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Brunello Plan 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 34.06
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +7.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • DSCR +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$258,990

Brunello Plan · McAllen, TX 78504
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,272 sqft · SingleFamily · 84 Days on market
Excellent condition 2-car garage

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

The Brunello is a welcoming single-story home in our Villas Collection, thoughtfully designed for first-time homebuyers and growing families seeking comfort, flexibility, and timeless style. With 1,272 sq. ft. of living space and 1,794 sq. ft. total, this thoughtfully crafted floor plan balances everyday functionality with warm, connected living spaces that easily adapt to every stage of life. Designed with both comfort and versatility in mind, the Brunello features 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage, along with the option to convert the study into a third bedroom for added flexibility.

Key facts

  • Open-concept kitchen
  • Covered patio
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT KITCHENCOVERED PATIO

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. The $258,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $288,913.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $259k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-347 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $239k (7.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (19.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $209k (19.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 4.0% in McAllen — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#119 in TX, #3,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Edinburg CISD (urban): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #699 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Anne L Magee El (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #2,525 of 4,322 statewide, top 62%, 450 students, 78% FRL); Elias Longoria Sr Middle (math 16% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,236 of 1,662 statewide, top 76%, 804 students, 82% FRL); Robert R Vela H S (math 27% / reading 48%, grade F, #888 of 1,632 statewide, top 55%, 2,189 students, 62% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 1252 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 63d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($243k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $208,853 (19.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
4.85%
Cash-on-cash
-5.14%
DSCR
0.77
GRM
11.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$288,913
List price
$258,990
Delta
-10.36%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6320 Cascada Bend Rd 0.19mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,641 (+29%) 10mo $304,000 $185 51
12713 37th Ln 2.14mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,348 (+6%) 8mo $245,000 $182 43
14205 Chalk Ridge Dr 0.40mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,629 (+28%) 16mo $282,990 $174 38
3602 Whetstone Ave 2.18mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,447 (+14%) 0mo $264,000 $182 37
3506 Waccamaw Ave 2.21mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (+18%) 0mo $269,000 $179 35
14301 Joe Pool Ln 0.78mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,619 (+27%) 1mo $279,000 $172 32
14208 Big Creek Rd 0.81mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,598 (+26%) 5mo $305,900 $191 29
12148 N Shary Rd 1.56mi 3/1.0 (+1) 950 (-25%) 7mo $119,000 $125 25
5229 Escondido Pass 0.91mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,587 (+25%) 14mo $299,500 $189 23
4213 Vivian St 1.73mi 4/2.0 (+2) 1,456 (+14%) 11mo $119,500 $82 22
3400 Wolf Creek Ave 2.23mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,509 (+19%) 15mo $295,000 $195 21
5401 Escondido Pass 0.81mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,602 (+26%) 17mo $299,000 $187 19

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.57% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-25.5%
Equity multiple
0.14×
Total profit
$-69,765
Equity at exit
$43,078
10-year hold
IRR
-23.2%
Equity multiple
-0.15×
Total profit
$-92,713
Equity at exit
$24,980

Cash invested: $80,896 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
13 active
Median asking
$267,990 ($204/sqft)
Median days on market
104 d
This list price
8% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+11.6% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 78504

Home prices YoY
-29.4%
Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
1252
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,089 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,515
Tax est. 1.5%
$361 /mo · $4,334/yr
Insurance
$120
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$439
Net cashflow
$-347

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,527
Max offer price $238,749
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-147 -5% $-247 +0% $-347 +5% $-447 +10% $-546
Rent -10% $-512 -5% $-429 +0% $-347 +5% $-264 +10% $-182
Rate -1.0pp $-201 -0.5pp $-273 base $-347 +0.5pp $-422 +1.0pp $-498

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,228
Closing costs
$8,667
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6336 Cascada Bend Rd McAllen, TX 3.0 2.5 1729 $2,050 $1.19 62d 1 0.13mi
14337 Chalk Ridge Dr McAllen, TX 3.0 2.0 1696 $2,000 $1.18 62d 1 0.18mi
14013 Boykin Creek Rd McAllen, TX 3.0 2.5 1725 $2,500 $1.45 0d 1 0.32mi
14219 Chalk Ridge Dr McAllen, TX 3.0 2.5 1630 $2,800 $1.72 139d 1 0.34mi
14106 Boykin Creek Rd McAllen, TX 3.0 2.0 1681 $2,500 $1.49 6d 1 0.36mi
13929 Westcave Falls Ln Edinburg, TX 3.0 2.0 1506 $2,300 $1.53 110d 1 0.48mi
14301 N Shary Rd McAllen, TX 3.0–4.0 2.0–2.5 1689 $2,080 $1.23 110d 9 0.60mi
14201 Mountain Ridge Ln McAllen, TX 3.0–4.0 2.0–2.5 1730 $2,080 $1.20 0d 35 0.61mi
5716 River Rd McAllen, TX 3.0 2.5 1666 $2,100 $1.26 62d 1 0.65mi
14505 Limestone Way McAllen, TX 3.0 2.5 1694 $2,375 $1.40 6d 1 0.76mi
5408 Escondido Pass McAllen, TX 3.0 2.5 1632 $2,050 $1.26 6d 1 0.85mi
14612 Kurth Cv McAllen, TX 3.0 2.0 1688 $2,000 $1.18 62d 1 0.87mi
5261 Lost Creek Ln McAllen, TX 3.0 2.0 1824 $2,000 $1.10 62d 1 0.97mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Address: 14601 Aqualina Way, McAllen TX 78504
Financial info
List price $258,990

