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283 Rusling Leaf Dr
D- Composite 39.07
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +9.8/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.6/30.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$244,990

283 Rusling Leaf Dr · Lillington, NC 27526
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,418 sqft · Townhouse · 225 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition 3,484 sqft lot Garage $173/sqft · 5% below area Est $258k · 5% under $112/mo HOA · 6% of rent ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 283 Rusling Leaf Drive at Matthews Landing in Fuquay-Varina, NC. The Pearson townhome features 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and a 1-car garage that offers plenty of room for comfortable living. As you enter the townhome, you will be greeted by an open and airy living area that flows seamlessly into a well-appointed kitchen with modern appliances and a breakfast bar for casual dining. The first floor also includes a convenient half bathroom for guests. Upstairs, you will find three bedrooms, each with its own closet space and plenty of natural light. The primary bedroom features an ensuite bathroom with a walk-in shower, a double vanity, and a separate walk-in closet. The other two bedrooms share a full bathroom with a shower/tub combination. The townhome also includes a one-car garage for added storage or parking. Contact us today to learn more about the Pearson at The Townes at Matthews Landing! * Photos are not of actual home or interior features and are representative of floor plan only.

Key facts

  • $112 HOA
  • Garage
  • Community pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $245k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-211 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $214k (12.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (17.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $202k (17.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.7% in Lillington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#101 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Harnett County Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #130 of 178 in NC (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lafayette Elementary (math 50% / reading 49%, grade D, #417 of 1,410 statewide, top 32%, 625 students, 39% FRL); Harnett Central Middle (math 25% / reading 38%, grade F, #323 of 475 statewide, top 68%, 1,024 students, 63% FRL); Harnett Central High (math 43% / reading 51%, grade D-, #334 of 535 statewide, top 64%, 1,474 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 1690 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 2,080 units permitted in Harnett County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harnett County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 225 days — a 12% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $32k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $201,770 (17.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 225 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
5.26%
Cash-on-cash
-3.69%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$258,119
List price
$244,990
Delta
-5.09%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
267 Rusling Leaf Dr 0.02mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 0mo $227,220 $160 99
250 Rusling Leaf Dr 0.04mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 0mo $236,000 $166 98
45 Rusling Leaf Dr 0.04mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 0mo $227,160 $160 98
246 Rusling Leaf Dr 0.05mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 1mo $237,095 $167 97
271 Rusling Leaf Dr 0.01mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 4mo $249,990 $176 96
138 Rusling Leaf Dr 0.29mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 4mo $251,582 $177 83
31 Rusling Leaf Dr 0.38mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 2mo $239,990 $169 81
150 Rusling Leaf Dr 0.38mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 4mo $275,000 $194 79
11 Rusling Leaf Dr 0.38mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 4mo $258,859 $183 79
146 Rusling Leaf Dr 0.38mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 5mo $257,000 $181 79
21 Rusling Leaf Dr 0.38mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 5mo $245,000 $173 78
76 March Creek Dr 0.30mi 3/2.5 1,510 (+6%) 4mo $225,000 $149 72

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.3%
Equity multiple
0.23×
Total profit
$-52,800
Equity at exit
$36,529
10-year hold
IRR
-16.0%
Equity multiple
0.10×
Total profit
$-61,882
Equity at exit
$21,182

Cash invested: $68,597 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
18 active · 15 under contract
Months of supply
8.3 mo (12%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$244,990 ($173/sqft)
Median days on market
117 d
This list price
33% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+5.4% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 27526

Home prices YoY
-33.0%
Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
1690
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,018 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,285
Tax est. 1.5%
$306 /mo · $3,675/yr
Insurance
$102
HOA
$112
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$424
Net cashflow
$-211

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,285
Max offer price $214,445
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-42 -5% $-126 +0% $-211 +5% $-296 +10% $-380
Rent -10% $-370 -5% $-291 +0% $-211 +5% $-131 +10% $-52
Rate -1.0pp $-88 -0.5pp $-149 base $-211 +0.5pp $-275 +1.0pp $-339

