CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1 Summerhill Ave Multi-family
B Composite 71.39
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$599,900

1 Summerhill Ave · Worcester, MA 01606
9 bd · 3.0 ba · 3,798 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1890 5,579 sqft lot Est $893k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

BUSINESS ZONED multi-unit property has 3 separate 3 bedroom and one bathroom units with 6 deeded off-street parking spaces with additional public street parking as well. Low maintenance small back yard makes for a wonderful urban garden, grilling area and simply a nice place to gather for entertaining. The units have hardwood floors, in-unit laundry hook-ups and gas heat. Gas parlor heater as well as gas on gas in kitchen is what heat each unit. Tenants pay own gas and electricity. Landlord pays water & sewer and landlord meter. A block from Rt. 12 with access to shopping and public transportation. Property is a great commuter location just one block to Rt. 12 and close to Rt. 190, Rt

Key facts

  • Commuter location
  • Urban garden
  • Grilling area

Tags

DEEDED OFF-STREET PARKINGURBAN GARDENGRILLING AREAIN-UNIT LAUNDRY HOOK-UPSCOMMUTER LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property address: 1 Summerhill Ave, Worcester MA 01606; Building area reported as 3,798 (above grade finished area)
  • HOA & community: Community features include public transportation, shopping, parks, golf, medical facility, laundromat, highway access, places of worship, private and public schools, T-Station, and university access; Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: 6 total parking spaces; Open parking; Paved drive; Off-street parking; Deeded parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: 3-family building (3 units up/down); 3 stories total; Approximate year built (public records); Green/tan exterior color
  • Construction: Frame construction; Concrete perimeter and stone foundation
  • Exterior features: Cleared, level lot; 60 ft frontage; Public road frontage on a paved, publicly maintained road; Shingle roof; Paved driveway

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen included in unit layouts
  • Bedrooms: Multiple units with bedrooms across three levels (unit-level details available)
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; 6 heating units; No central cooling units reported
  • Interior features: Living room; Dining room; Kitchen; Laundry room; Insulated doors; Insulated windows; 18 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 9-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $600k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $600k).
  • Recommended offer: $591k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 4.1% in Worcester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 87/100 on livability (#9 in MA, #312 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living D.
  • Worcester (urban): math 17% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #280 of 302 in MA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Chandler Magnet (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #873 of 938 statewide, top 94%, 402 students, 0% FRL); Burncoat Middle School (math 20% / reading 26%, grade F, #243 of 305 statewide, top 80%, 712 students, 0% FRL); Burncoat Senior High (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #270 of 343 statewide, top 80%, 1,179 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 66% district-wide (66 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 26 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,293 units permitted in Worcester County in 2024 (1,205 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $7,194/mo this rent would consume 94% of the median local household income ($92k/yr) (locally 634% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $168k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($591k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $590,901 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
9.79%
Cash-on-cash
12.47%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$892,530
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8 Summerhill Ave 0.05mi 9/3.0 3,660 (-4%) 15mo $860,000 $235 79
11 Mattson Ave 0.61mi 9/4.0 3,323 (-12%) 8mo $656,000 $197 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.46% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.7%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$24,692
Equity at exit
$89,447
10-year hold
IRR
14.6%
Equity multiple
2.25×
Total profit
$209,935
Equity at exit
$51,868

Cash invested: $167,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Massachusetts
20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Cambridge / Boston historically rent-controlled (preempted 1994 but consideration ongoing); strong tenant protections; court backlogs.

ZIP-level market 01606

Rents YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
26
Price-to-rent
20.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$7,194 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,146
Tax from tax record
$541 /mo · $6,497/yr
Insurance
$250
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,511
Net cashflow
$1,746

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,984
Max offer price $599,900
Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2,086 -5% $1,916 +0% $1,746 +5% $1,576 +10% $1,406
Rent -10% $1,178 -5% $1,462 +0% $1,746 +5% $2,030 +10% $2,314
Rate -1.0pp $2,048 -0.5pp $1,899 base $1,746 +0.5pp $1,590 +1.0pp $1,432

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $7,194

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$149,975
Closing costs
$17,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $599,900 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $599,900 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $599,900 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $599,900 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $599,900 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $599,900 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $599,900 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $599,900 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $599,900 Active 10 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $599,900 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $599,900 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $599,900 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $599,900 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $599,900 New 3 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $599,900 New 2 DOM
  16. 2026-05-29
    listed $599,900 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,497 · $541/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,938 · $578/mo
Expected delta
+$441/yr (+$37/mo · 6.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$86,328
− Mortgage interest
−$33,604
− Property taxes
−$6,497
− Insurance
−$3,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,906
− Management
−$6,906
− Depreciation
−$17,452
Taxable income
$11,964
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,871
After-tax cash flow
$18,080/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Worcester
NCES district ID
2513230
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$45,063
Composite
20.3/100
National rank
#8615
State rank
#280 of 302 in MA

Livability — Worcester

Score
87/100
State rank
#9
US rank
#312

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living D Crime A+ Employment C Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Worcester, MA
County
Worcester County · 487,911 people
City population
207,324
Metro
Worcester, MA-CT
Population (ZIP)
22,844
Household income
$92,105
Rent vs Own
32.2% rent · 67.8% own
Severe rent burden
634.0

Population outlook (Worcester County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
850,858 people
By 2030
860,403 · +1.1%
By 2040
869,902 · +2.2%
By 2050
869,110 · +2.1%
By 2075
870,120 · +2.3%
By 2100
829,703 · -2.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 12% Black 9% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 6% Estonian 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 4% Vietnamese 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Worcester

2024 margin
D (+10.0) · D 53.9% · R 43.9% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-3.8pp toward R · 2008: 13.8pp · 2024: 10.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.0 2020: D+17.8 2016: D+10.5 2012: D+9.2 2008: D+13.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -240.84%
Current HPI
295.2937
Rent YoY
▲ 4.46%
Metro
Worcester, MA-CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.28%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $599,900 MLS PIN

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2023): $6,497 · +15.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…