amenities. Property is being sold as-is and presents an excellent opportunity for buyers looking to add their personal touches while enjoying a large lot and outstanding outbuilding space.
Key facts
- Wooded backdrop
- Large driveway
- 24 x 30 outbuilding
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Ranch-style single family home; One-story layout
- Construction: Log construction; Built in 1940
- Exterior features: Lot is approximately 0.56 acres; Public water
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: Fireplace; Full basement; Total of 1 room listed
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $203 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (8.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $202k (8.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.1% in Walker — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#188 in MI, #4,765 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
- Kenowa Hills Public Schools (suburban): math 33% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #205 of 540 in MI (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Kenowa Hills Middle School (math 28% / reading 44%, grade F, #269 of 493 statewide, top 56%, 623 students, 54% FRL).
- Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 86% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,253 units permitted in Kent County in 2024 (969 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kent County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.96%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $304,736
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 907 Roger St NW | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,424 (0%) | 10mo | $282,500 | $198 | 75 |
| 938 Cogswell St NW | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,514 (+6%) | 2mo | $302,000 | $199 | 73 |
| 920 Jones St NW | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,383 (-3%) | 17mo | $290,000 | $210 | 65 |
| 1035 Cogswell St NW | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,545 (+8%) | 15mo | $290,000 | $188 | 61 |
| 1817 Garfield Ave NW | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,359 (-5%) | 8mo | $305,000 | $224 | 56 |
| 2629 Miller Ave NW | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 | 1,368 (-4%) | 4mo | $325,000 | $238 | 54 |
| 1356 Harding St NW | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,505 (+6%) | 21mo | $309,000 | $205 | 48 |
| 2446 Hufford Ave NW | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-6%) | 20mo | $270,000 | $201 | 42 |
| 2723 Emerson Ave NW | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,294 (-9%) | 7mo | $325,000 | $251 | 40 |
| 2717 Valley Ave NW | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,301 (-9%) | 8mo | $301,500 | $232 | 38 |
| 2490 Bristolwood Dr NW | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,247 (-12%) | 8mo | $283,500 | $227 | 36 |
| 2700 Cornelia Ave NW | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 | 1,614 (+13%) | 14mo | $345,000 | $214 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-22,732
- Equity at exit
- $32,788
- IRR
- -0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-3,311
- Equity at exit
- $19,013
Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49544
- Home prices YoY
- -28.8%
- Active inventory
- 25
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,022 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,153
- Tax from tax record
- −$150 /mo · $1,796/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$425
- Net cashflow
- $203
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $328 | -5% $266 | +0% $203 | +5% $141 | +10% $79 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $44 | -5% $123 | +0% $203 | +5% $283 | +10% $363 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $314 | -0.5pp $259 | base $203 | +0.5pp $146 | +1.0pp $88 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,975
- Closing costs
- $6,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 873 McCarty St NW Grand Rapids, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1492 | $2,100 | $1.41 | 4d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1756 Tamarack Ave NW Grand Rapids, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,195 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 927 Arianna St NW Grand Rapids, MI | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $3,000 | $2.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1429 Quarry Ave NW Unit 1 Grand Rapids, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 734 Crosby St NW Unit 1 Grand Rapids, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1057 | $1,800 | $1.70 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1335 Hamilton Ave NW Unit 2 Grand Rapids, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1124 | $1,395 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 523 Crosby St NW Grand Rapids, MI | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1701 | $2,200 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $219,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $219,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $219,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 699-char remark
Show marketing remark (793 chars)
Situated on a spacious 0.559-acre lot with a wooded backdrop, this property offers room to spread out both inside and out. Features include hardwood floors, a formal dining room, and two fireplaces that add warmth and character. The fenced backyard provides a great space for pets, play, or entertaining. An oversized two-stall garage with electricity, a large driveway, and a 24' x 30' outbuilding offer abundant storage, workshop, and hobby space. Major mechanical updates include a furnace installed in 2022 and a water heater replaced in 2020. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday amenities. Property is being sold as-is and presents an excellent opportunity for buyers looking to add their personal touches while enjoying a large lot and outstanding outbuilding space.
-
2026-06-15$219,900 Active 1 DOM
Show marketing remark (793 chars)
Situated on a spacious 0.559-acre lot with a wooded backdrop, this property offers room to spread out both inside and out. Features include hardwood floors, a formal dining room, and two fireplaces that add warmth and character. The fenced backyard provides a great space for pets, play, or entertaining. An oversized two-stall garage with electricity, a large driveway, and a 24' x 30' outbuilding offer abundant storage, workshop, and hobby space. Major mechanical updates include a furnace installed in 2022 and a water heater replaced in 2020. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday amenities. Property is being sold as-is and presents an excellent opportunity for buyers looking to add their personal touches while enjoying a large lot and outstanding outbuilding space.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,796 · $150/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,591 · $216/mo
- Expected delta
- +$795/yr (+$66/mo · 44.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,269
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,318
- − Property taxes
- −$1,796
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,942
- − Management
- −$1,942
- − Depreciation
- −$6,397
- Taxable loss
- −$1,224
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$294
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,733/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kenowa Hills Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2620280
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,387
- Composite
- 34.36/100
- National rank
- #5221
- State rank
- #205 of 540 in MI
Livability — Walker
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #188
- US rank
- #4765
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Walker, MI
- County
- Kent County · 533,805 people
- City population
- 33,350
- Metro
- Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,631
- Household income
- $74,390
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 313.0
Population outlook (Kent County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 712,484 people
- By 2030
- 748,618 · +5.1%
- By 2040
- 814,777 · +14.4%
- By 2050
- 868,556 · +21.9%
- By 2075
- 966,487 · +35.7%
- By 2100
- 967,975 · +35.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 10% Asian 3% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 15% Romanian 10% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kent
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.4) · D 51.8% · R 46.5% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 0.5pp · 2024: 5.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.4 2020: D+6.1 2016: R+3.1 2012: R+7.9 2008: D+0.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.30%
- Current HPI
- 273.0015
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Grand Rapids-Kentwood, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $219,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-15 Listed $219,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-15 Listed $219,900 SW Michigan MLS
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,796 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…