Exterior

Parking
2 total parking spaces2-car garage
Home design
New construction plan (Brunello)
Exterior features
Living area approximately 1,272 (living area provided)

Interior

Bedrooms
2 bedrooms
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Interior features
Plan model home (Brunello)

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-28
    days on market $258,990 Active 84 DOM
  2. 2026-08-27
    days on market $258,990 Active 83 DOM
  3. 2026-08-26
    days on market $258,990 Active 82 DOM
  4. 2026-08-25
    days on market $258,990 Active 81 DOM
  5. 2026-08-24
    days on market $258,990 Active 80 DOM
  6. 2026-08-23
    days on market $258,990 Active 79 DOM
  7. 2026-08-22
    days on market $258,990 Active 78 DOM
  8. 2026-08-21
    days on market $258,990 Active 77 DOM
  9. 2026-08-20
    days on market $258,990 Active 76 DOM
  10. 2026-08-19
    days on market $258,990 Active 75 DOM
  11. 2026-08-18
    days on market $258,990 Active 74 DOM
  12. 2026-08-17
    days on market $258,990 Active 73 DOM
  13. 2026-08-16
    days on market $258,990 Active 72 DOM
  14. 2026-08-15
    days on market $258,990 Active 71 DOM
  15. 2026-08-14
    days on market $258,990 Active 70 DOM
  16. 2026-08-13
    days on market $258,990 Active 69 DOM
  17. 2026-08-12
    days on market $258,990 Active 68 DOM
  18. 2026-08-11
    days on market $258,990 Active 67 DOM
  19. 2026-08-10
    days on market $258,990 Active 66 DOM
  20. 2026-08-09
    days on market $258,990 Active 65 DOM
  21. 2026-08-08
    days on market $258,990 Active 64 DOM
  22. 2026-08-06
    days on market $258,990 Active 62 DOM
  23. 2026-08-05
    days on market $258,990 Active 61 DOM
  24. 2026-08-04
    days on market $258,990 Active 60 DOM
  25. 2026-08-03
    days on market $258,990 Active 59 DOM
  26. 2026-07-31
    days on market $258,990 Active 56 DOM
  27. 2026-07-29
    days on market $258,990 Active 54 DOM
  28. 2026-07-27
    days on market $258,990 Active 52 DOM
  29. 2026-07-25
    days on market $258,990 Active 50 DOM
  30. 2026-07-24
    days on market $258,990 Active 49 DOM
  31. 2026-07-23
    days on market $258,990 Active 48 DOM
  32. 2026-07-22
    days on market $258,990 Active 47 DOM
  33. 2026-07-21
    days on market $258,990 Active 46 DOM
  34. 2026-07-18
    days on market $258,990 Active 43 DOM
  35. 2026-07-16
    days on market $258,990 Active 41 DOM
  36. 2026-07-16
    days on market $258,990 Active 40 DOM
  37. 2026-07-14
    days on market $258,990 Active 39 DOM
  38. 2026-07-13
    days on market $258,990 Active 38 DOM
  39. 2026-07-12
    days on market $258,990 Active 37 DOM
  40. 2026-07-11
    days on market $258,990 Active 36 DOM
  41. 2026-07-10
    days on market $258,990 Active 35 DOM
  42. 2026-07-09
    days on market $258,990 Active 34 DOM
  43. 2026-07-07
    days on market $258,990 Active 32 DOM
  44. 2026-07-06
    days on market $258,990 Active 31 DOM
  45. 2026-07-05
    days on market $258,990 Active 30 DOM
  46. 2026-07-04
    days on market $258,990 Active 29 DOM
  47. 2026-07-03
    days on market $258,990 Active 28 DOM
  48. 2026-07-02
    days on market $258,990 Active 27 DOM
  49. 2026-07-01
    days on market $258,990 Active 26 DOM
  50. 2026-06-30
    days on market $258,990 Active 25 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,062
− Mortgage interest
−$16,184
− Property taxes
−$4,334
− Insurance
−$1,445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,005
− Management
−$2,005
− Depreciation
−$8,405
Taxable loss
−$9,314
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,235
After-tax cash flow
$-1,925/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

The home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It is move-in ready and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint and landscaping improvements to further enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Painting the exterior — A fresh coat of paint can enhance the curb appeal and make the home more attractive to potential buyers.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can improve the overall appearance and increase the home's value.
F Composite school gradezoned avg 31/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Anne L Magee El F TX #2,525/4,322 Nat'l #26,716/41,679 Middle Elias Longoria Sr Middle F TX #1,236/1,662 Nat'l #10,204/14,009 High Robert R Vela H S F TX #888/1,632 Nat'l #8,937/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Edinburg CISD
NCES district ID
4818180
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -34.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$36,985
Composite
22.42/100
National rank
#8114
State rank
#699 of 826 in TX
B Composite livability gradescore 76/100

Livability — McAllen

Score
76/100
State rank
#119
US rank
#3771

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
McAllen, TX
County
Hidalgo County · 955,232 people
City population
144,650
Metro
McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
Population (ZIP)
63,094
Household income
$81,905
Rent vs Own
30.1% rent · 69.9% own
Severe rent burden
10% of renters

Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
955,232 people
By 2030
1,009,774 · +5.7%
By 2040
1,120,332 · +17.3%
By 2050
1,225,036 · +28.2%
By 2075
1,439,189 · +50.7%
By 2100
1,533,429 · +60.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 39% White 11% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 75%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
34% English-only · Spanish 62% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
2008→2024 swing
-41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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