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,248
Closing costs
$7,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
131 River Bank Rd Fuquay Varina, NC 4.0 2.5 1675 $1,995 $1.19 6d 1 0.20mi
23 March Creek Dr Fuquay Varina, NC 3.0 2.5 1418 $1,625 $1.15 6d 1 0.26mi
18 March Creek Dr Fuquay Varina, NC 3.0 2.5 1418 $1,695 $1.20 1d 1 0.27mi
213 Moore Creek Dr Fuquay Varina, NC 4.0 2.0 1764 $2,200 $1.25 5d 1 0.32mi
198 Moore Creek Dr Fuquay Varina, NC 4.0 2.0 1764 $2,195 $1.24 109d 1 0.34mi
32 Foxton Pl Angier, NC 3.0 2.5 1742 $1,965 $1.13 0d 1 0.80mi
394 Chedworth Dr Angier, NC 3.0 2.5 1742 $1,985 $1.14 6d 1 0.90mi
389 Chedworth Dr Angier, NC 3.0 2.0 1552 $1,925 $1.24 6d 1 0.91mi
59 Ivy Bank Dr Angier, NC 3.0 2.0 1316 $1,729 $1.31 119d 1 0.93mi
59 Ivy Bank Dr Angier, NC 3.0 2.0 1316 $1,729 $1.31 117d 1 0.93mi
107 Coleshill Rd Angier, NC 3.0 2.5 1800 $1,895 $1.05 6d 1 0.98mi
265 Royal Meadow Dr Angier, NC 4.0 2.5 1800 $1,830 $1.02 119d 1 1.07mi
302 Oxfordshire Dr Fuquay Varina, NC 3.0 2.0 1194 $1,879 $1.57 109d 1 1.11mi
50 Chedworth Dr Angier, NC 3.0 2.0 1384 $2,095 $1.51 119d 1 1.12mi
39 Virgo Dr Angier, NC 4.0 2.5 1658 $2,100 $1.27 6d 1 1.30mi
19 Virgo Dr Angier, NC 3.0 2.5 1418 $1,850 $1.30 119d 1 1.33mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Lot size approximately 0.08 acresLiving area approximately 1,418No additional structuresNo horse amenities
HOA & community
Association with monthly fee (maintenance of grounds included)Community amenities: clubhouse, dog park, pool, trails, sidewalks, street lightsCommunity pool (outdoor, in-ground)

Exterior

Parking
Attached garage with 1 covered garage spaceAdditional open parking space (driveway)Garage door opener; garage faces front; concrete drivewayTotal parking for 2 vehicles
Security
Smart lock(s)
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewerElectricity available; sewer connected; water available
Home design
Townhouse, site-builtEnd unit with one common wallTwo storiesSlab foundationArchitectural shingle roof
Construction
Board & batten and vinyl sidingBuilt by D.R. Horton (Pearson model)
Exterior features
PatioSmart lightsSmart locksNo fencing

Interior

Kitchen
DishwasherDisposalFree-standing electric rangeMicrowaveStainless steel appliances
Bedrooms
3 bedrooms
Flooring
CarpetLuxury vinyl
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
Heating & cooling
Electric heating (zoned)Central electric air conditioning (zoned)
Interior features
Open floorplan with Kitchen/Dining and Living/Dining room combinationsPantryQuartz countersDouble vanityBathtub/shower combinationSeparate walk-in showerWalk-in closet(s)Smooth ceilingsSmart thermostatDouble pane windows with screens
Laundry & utility
Washer hookupElectric dryer hookupLaundry closet (upper level)

