🏗️ New Construction
Brunello Plan · McAllen, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- DSCR +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$258,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
The Brunello is a welcoming single-story home in our Villas Collection, thoughtfully designed for first-time homebuyers and growing families seeking comfort, flexibility, and timeless style. With 1,272 sq. ft. of living space and 1,794 sq. ft. total, this thoughtfully crafted floor plan balances everyday functionality with warm, connected living spaces that easily adapt to every stage of life. Designed with both comfort and versatility in mind, the Brunello features 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a 2-car garage, along with the option to convert the study into a third bedroom for added flexibility.
Key facts
- Open-concept kitchen
- Covered patio
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $259k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-347 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $239k (7.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (19.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $209k (19.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 4.0% in McAllen — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#119 in TX, #3,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Edinburg CISD (urban): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #699 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Anne L Magee El (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #2,525 of 4,322 statewide, top 62%, 450 students, 78% FRL); Elias Longoria Sr Middle (math 16% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,236 of 1,662 statewide, top 76%, 804 students, 82% FRL); Robert R Vela H S (math 27% / reading 48%, grade F, #888 of 1,632 statewide, top 55%, 2,189 students, 62% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 1252 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 63d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($243k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.14%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 11.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $288,913
- List price
- $258,990
- Delta
- -10.36%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6320 Cascada Bend Rd | 0.19mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,641 (+29%) | 10mo | $304,000 | $185 | 51 |
| 12713 37th Ln | 2.14mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,348 (+6%) | 8mo | $245,000 | $182 | 43 |
| 14205 Chalk Ridge Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,629 (+28%) | 16mo | $282,990 | $174 | 38 |
| 3602 Whetstone Ave | 2.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,447 (+14%) | 0mo | $264,000 | $182 | 37 |
| 3506 Waccamaw Ave | 2.21mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (+18%) | 0mo | $269,000 | $179 | 35 |
| 14301 Joe Pool Ln | 0.78mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,619 (+27%) | 1mo | $279,000 | $172 | 32 |
| 14208 Big Creek Rd | 0.81mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,598 (+26%) | 5mo | $305,900 | $191 | 29 |
| 12148 N Shary Rd | 1.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 950 (-25%) | 7mo | $119,000 | $125 | 25 |
| 5229 Escondido Pass | 0.91mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,587 (+25%) | 14mo | $299,500 | $189 | 23 |
| 4213 Vivian St | 1.73mi | 4/2.0 (+2) | 1,456 (+14%) | 11mo | $119,500 | $82 | 22 |
| 3400 Wolf Creek Ave | 2.23mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,509 (+19%) | 15mo | $295,000 | $195 | 21 |
| 5401 Escondido Pass | 0.81mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,602 (+26%) | 17mo | $299,000 | $187 | 19 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.57% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.14×
- Total profit
- $-69,765
- Equity at exit
- $43,078
- IRR
- -23.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.15×
- Total profit
- $-92,713
- Equity at exit
- $24,980
Cash invested: $80,896 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 13 active
- Median asking
- $267,990 ($204/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 104 d
- This list price
- 8% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +11.6% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 78504
- Home prices YoY
- -29.4%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 1252
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,089 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,515
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$361 /mo · $4,334/yr
- Insurance
- −$120
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$439
- Net cashflow
- $-347
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-147 | -5% $-247 | +0% $-347 | +5% $-447 | +10% $-546 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-512 | -5% $-429 | +0% $-347 | +5% $-264 | +10% $-182 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-201 | -0.5pp $-273 | base $-347 | +0.5pp $-422 | +1.0pp $-498 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,228
- Closing costs
- $8,667
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6336 Cascada Bend Rd McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1729 | $2,050 | $1.19 | 62d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 14337 Chalk Ridge Dr McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1696 | $2,000 | $1.18 | 62d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 14013 Boykin Creek Rd McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1725 | $2,500 | $1.45 | 0d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 14219 Chalk Ridge Dr McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1630 | $2,800 | $1.72 | 139d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 14106 Boykin Creek Rd McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1681 | $2,500 | $1.49 | 6d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 13929 Westcave Falls Ln Edinburg, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1506 | $2,300 | $1.53 | 110d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 14301 N Shary Rd McAllen, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1689 | $2,080 | $1.23 | 110d | 9 | 0.60mi |
| 14201 Mountain Ridge Ln McAllen, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1730 | $2,080 | $1.20 | 0d | 35 | 0.61mi |
| 5716 River Rd McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1666 | $2,100 | $1.26 | 62d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 14505 Limestone Way McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1694 | $2,375 | $1.40 | 6d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 5408 Escondido Pass McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1632 | $2,050 | $1.26 | 6d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 14612 Kurth Cv McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1688 | $2,000 | $1.18 | 62d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 5261 Lost Creek Ln McAllen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1824 | $2,000 | $1.10 | 62d | 1 | 0.97mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Address: 14601 Aqualina Way, McAllen TX 78504
- Financial info
- List price $258,990
Exterior
- Parking
- 2 total parking spaces2-car garage
- Home design
- New construction plan (Brunello)
- Exterior features
- Living area approximately 1,272 (living area provided)
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features
- Plan model home (Brunello)
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-28days on market $258,990 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $258,990 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $258,990 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $258,990 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $258,990 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $258,990 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $258,990 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $258,990 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $258,990 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $258,990 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $258,990 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $258,990 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $258,990 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $258,990 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $258,990 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $258,990 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $258,990 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $258,990 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $258,990 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $258,990 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $258,990 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $258,990 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $258,990 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $258,990 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $258,990 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $258,990 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $258,990 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $258,990 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $258,990 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $258,990 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $258,990 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $258,990 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $258,990 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $258,990 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $258,990 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $258,990 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $258,990 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $258,990 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $258,990 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $258,990 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $258,990 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $258,990 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $258,990 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $258,990 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $258,990 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $258,990 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $258,990 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $258,990 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $258,990 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $258,990 Active 25 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,062
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,184
- − Property taxes
- −$4,334
- − Insurance
- −$1,445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,005
- − Management
- −$2,005
- − Depreciation
- −$8,405
- Taxable loss
- −$9,314
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,235
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,925/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
The home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. It is move-in ready and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint and landscaping improvements to further enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting the exterior — A fresh coat of paint can enhance the curb appeal and make the home more attractive to potential buyers. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can improve the overall appearance and increase the home's value. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Edinburg CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4818180
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -34.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,985
- Composite
- 22.42/100
- National rank
- #8114
- State rank
- #699 of 826 in TX
Livability — McAllen
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #119
- US rank
- #3771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- McAllen, TX
- County
- Hidalgo County · 955,232 people
- City population
- 144,650
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 63,094
- Household income
- $81,905
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 955,232 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,774 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,120,332 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 1,225,036 · +28.2%
- By 2075
- 1,439,189 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 1,533,429 · +60.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 39% White 11% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 75%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 34% English-only · Spanish 62% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.87%
- Current HPI
- 194.1764
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.57%
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…