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C+ Composite 62.07
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$189,000

265 Griffin Rd · Gumlog, GA 30557
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,655 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 126 Days on market
Built 1940 6.85 ac lot Est $353k · 46% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE! Incredible opportunity to own 6.85 private acres in Martin, GA. Complete with a 4-bedroom, 2-bath home, detached workshop, and peaceful stream running along the back of the property. Built in 1940, this home is full of potential and ready for your vision. Whether you're an investor, flipper, or buyer looking to create your dream home, homestead, or private retreat, this property offers the space and flexibility to make it happen. The large lot provides privacy with no subdivision restrictions, perfect for those seeking room to expand, work, or simply enjoy quiet country living. Additional features include a carport and spacious workshop ideal for storage or hobbies. Conveniently located near Lake Hartwell and just minutes from Lavonia's shopping and dining, you'll enjoy the perfect balance of seclusion and accessibility. Sold as-is. Opportunities like this don't come around often, bring your ideas and make it your own!

Key facts

  • Private acres
  • Versatile acreage
  • Detached workshop

Tags

PRIVATE ACRESPEACEFUL STREAMDETACHED WORKSHOPVERSATILE ACREAGENEAR LAKE HARTWELL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $114 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (10.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $166k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 2.7% in Gumlog — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#185 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Franklin County (rural): math 38% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #61 of 174 in GA (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lavonia Elementary School (math 31% / reading 28%, grade F, #633 of 1,228 statewide, top 54%, 549 students, 68% FRL); Franklin County Middle School (math 32% / reading 35%, grade F, #206 of 470 statewide, top 45%, 826 students, 60% FRL); Franklin County High School (math 34% / reading 34%, grade F, #93 of 424 statewide, top 23%, 1,048 students, 49% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 163 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($166k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $10k; list at $189k implies a 1790% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $166,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
7.02%
Cash-on-cash
2.59%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$352,515
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
265 Anderson Thomas Rd Unit F2 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,787 (+8%) 19mo $379,900 $213 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.1%
Equity multiple
3.08×
Total profit
$110,192
Equity at exit
$170,266
10-year hold
IRR
22.9%
Equity multiple
7.02×
Total profit
$318,727
Equity at exit
$367,185

Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30557

Home prices YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
125
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,699 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$991
Tax from tax record
$158 /mo · $1,894/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$357
Net cashflow
$114

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,554
Max offer price $189,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $221 -5% $168 +0% $114 +5% $61 +10% $7
Rent -10% $-20 -5% $47 +0% $114 +5% $181 +10% $248
Rate -1.0pp $209 -0.5pp $162 base $114 +0.5pp $65 +1.0pp $16

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,250
Closing costs
$5,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $189,000 Active 126 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,000 Active 125 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,000 Active 124 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,000 Active 123 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    status $189,000 Active 120 DOM
  6. 2026-05-06
    status Back On Market 972-char remark
    Show marketing remark (972 chars)

    OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE! Incredible opportunity to own 6.85 private acres in Martin, GA. Complete with a 4-bedroom, 2-bath home, detached workshop, and peaceful stream running along the back of the property. Built in 1940, this home is full of potential and ready for your vision. Whether you're an investor, flipper, or buyer looking to create your dream home, homestead, or private retreat, this property offers the space and flexibility to make it happen. The large lot provides privacy with no subdivision restrictions, perfect for those seeking room to expand, work, or simply enjoy quiet country living. Additional features include a carport and spacious workshop ideal for storage or hobbies. Conveniently located near Lake Hartwell and just minutes from Lavonia's shopping and dining, you'll enjoy the perfect balance of seclusion and accessibility. Sold as-is. Opportunities like this don't come around often, bring your ideas and make it your own!