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-24
    days on market $244,990 Active 225 DOM
  2. 2026-09-23
    days on market $244,990 Active 224 DOM
  3. 2026-09-22
    days on market $244,990 Active 223 DOM
  4. 2026-09-21
    days on market $244,990 Active 222 DOM
  5. 2026-09-20
    days on market $244,990 Active 221 DOM
  6. 2026-09-19
    days on market $244,990 Active 220 DOM
  7. 2026-09-18
    days on market $244,990 Active 219 DOM
  8. 2026-09-17
    days on market $244,990 Active 218 DOM
  9. 2026-09-16
    days on market $244,990 Active 217 DOM
  10. 2026-09-15
    days on market $244,990 Active 216 DOM
  11. 2026-09-14
    days on market $244,990 Active 215 DOM
  12. 2026-09-13
    days on market $244,990 Active 214 DOM
  13. 2026-09-13
    days on market $244,990 Active 213 DOM
  14. 2026-09-11
    days on market $244,990 Active 212 DOM
  15. 2026-09-05
    days on market $244,990 Active 206 DOM
  16. 2026-09-04
    days on market $244,990 Active 205 DOM
  17. 2026-09-03
    days on market $244,990 Active 204 DOM
  18. 2026-08-31
    days on market $244,990 Active 201 DOM
  19. 2026-08-29
    days on market $244,990 Active 199 DOM
  20. 2026-08-28
    days on market $244,990 Active 198 DOM
  21. 2026-08-27
    days on market $244,990 Active 197 DOM
  22. 2026-08-26
    days on market $244,990 Active 196 DOM
  23. 2026-08-25
    days on market $244,990 Active 195 DOM
  24. 2026-08-24
    days on market $244,990 Active 194 DOM
  25. 2026-08-23
    days on market $244,990 Active 193 DOM
  26. 2026-08-22
    days on market $244,990 Active 192 DOM
  27. 2026-08-21
    days on market $244,990 Active 191 DOM
  28. 2026-08-20
    days on market $244,990 Active 190 DOM
  29. 2026-08-19
    days on market $244,990 Active 189 DOM
  30. 2026-08-18
    days on market $244,990 Active 188 DOM
  31. 2026-08-17
    days on market $244,990 Active 187 DOM
  32. 2026-08-16
    days on market $244,990 Active 186 DOM
  33. 2026-08-15
    days on market $244,990 Active 185 DOM
  34. 2026-08-14
    days on market $244,990 Active 184 DOM
  35. 2026-08-13
    days on market $244,990 Active 183 DOM
  36. 2026-08-12
    days on market $244,990 Active 182 DOM
  37. 2026-08-11
    days on market $244,990 Active 181 DOM
  38. 2026-08-10
    days on market $244,990 Active 180 DOM
  39. 2026-08-09
    days on market $244,990 Active 179 DOM
  40. 2026-08-08
    days on market $244,990 Active 178 DOM
  41. 2026-08-07
    days on market $244,990 Active 177 DOM
  42. 2026-08-06
    days on market $244,990 Active 176 DOM
  43. 2026-08-05
    days on market $244,990 Active 175 DOM
  44. 2026-08-04
    days on market $244,990 Active 174 DOM
  45. 2026-08-03
    days on market $244,990 Active 173 DOM
  46. 2026-07-31
    days on market $244,990 Active 170 DOM
  47. 2026-07-29
    days on market $244,990 Active 168 DOM
  48. 2026-07-27
    days on market $244,990 Active 166 DOM
  49. 2026-07-25
    days on market $244,990 Active 164 DOM
  50. 2026-07-23
    days on market $244,990 Active 162 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,212
− Mortgage interest
−$13,723
− Property taxes
−$3,675
− Insurance
−$1,225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,937
− Management
−$1,937
− HOA
−$1,344
− Depreciation
−$7,127
Taxable loss
−$6,756
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,621
After-tax cash flow
$-912/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $7,090–$21,270 screening

This Pearson II corner townhome is in good condition with modern finishes and a well-maintained exterior. Minor updates to the exterior and interior could significantly enhance its resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal
  • Resale Trim and paint trim — Improves home's appearance
  • Both Replace carpet in bedrooms — Freshens interior and improves comfort
  • Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and marketability

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 43/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Lafayette Elementary D NC #417/1,410 Nat'l #12,785/41,679 Middle Harnett Central Middle F NC #323/475 Nat'l #8,497/14,009 High Harnett Central High D- NC #334/535 Nat'l #6,330/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harnett County Schools
NCES district ID
3702010
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$45,400
Composite
29.88/100
National rank
#6397
State rank
#130 of 178 in NC
B Composite livability gradescore 71/100

Livability — Lillington

Score
71/100
State rank
#101
US rank
#6653

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lillington, NC
County
Wake County · 153,758 people
City population
21,419
Metro
Raleigh-Cary, NC
Population (ZIP)
61,588
Household income
$110,017
Rent vs Own
19.5% rent · 80.5% own
Severe rent burden
4% of renters

Population outlook (Harnett County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
153,758 people
By 2030
166,581 · +8.3%
By 2040
192,741 · +25.4%
By 2050
218,332 · +42.0%
By 2075
275,422 · +79.1%
By 2100
313,511 · +103.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harnett

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.1) · D 36.9% · R 62.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-8.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -25.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.1 2020: R+22.4 2016: R+24.1 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+16.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-2.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Price Changed $269,490 Zillow
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $269,490 TMLS
  • 2026-02-12 Listed $276,490 Zillow
  • 2026-02-11 Listed $276,490 TMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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