  7. 2026-04-28
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (972 chars)

    OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE! Incredible opportunity to own 6.85 private acres in Martin, GA. Complete with a 4-bedroom, 2-bath home, detached workshop, and peaceful stream running along the back of the property. Built in 1940, this home is full of potential and ready for your vision. Whether you're an investor, flipper, or buyer looking to create your dream home, homestead, or private retreat, this property offers the space and flexibility to make it happen. The large lot provides privacy with no subdivision restrictions, perfect for those seeking room to expand, work, or simply enjoy quiet country living. Additional features include a carport and spacious workshop ideal for storage or hobbies. Conveniently located near Lake Hartwell and just minutes from Lavonia's shopping and dining, you'll enjoy the perfect balance of seclusion and accessibility. Sold as-is. Opportunities like this don't come around often, bring your ideas and make it your own!

  8. 2026-04-28
    status Under Contract 972-char remark
    Show marketing remark (972 chars)

    OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE! Incredible opportunity to own 6.85 private acres in Martin, GA. Complete with a 4-bedroom, 2-bath home, detached workshop, and peaceful stream running along the back of the property. Built in 1940, this home is full of potential and ready for your vision. Whether you're an investor, flipper, or buyer looking to create your dream home, homestead, or private retreat, this property offers the space and flexibility to make it happen. The large lot provides privacy with no subdivision restrictions, perfect for those seeking room to expand, work, or simply enjoy quiet country living. Additional features include a carport and spacious workshop ideal for storage or hobbies. Conveniently located near Lake Hartwell and just minutes from Lavonia's shopping and dining, you'll enjoy the perfect balance of seclusion and accessibility. Sold as-is. Opportunities like this don't come around often, bring your ideas and make it your own!

  9. 2026-04-22
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (972 chars)

    OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE! Incredible opportunity to own 6.85 private acres in Martin, GA. Complete with a 4-bedroom, 2-bath home, detached workshop, and peaceful stream running along the back of the property. Built in 1940, this home is full of potential and ready for your vision. Whether you're an investor, flipper, or buyer looking to create your dream home, homestead, or private retreat, this property offers the space and flexibility to make it happen. The large lot provides privacy with no subdivision restrictions, perfect for those seeking room to expand, work, or simply enjoy quiet country living. Additional features include a carport and spacious workshop ideal for storage or hobbies. Conveniently located near Lake Hartwell and just minutes from Lavonia's shopping and dining, you'll enjoy the perfect balance of seclusion and accessibility. Sold as-is. Opportunities like this don't come around often, bring your ideas and make it your own!

  10. 2026-04-22
    status Back On Market 972-char remark
    Show marketing remark (972 chars)

    OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE! Incredible opportunity to own 6.85 private acres in Martin, GA. Complete with a 4-bedroom, 2-bath home, detached workshop, and peaceful stream running along the back of the property. Built in 1940, this home is full of potential and ready for your vision. Whether you're an investor, flipper, or buyer looking to create your dream home, homestead, or private retreat, this property offers the space and flexibility to make it happen. The large lot provides privacy with no subdivision restrictions, perfect for those seeking room to expand, work, or simply enjoy quiet country living. Additional features include a carport and spacious workshop ideal for storage or hobbies. Conveniently located near Lake Hartwell and just minutes from Lavonia's shopping and dining, you'll enjoy the perfect balance of seclusion and accessibility. Sold as-is. Opportunities like this don't come around often, bring your ideas and make it your own!

  11. 2026-04-18
    historical 972-char remark
    Show marketing remark (972 chars)

    OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE! Incredible opportunity to own 6.85 private acres in Martin, GA. Complete with a 4-bedroom, 2-bath home, detached workshop, and peaceful stream running along the back of the property. Built in 1940, this home is full of potential and ready for your vision. Whether you're an investor, flipper, or buyer looking to create your dream home, homestead, or private retreat, this property offers the space and flexibility to make it happen. The large lot provides privacy with no subdivision restrictions, perfect for those seeking room to expand, work, or simply enjoy quiet country living. Additional features include a carport and spacious workshop ideal for storage or hobbies. Conveniently located near Lake Hartwell and just minutes from Lavonia's shopping and dining, you'll enjoy the perfect balance of seclusion and accessibility. Sold as-is. Opportunities like this don't come around often, bring your ideas and make it your own!

  12. 2026-04-18
    historical
    Show marketing remark (972 chars)

    OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE! Incredible opportunity to own 6.85 private acres in Martin, GA. Complete with a 4-bedroom, 2-bath home, detached workshop, and peaceful stream running along the back of the property. Built in 1940, this home is full of potential and ready for your vision. Whether you're an investor, flipper, or buyer looking to create your dream home, homestead, or private retreat, this property offers the space and flexibility to make it happen. The large lot provides privacy with no subdivision restrictions, perfect for those seeking room to expand, work, or simply enjoy quiet country living. Additional features include a carport and spacious workshop ideal for storage or hobbies. Conveniently located near Lake Hartwell and just minutes from Lavonia's shopping and dining, you'll enjoy the perfect balance of seclusion and accessibility. Sold as-is. Opportunities like this don't come around often, bring your ideas and make it your own!

  13. 2026-04-18
    historical
    Show marketing remark (972 chars)

    OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE! Incredible opportunity to own 6.85 private acres in Martin, GA. Complete with a 4-bedroom, 2-bath home, detached workshop, and peaceful stream running along the back of the property. Built in 1940, this home is full of potential and ready for your vision. Whether you're an investor, flipper, or buyer looking to create your dream home, homestead, or private retreat, this property offers the space and flexibility to make it happen. The large lot provides privacy with no subdivision restrictions, perfect for those seeking room to expand, work, or simply enjoy quiet country living. Additional features include a carport and spacious workshop ideal for storage or hobbies. Conveniently located near Lake Hartwell and just minutes from Lavonia's shopping and dining, you'll enjoy the perfect balance of seclusion and accessibility. Sold as-is. Opportunities like this don't come around often, bring your ideas and make it your own!

  14. 2025-12-19
    listed $189,000 Active
  15. 2025-12-18
    listed $189,000 New 972-char remark
    Show marketing remark (972 chars)

    OWNER FINANCING AVAILABLE! Incredible opportunity to own 6.85 private acres in Martin, GA. Complete with a 4-bedroom, 2-bath home, detached workshop, and peaceful stream running along the back of the property. Built in 1940, this home is full of potential and ready for your vision. Whether you're an investor, flipper, or buyer looking to create your dream home, homestead, or private retreat, this property offers the space and flexibility to make it happen. The large lot provides privacy with no subdivision restrictions, perfect for those seeking room to expand, work, or simply enjoy quiet country living. Additional features include a carport and spacious workshop ideal for storage or hobbies. Conveniently located near Lake Hartwell and just minutes from Lavonia's shopping and dining, you'll enjoy the perfect balance of seclusion and accessibility. Sold as-is. Opportunities like this don't come around often, bring your ideas and make it your own!

  16. 1992-08-22
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,894 · $158/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,894 · $158/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,385
− Mortgage interest
−$10,587
− Property taxes
−$1,894
− Insurance
−$945
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,631
− Management
−$1,631
− Depreciation
−$5,498
Taxable loss
−$1,801
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$432
After-tax cash flow
$1,804/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Franklin County
NCES district ID
1302250
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,985
Composite
30.28/100
National rank
#6281
State rank
#61 of 174 in GA

Livability — Gumlog

Score
66/100
State rank
#185
US rank
#11633

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,905

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,625 people
By 2030
22,725 · +0.4%
By 2040
22,806 · +0.8%
By 2050
22,713 · +0.4%
By 2075
22,514 · -0.5%
By 2100
20,768 · -8.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Black 8% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Serbian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Solid R (+72.6) · D 13.6% · R 86.2%
2008→2024 swing
-21.1pp toward R · 2008: -51.5pp · 2024: -72.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+72.6 2020: R+69.5 2016: R+68.6 2012: R+59.5 2008: R+51.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 18.48%
Current HPI
350.6536
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1790.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-28 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-22 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-04-18 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-18 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-18 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-12-19 Listed $189,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-12-18 Listed $189,000 GAMLS
  • 1992-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,894 · +18.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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